lowing
Banned
+1,662|6937|USA

Turquoise wrote:

lowing wrote:

Turquoise wrote:


Yes, but there was a time when they were shifting more towards defense projects.  They got somewhat burned by that, and so now they're back to moving toward the private sector.
Wrong, historically Boeing has been on the cutting edge of commerical air travel as well as military aircraft. It has never neglected one for the other.
Well, the same friend who provided this article to me would beg to differ.  He works for Boeing.  I can't give too many details, but let's just say he's seen firsthand what trying to complete a major defense contract is like, and it's not pleasant.

Private sector contracts are much more stable and easier to manage, because airlines don't have the same kind of leverage that Congress does.  When Congress adds a responsibility onto a project, they can keep the price the same as before.  When a contractor tries to land a defense contract in the first place, they usually low-ball the estimate to undercut the competition.

Things tend to snowball from that point onward, because of the fickle nature of Congress.
Boeing does not need Congressional approval to R and D and it continues to do so for military as well as commercial applications. They stay on the cutting edge of technology without a specific order for it, just like the govt. should be doing in its military applications. Hense a strong national defense NOT operating on a shoe string budget
Turquoise
O Canada
+1,596|6690|North Carolina

Commie Killer wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

I think that's a bit paranoid.

It's much more reasonable to assume that you can handle most conflicts multilaterally with a small but well-equipped force rather than having a standing army larger than everyone else's.  In fact, that's kind of the way we already operate.

It's our technology that puts us ahead.  Yes, it is true that we have aging fleets, but even that can be fixed in a cost effective manner if we simply accept that the number of planes and ships don't matter as much as the technology on each does.
I'm not taking the bait.

We're going to have to accept that the first time we run into a well equipped advasary, we are going to take heavy casualties. Think WESTPAC, if China, today, decides to go to war, most of our planes are going to be destroyed on the ground by IRBM's, port facilities too. I'm a big believer in quality over quantity, and I think the size we have right now is just about perfect, but quantity does have a quality of its own.
Ground level, soldier level, we are still using roughly the same equipment we used in Desert Storm, and there is no doubt that equipment performed amazingly(taking out an entire military in 100 hours is without compare), but we seemed to have stopped at that level, while the rest of the world kept going.
Well, I will agree that the technology gap will certainly close over time, and that can translate to higher casualties, but with the growing interest in drone technology, I'm not sure if that's a realistic expectation.

Also, when you consider how interdependent the world is becoming economically, warfare is becoming less and less attractive to both the developing and developed world.

Last edited by Turquoise (2010-05-20 17:43:34)

Commie Killer
Member
+192|6672

Turquoise wrote:

This is an honest question.  Why do you think we're headed back to conventional warfare?
Unconventional is pointless, we are done with the middle east, though I think most don't know it yet. Iran is going no where, they are going to get the bomb, and they won't use it. Africa is going to slowly settle down over the next 20 years, of course, we will still have the standard genocide every few years. If China is in the position is is now 100 years ago, it would control Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea, Siberia, Australia, and portions of India. They understand and know that too, and they also realize that they can't do anything about it at the moment, so they think long term. I'm not going to say were going to have a 1930's Japan on our hands, just a Soviet Union. Its not going to do anything as long as their is a bigger kid on the block to stop it.

I'm going to assume you believe we are looking at more unconventional conflicts, so, why do you believe that?



Turquoise wrote:

Well, I will agree that the technology gap will certainly close over time, and that can translate to higher casualties, but with the growing interest in drone technology, I'm not sure if that's a realistic expectation.

Also, when you consider how interdependent the world is becoming economically, warfare is becoming less and less attractive to both the developing and developed world.
Drone technology can only go so far, the communication links will always be vulnerable, extremely vulnerable, and we will never in our right minds let a weapons platform fire autonomously.

Last edited by Commie Killer (2010-05-20 17:46:21)

Turquoise
O Canada
+1,596|6690|North Carolina

lowing wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

lowing wrote:


Wrong, historically Boeing has been on the cutting edge of commerical air travel as well as military aircraft. It has never neglected one for the other.
Well, the same friend who provided this article to me would beg to differ.  He works for Boeing.  I can't give too many details, but let's just say he's seen firsthand what trying to complete a major defense contract is like, and it's not pleasant.

Private sector contracts are much more stable and easier to manage, because airlines don't have the same kind of leverage that Congress does.  When Congress adds a responsibility onto a project, they can keep the price the same as before.  When a contractor tries to land a defense contract in the first place, they usually low-ball the estimate to undercut the competition.

Things tend to snowball from that point onward, because of the fickle nature of Congress.
Boeing does not need Congressional approval to R and D and it continues to do so for military as well as commercial applications. They stay on the cutting edge of technology without a specific order for it, just like the govt. should be doing in its military applications. Hense a strong national defense NOT operating on a shoe string budget
In the private sector, most research is need driven.  If Boeing doesn't see an opportunity in successfully marketing some new technology, it's not likely to invest in it.

By contrast, government research isn't bound by the same laws of supply and demand.  There is less of a motivation to focus on what's most marketable.  Sometimes, this is a good thing, but in other cases, it leads to waste.

So, in a way, your statement here seems to support the idea of less military spending, because Boeing has already shown that it handles innovation quite well without government interest or funding.
ghettoperson
Member
+1,943|6934

Commie Killer wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

This is an honest question.  Why do you think we're headed back to conventional warfare?
Unconventional is pointless, we are done with the middle east, though I think most don't know it yet. Iran is going no where, they are going to get the bomb, and they won't use it. Africa is going to slowly settle down over the next 20 years, of course, we will still have the standard genocide every few years. If China is in the position is is now 100 years ago, it would control Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea, Siberia, Australia, and portions of India. They understand and know that too, and they also realize that they can't do anything about it at the moment, so they think long term. I'm not going to say were going to have a 1930's Japan on our hands, just a Soviet Union. Its not going to do anything as long as their is a bigger kid on the block to stop it.

I'm going to assume you believe we are looking at more unconventional conflicts, so, why do you believe that?



Turquoise wrote:

Well, I will agree that the technology gap will certainly close over time, and that can translate to higher casualties, but with the growing interest in drone technology, I'm not sure if that's a realistic expectation.

Also, when you consider how interdependent the world is becoming economically, warfare is becoming less and less attractive to both the developing and developed world.
Drone technology can only go so far, the communication links will always be vulnerable, extremely vulnerable, and we will never in our right minds let a weapons platform fire autonomously.
Globalisation and trade has pretty much seen the end of wars as our grandparents knew it. I imagine wars in the future will be much like Iraq.
Turquoise
O Canada
+1,596|6690|North Carolina

Commie Killer wrote:

Unconventional is pointless, we are done with the middle east, though I think most don't know it yet. Iran is going no where, they are going to get the bomb, and they won't use it. Africa is going to slowly settle down over the next 20 years, of course, we will still have the standard genocide every few years. If China is in the position is is now 100 years ago, it would control Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea, Siberia, Australia, and portions of India. They understand and know that too, and they also realize that they can't do anything about it at the moment, so they think long term. I'm not going to say were going to have a 1930's Japan on our hands, just a Soviet Union. Its not going to do anything as long as their is a bigger kid on the block to stop it.

I'm going to assume you believe we are looking at more unconventional conflicts, so, why do you believe that?
Economic interdependence encourages more diplomatic actions than military ones.  Countries may argue with each other, but most of the battles that are fought today are in trade policy.  Armed conflict is generally something reserved for less stable countries these days.  While it is true that we're still engaged in it along with our allies, it's more of a peacekeeping action than anything else.  Said missions do not require one major power in charge.  All that is needed is multilateral agreement, and in many cases, economic power speaks louder than military might.

That being said, the parties most interested in warfare nowadays are radicals.  People that hold fanatical, nihilistic views are more likely to engage in guerilla warfare than established countries are for conventional conflicts.  The reason for this is a matter of what's at stake to lose.

Fanatics have little to lose and everything to gain from war.  Established economies are the opposite because of the debts and negative PR involved.

Commie Killer wrote:

Drone technology can only go so far, the communication links will always be vulnerable, extremely vulnerable, and we will never in our right minds let a weapons platform fire autonomously.
This is true.
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6937|USA

Turquoise wrote:

lowing wrote:

Turquoise wrote:


Well, the same friend who provided this article to me would beg to differ.  He works for Boeing.  I can't give too many details, but let's just say he's seen firsthand what trying to complete a major defense contract is like, and it's not pleasant.

Private sector contracts are much more stable and easier to manage, because airlines don't have the same kind of leverage that Congress does.  When Congress adds a responsibility onto a project, they can keep the price the same as before.  When a contractor tries to land a defense contract in the first place, they usually low-ball the estimate to undercut the competition.

Things tend to snowball from that point onward, because of the fickle nature of Congress.
Boeing does not need Congressional approval to R and D and it continues to do so for military as well as commercial applications. They stay on the cutting edge of technology without a specific order for it, just like the govt. should be doing in its military applications. Hence a strong national defense NOT operating on a shoe string budget
In the private sector, most research is need driven.  If Boeing doesn't see an opportunity in successfully marketing some new technology, it's not likely to invest in it.

By contrast, government research isn't bound by the same laws of supply and demand.  There is less of a motivation to focus on what's most marketable.  Sometimes, this is a good thing, but in other cases, it leads to waste.

So, in a way, your statement here seems to support the idea of less military spending, because Boeing has already shown that it handles innovation quite well without government interest or funding.
Boeing just flew the 787 don't think for a second, the 797 isn't being discussed somewhere all without an immediate need. this holds true for the military. Just as it has been proven after WW1 we can ill afford to let out guard down now, just because there is not an immediate need. As I have stated, the world is too fluid for that attitude.
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7001

Commie Killer wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

This is an honest question.  Why do you think we're headed back to conventional warfare?
Unconventional is pointless, we are done with the middle east, though I think most don't know it yet. Iran is going no where, they are going to get the bomb, and they won't use it. Africa is going to slowly settle down over the next 20 years, of course, we will still have the standard genocide every few years. If China is in the position is is now 100 years ago, it would control Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea, Siberia, Australia, and portions of India. They understand and know that too, and they also realize that they can't do anything about it at the moment, so they think long term. I'm not going to say were going to have a 1930's Japan on our hands, just a Soviet Union. Its not going to do anything as long as their is a bigger kid on the block to stop it.

I'm going to assume you believe we are looking at more unconventional conflicts, so, why do you believe that?



Turquoise wrote:

Well, I will agree that the technology gap will certainly close over time, and that can translate to higher casualties, but with the growing interest in drone technology, I'm not sure if that's a realistic expectation.

Also, when you consider how interdependent the world is becoming economically, warfare is becoming less and less attractive to both the developing and developed world.
Drone technology can only go so far, the communication links will always be vulnerable, extremely vulnerable, and we will never in our right minds let a weapons platform fire autonomously.
Japan, Korea and India do not like China all that much... I would highly doubt they would want to form an alliance with the Chinese.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
Commie Killer
Member
+192|6672

Cybargs wrote:

Commie Killer wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

This is an honest question.  Why do you think we're headed back to conventional warfare?
Unconventional is pointless, we are done with the middle east, though I think most don't know it yet. Iran is going no where, they are going to get the bomb, and they won't use it. Africa is going to slowly settle down over the next 20 years, of course, we will still have the standard genocide every few years. If China is in the position is is now 100 years ago, it would control Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea, Siberia, Australia, and portions of India. They understand and know that too, and they also realize that they can't do anything about it at the moment, so they think long term. I'm not going to say were going to have a 1930's Japan on our hands, just a Soviet Union. Its not going to do anything as long as their is a bigger kid on the block to stop it.

I'm going to assume you believe we are looking at more unconventional conflicts, so, why do you believe that?



Turquoise wrote:

Well, I will agree that the technology gap will certainly close over time, and that can translate to higher casualties, but with the growing interest in drone technology, I'm not sure if that's a realistic expectation.

Also, when you consider how interdependent the world is becoming economically, warfare is becoming less and less attractive to both the developing and developed world.
Drone technology can only go so far, the communication links will always be vulnerable, extremely vulnerable, and we will never in our right minds let a weapons platform fire autonomously.
Japan, Korea and India do not like China all that much... I would highly doubt they would want to form an alliance with the Chinese.
I wasn't speaking of an alliance.

I agree on the economic thing as well, but again, Chinese think long term, very long term, and I would believe they would be willing to take a hit in the short term for the greater economic benefits in the future with the increased territory, info/tech, resources, etc from taking over those territories.
Harmor
Error_Name_Not_Found
+605|6834|San Diego, CA, USA

Trotskygrad wrote:

JohnG@lt wrote:

As I've argued before, I agree that we need to drastically shrink our defense spending. FM brings up a very strong point though. Reducing our military would necessitate bringing back the draft, perhaps in a like manner to Israel and Europe.
mandatory conscription/drafting will not go over well tbh.

However, defense spending does need to be shrunk.
I'm for defense spending that makes us safer rather than spending for defense spending sake (i.e. ever increasing).
Turquoise
O Canada
+1,596|6690|North Carolina

lowing wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

lowing wrote:


Boeing does not need Congressional approval to R and D and it continues to do so for military as well as commercial applications. They stay on the cutting edge of technology without a specific order for it, just like the govt. should be doing in its military applications. Hence a strong national defense NOT operating on a shoe string budget
In the private sector, most research is need driven.  If Boeing doesn't see an opportunity in successfully marketing some new technology, it's not likely to invest in it.

By contrast, government research isn't bound by the same laws of supply and demand.  There is less of a motivation to focus on what's most marketable.  Sometimes, this is a good thing, but in other cases, it leads to waste.

So, in a way, your statement here seems to support the idea of less military spending, because Boeing has already shown that it handles innovation quite well without government interest or funding.
Boeing just flew the 787 don't think for a second, the 797 isn't being discussed somewhere all without an immediate need. this holds true for the military. Just as it has been proven after WW1 we can ill afford to let out guard down now, just because there is not an immediate need. As I have stated, the world is too fluid for that attitude.
I don't see it as letting our guard down though.  For example, we could cut our military budget in half and still spend 5 times more than the next biggest spender -- China.

There is no rational justification for maintaining such a wide spending berth between us and China, because even if we spent the same amount militarily, it would not be in China's best interests to attack us.  They wield far more power against us through purchasing our debt.
Turquoise
O Canada
+1,596|6690|North Carolina

Cybargs wrote:

Commie Killer wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

This is an honest question.  Why do you think we're headed back to conventional warfare?
Unconventional is pointless, we are done with the middle east, though I think most don't know it yet. Iran is going no where, they are going to get the bomb, and they won't use it. Africa is going to slowly settle down over the next 20 years, of course, we will still have the standard genocide every few years. If China is in the position is is now 100 years ago, it would control Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea, Siberia, Australia, and portions of India. They understand and know that too, and they also realize that they can't do anything about it at the moment, so they think long term. I'm not going to say were going to have a 1930's Japan on our hands, just a Soviet Union. Its not going to do anything as long as their is a bigger kid on the block to stop it.

I'm going to assume you believe we are looking at more unconventional conflicts, so, why do you believe that?



Turquoise wrote:

Well, I will agree that the technology gap will certainly close over time, and that can translate to higher casualties, but with the growing interest in drone technology, I'm not sure if that's a realistic expectation.

Also, when you consider how interdependent the world is becoming economically, warfare is becoming less and less attractive to both the developing and developed world.
Drone technology can only go so far, the communication links will always be vulnerable, extremely vulnerable, and we will never in our right minds let a weapons platform fire autonomously.
Japan, Korea and India do not like China all that much... I would highly doubt they would want to form an alliance with the Chinese.
Generally speaking, the tactic China more often uses is one of economic imperialism, rather than the military version.  They've spent the last century watching us wield our influence through trade policy, and I think, at this point, they've started to overtake us in their prowess at it.

It's usually much more affordable and profitable to control countries through multinational corporations and purchasing vital resources than it is to conquer them via military occupation.
BN
smells like wee wee
+159|7053
The US are addicted to military spending. How many jobs and tax dollars are creating by military spending?
13rin
Member
+977|6764
We need to boost spending.
I stood in line for four hours. They better give me a Wal-Mart gift card, or something.  - Rodney Booker, Job Fair attendee.
Flaming_Maniac
prince of insufficient light
+2,490|6992|67.222.138.85

DBBrinson1 wrote:

We need to boost spending.
So are you going to back that up, or are you just trying to be inflammatory?
Trotskygrad
бля
+354|6284|Vortex Ring State

BN wrote:

The US are addicted to military spending. How many jobs and tax dollars are creating by military spending?
a lot tbh, I'm against it, but it creates a sh*tload of jobs.
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5643|London, England

Trotskygrad wrote:

BN wrote:

The US are addicted to military spending. How many jobs and tax dollars are creating by military spending?
a lot tbh, I'm against it, but it creates a sh*tload of jobs.
It doesn't create jobs...
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Flaming_Maniac
prince of insufficient light
+2,490|6992|67.222.138.85
Some of the money would be invested if it went to the private sector.
Trotskygrad
бля
+354|6284|Vortex Ring State

JohnG@lt wrote:

Trotskygrad wrote:

BN wrote:

The US are addicted to military spending. How many jobs and tax dollars are creating by military spending?
a lot tbh, I'm against it, but it creates a sh*tload of jobs.
It doesn't create jobs...
fine, it provides a shitload of jobs, if they cut spending, people are gonna become unemployed.
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7000|US

Turquoise wrote:

I don't see it as letting our guard down though.  For example, we could cut our military budget in half and still spend 5 times more than the next biggest spender -- China.
Are you using their published figures here?
It is widely and reasonably believed that China understates their military budget by over 50%.
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6937|USA

JohnG@lt wrote:

Trotskygrad wrote:

BN wrote:

The US are addicted to military spending. How many jobs and tax dollars are creating by military spending?
a lot tbh, I'm against it, but it creates a sh*tload of jobs.
It doesn't create jobs...
Sure seemed to during WW2. Not really sure how you can say that national defense does not create jobs.
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6937|USA

Turquoise wrote:

lowing wrote:

Turquoise wrote:


In the private sector, most research is need driven.  If Boeing doesn't see an opportunity in successfully marketing some new technology, it's not likely to invest in it.

By contrast, government research isn't bound by the same laws of supply and demand.  There is less of a motivation to focus on what's most marketable.  Sometimes, this is a good thing, but in other cases, it leads to waste.

So, in a way, your statement here seems to support the idea of less military spending, because Boeing has already shown that it handles innovation quite well without government interest or funding.
Boeing just flew the 787 don't think for a second, the 797 isn't being discussed somewhere all without an immediate need. this holds true for the military. Just as it has been proven after WW1 we can ill afford to let out guard down now, just because there is not an immediate need. As I have stated, the world is too fluid for that attitude.
I don't see it as letting our guard down though.  For example, we could cut our military budget in half and still spend 5 times more than the next biggest spender -- China.

There is no rational justification for maintaining such a wide spending berth between us and China, because even if we spent the same amount militarily, it would not be in China's best interests to attack us.  They wield far more power against us through purchasing our debt.
Dunno about that, but if that were to be true the only reason it would be so is because China would bank on over welming numbers of cheap units vs our high cost technology. THis was also proven in WW2 Germany's equipment 1 on 1 was far superior. They were just out numbered by the sheer amount of units we had to throw at them. Sherman tank vs Panzer as one example.

Your second paragraph is a different matter, and one I can agree with.
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7001
America GDP isn't shrinking... It's just other people are rising as economic powers... US defence spending is sitll like what, 3-4% of GDP? It doesn't necessarily take people away from jobs as it's a volunteer military, people have choices and the military also provides a lot of educational grants.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6960|Canberra, AUS

lowing wrote:

Turquoise wrote:

lowing wrote:


Boeing just flew the 787 don't think for a second, the 797 isn't being discussed somewhere all without an immediate need. this holds true for the military. Just as it has been proven after WW1 we can ill afford to let out guard down now, just because there is not an immediate need. As I have stated, the world is too fluid for that attitude.
I don't see it as letting our guard down though.  For example, we could cut our military budget in half and still spend 5 times more than the next biggest spender -- China.

There is no rational justification for maintaining such a wide spending berth between us and China, because even if we spent the same amount militarily, it would not be in China's best interests to attack us.  They wield far more power against us through purchasing our debt.
Dunno about that, but if that were to be true the only reason it would be so is because China would bank on over welming numbers of cheap units vs our high cost technology. THis was also proven in WW2 Germany's equipment 1 on 1 was far superior. They were just out numbered by the sheer amount of units we had to throw at them. Sherman tank vs Panzer as one example.

Your second paragraph is a different matter, and one I can agree with.
If you're thinking about needing to defend against China then you are forgetting one rather important thing - nukes. America has the ability to wipe the country out within minutes, hours at most. China does not - it keeps its warheads and launchers separate.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
11 Bravo
Banned
+965|5522|Cleveland, Ohio
i agree.  bring back the draft.

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