germany has pirouetted and pretty much scored a victory as the de facto leader of europe through banking shenanigans. lending bad credit, the same old depressing picture. so he's not altogether wrong on that one. japan dropping off after their managerial/tech boom – yeah, okay. not sure anyone saw that coming. i'm not sure how much he'll appreciate me shitting on his old books though, haha. it's not like i even care. macro-economics always involves an element of prognosticating, no?SuperJail Warden wrote:
As for your author
http://www.amazon.com/Cold-Peace-Strugg … 0812922050Can you ask him how he feels about fucking that prediction up?As political and economic forces push the three superpowers--the United States, Germany and Japan--further apart, the Cold War could give way to a very "cold peace." That is the prognosis of Garten, who held senior White House and State Department posts under Nixon, Ford and Carter and is now an investment banker, in an important, clear-eyed book for anyone struggling to come to grips with the changing world order. Drawing on his broad experience, he argues that many disputes among the "Big Three" are rooted in the different kinds of capitalism the three countries practice. Relations among the Big Three, he predicts, may deteriorate through squabbles over regional trade blocs, aid to the former Soviet Union and the role of the U.N. and the World Bank. Garten paints a sobering picture of the "German Empire" 's dominant role within the European Community and of Japan's tightening rein over its East Asian superbloc.[ Calling for collective Big Three leadership to solve mutual problems, he predicts that America in the '90s will measure itself against what Japan and Germany are becoming.
Last edited by uziq (2016-01-29 15:03:13)