PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

imortal wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

a) There's no evidence from other countries that have had firearms bans that criminals will suddenly go running around with assault rifles. In fact the US has a higher percentage of assault rifles used in crimes than the UK.
Other countires are not the US.  Guns have been a part of our national psyche since our inception as a nation; that is much less true in pretty much every other nation on earth, with the exception of a few places in Africa.  Europe, for example, has a history of weapons restrictions going back to fuedal times.  There is no huge demand for fireamrs in the UK.  Here in the US, there is such a demand.  You are most likely correct.  It is difficult to conceal an assault rifle as you go and do your daily rounds, but if you want to carry a weapon, and that is all that is available... and I hate to say it, but there is a difference of scale.  Policing the UK is even easier than policing one of our larger states, population and land area-wise.  UK has the added advantage of being an island.  However, even with that, didn't the IRA manage to get their hands on some automatic weapons?  I never said it was going to be sudden.  I didn't even claim the difference was going to be huge.
The largest US state has a little over half the populace of the UK. The problem the US faces is predominantly in terms of low population density

imortal wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

b) The majority of gun crimes in the US are not comitted by serious organised criminals. By making the supply of firearms more risky and expensive and by removing the reason that most criminals arm themselves in the first place (self-defence against legal gun owners) which has benefits for the populace as nervous armed criminals tend to do stupid things. Plus you're making the police's job a hell of a lot easier as far more criminals will be unarmed.
Criminals break laws.  Just becuase it is illegal, does not mean they won't do it anyway.  A lack of availability will make a difference, unless that criminal feels they need a gun, then they will find a way to get one.  Criminals do not get a gun to protect themselves from an armed citizen.  The very idea is laughable.  Citizens with guns don't hunt and prey on criminals, it is not a method of defense for them.  Criminals use guns offensively; an armed citizen uses theirs defensively.  If you can't see the difference in that, there is no more point in arguing.  A criminal goes for easy prey (i.e. an old lady cashing her Social Security check instead of a college linebacker pulling a couple hundred out of an ATM).  An armed populace decreases crime against persons (such as muggings) because it is harder for a criminal to properly assess targets for risk.  A gun carried by one of these common criminals is a method of intimidation, not of self defense.  If the target may have a gun, the risk for the criminal is too high for the reward, and they go on to either an easier area of crime, or looks for a group that is less likely to be armed.
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/pub/pdf/fuo.pdf
40% of criminals used their gun in self-defense - it's not a laughable idea that if you are going to break into somewhere to steal stuff where you think there's a chance the occupants will be armed and willing to kill you that it may be a good idea to gave a gun to defend yourself against them.

imortal wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

c) Organised criminals can probably get their hands on whatever they want anyway, evidence from other countries with general firearm band indicates that organised criminals won't be rushing out to get AK's.
You are correct.  However, many, if not most of them get along with what they can get their hands on now.  It is easier, and it is sufficiant.  Now, if they can't just go out and get one- if they have to plan and work at getting a gun, you are more likely to make it worth your while.  I used the example of AKs because they are pretty much the most prolific weapon in the world, and most likely the easiest to get on the black market. 

Smuggling weapons is a bit different than smuggling drugs.  First, instead of suspecting the other side has guns, it is pretty much a sure thing, just due to what you are trading.  Any law enforcement trying to stop a buy must go in with more force, just due to the nature of what is being traded.  Since it is so much riskier for the criminals, it has to be worth more money to make it worthwile.  If there is more money involved, there is more of a danger of being double crossed.  Because there is a risk of a greater prison sentace, there is more motivation by the crimial to evade capture.  Hence the increased desire of the criminal to be better armed for this enterprise.  Since they are dealing in weapons anyway, they have their own pick.  So, pick that which has the best punch.
So you thing that some criminals may go for slightly better guns while a large number will abandon guns altogether. That sounds like a possitive outcome?

I generally agree on the other points that a firearms ban is a pointless endevour if a large percentage of the populace strongly oppose such a thing. My argument isn't that guns have to be banned, but that there are problems caused by legal firearms ownership, but if a populace believe that the possitive aspects outweigh the negative then that up to them, same with other restricted things like drugs, dangerous chemicals, radioactive substances etc.
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

RAIMIUS wrote:

A. (Mexico?)  UK firearms crimes are going up.
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs08/hosb0708.pdf
No they aren't, they've stayed about the same for about 8 years now. Even if they were they'd have to go up several thousand percent to get to the level seen in the US.
stryyker
bad touch
+1,682|7022|California

Although good in theory, that would tack thousands more to already high firearm and ammunition prices.

And like all fail-safes, they eventually fail and become unsafe.
imortal
Member
+240|6967|Austin, TX

PureFodder wrote:

http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/pub/pdf/fuo.pdf
40% of criminals used their gun in self-defense - it's not a laughable idea that if you are going to break into somewhere to steal stuff where you think there's a chance the occupants will be armed and willing to kill you that it may be a good idea to gave a gun to defend yourself against them.
That is actually a nice assumption you drew from the data, since there is no detail in the article about whom they are defending themselves from.  That is especially applicable to the semiautomatic rifle catagory, since it is not really advisable or practical to carry a full size rifle or shotgun down the street for a mugging or into a house on a burglury.  Criminals do not just prey on the citizenry; they prey on each other as well.  There have been a half dozen shootings in our area that have involved a forceable entry into a residence while the homeowners were there.  In 5/6 of the incidents, it turns out that the homeowners were criminals known to the people breaking in, and were after either money or drugs.  There is nothing in the data you provided to suggest that criminals were counting that defense as being from their chosen victim.

PureFodder wrote:

imortal wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

c) Organised criminals can probably get their hands on whatever they want anyway, evidence from other countries with general firearm band indicates that organised criminals won't be rushing out to get AK's.
You are correct.  However, many, if not most of them get along with what they can get their hands on now.  It is easier, and it is sufficiant.  Now, if they can't just go out and get one- if they have to plan and work at getting a gun, you are more likely to make it worth your while.  I used the example of AKs because they are pretty much the most prolific weapon in the world, and most likely the easiest to get on the black market. 

Smuggling weapons is a bit different than smuggling drugs.  First, instead of suspecting the other side has guns, it is pretty much a sure thing, just due to what you are trading.  Any law enforcement trying to stop a buy must go in with more force, just due to the nature of what is being traded.  Since it is so much riskier for the criminals, it has to be worth more money to make it worthwile.  If there is more money involved, there is more of a danger of being double crossed.  Because there is a risk of a greater prison sentence, there is more motivation by the crimial to evade capture.  Hence the increased desire of the criminal to be better armed for this enterprise.  Since they are dealing in weapons anyway, they have their own pick.  So, pick that which has the best punch.
So you thing that some criminals may go for slightly better guns while a large number will abandon guns altogether. That sounds like a possitive outcome?
Not quite what I said.  If a gun ban were passed, then the common hood on the street could feel confident they could accomplish thier task with less force.  Remember, in the article you provided, in the majority of the cases a gun was brandished by the criminal to intimidate the victim.  If they can accomplish the same with a kife, that means they will have less of a need to go to the effort of finding a gun.  The effect of the gun ban would be more serious on the citizenry, however.  There is a large deterrence factor to the criminal in areas where there is a concealed carry law.  If a hood is confident their target will not be armed, it gives them a great variety of targets.  If there is a possibility that their target may or will put up a fight, they will have to be more careful in who they choose to victimize.  Crime could very well increase.  Speaking as one of those citizens who would potentially be stripped of that method of self defense, I veiw it as a bad thing.

For you, it is an intellectual exercise.  For me, it is a threat to my way of life.

Last edited by imortal (2009-04-23 10:41:09)

Pug
UR father's brother's nephew's former roommate
+652|6844|Texas - Bigger than France
I think it would be pretty easy to bypass something like that.

The second issue is that 99% of firearm sales are not an issue, the other 1% are "lost" and used in a crime.

The third issue is this will not impact crime postively.  Of the 1% of "lost" guns my bet is a small % of those are actually used.  I'm guessing I'm not going to ask "before I give you my wallet, are you biometrically compatible to use that gun pointed at me?"

The fourth issue is we have enough illegal border traffic already.
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7017|US

Pug wrote:

I'm guessing I'm not going to ask "before I give you my wallet, are you biometrically compatible to use that gun pointed at me?"
Very funny!

Actually, I was surprised to find that in the UK, they collect data on crimes using replica firearms and BB guns.  It was a surprisingly large percentage.  Then again, most people can't tell the size difference between 6mm airsoft barrels and those of real firearm calibers.

Armed robbery with fake firearms is an interesting phenomenon.
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7017|US
Figures set to be released by the Home Office are to show that gun crime has doubled since Labour won power in 1997, according to newspaper reports.
(2003) http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/01/06/uk.guns/
(I really don't care about blaming the Labour party, as I doubt the two are connected, but look at the statistic.)

There were 21,521 reported crimes involving firearms in England and Wales in 2005/6, according to the Home Office.
That's a 55 per cent increase on a decade earlier, when there were 13,876 gun-related offences.
It averages 414 gun crimes every week.
50 of the total firearm crimes were murders.
7,248 were for other violent incidents against another person.
Gun-related incidents hit their peak in 2003/04 when there were 24,094 recorded offences.
(2007) http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-storie … -19725690/

Do you want more sources?
Deadmonkiefart
Floccinaucinihilipilificator
+177|7008
I'm going to have to say that this proposal is absurd.

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