Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6345|eXtreme to the maX
Putin isn't going to do it but someone in Russia is going to realise being a pariah nation has its problems.

The wildcard in all this is China, and we know they're arseholes.

What a few years, China releases a prototype bio-weapon and Russia starts a war.
If I could go to sleep in a pod and wake up in 1,000 years I'd do it.
Fuck Israel
uziq
Member
+496|3692
what’s the need for a prototype bio-weapon, other than to tickle the fervid imagination of comic book-movie-addicted manlets?

we don’t need a new superweapon. china doesn’t need to become a big purple man from space. china and russia already have enough nukes, tactical or otherwise, to vanquish their foes. they already have biological weapons in the deep freeze. why this desire for novelty? we realised how to make infinitely potent nerve agents 50 years ago.
uziq
Member
+496|3692
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FNE9vR9XMAAm7LG?format=jpg&name=900x900
Larssen
Member
+99|2127

uziq wrote:

SuperJail Warden wrote:

uziq wrote:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/03/04/anti-aircraft-missiles-germany-offered-ukraine-dont-work/

Anti-aircraft missiles Germany offered Ukraine don't work: Soviet-era missiles were declared obsolete in 2014 and have become corroded in storage.

amazing. scholz got a standing ovation in the german parliament for this ‘momentous’ pivot.

so thus far a bunch of european states have made a big song and dance about arming ukrainians, sending fighter jets, etc, announcing to putin that they’re intending to fight a proxy war … and the plane offer immediately came to nothing, and germany are clearing out their warehouses of junk.

but how about those ‘optics’ hey boys?
Why do you care? Don't you want Russians to stop getting hurt?
i’m talking about it in relation to all this gloating over the EU’s immense efforts to block ‘entities’ whilst doing nothing substantial. there’s too much talk over this image of ‘UK, where are you?’. erm, the UK actually trained the ukrainian military. the UK actually has sent significant amounts of cutting-edge armaments.

the EU’s administrative ability to shut down ‘entities’ must be great succour to the besieged freedom fighters of kyiv. don’t worry boys! brussels just kicked 4 suppliers of beet and pierogi out of poland!
The sanctions are unprecedented and russian stock markets have been closed to postpone the meltdown. The EU has also arranged for the financing of arms deliveries.

As for the uk being so involved; as previously stated they were architects of the budapest memorandum. While I consider the aid to ukraine more than justified now, there were many reasons not to be drawn into the conflict pre february. I still consider it madness the proxy war is now fought openly.
uziq
Member
+496|3692
the real hurt is coming from the central bank measures. let’s not pretend the size of the russian stock market or external investment is a worry to putin when you’re sending him half a billion dollars a day to keep your underfloor heating on.
Larssen
Member
+99|2127
What do you think is gonna happen to places like germany, austria, poland if people can no longer heat their houses and we're also out of electricity?

Just a moment earlier you were rightly complaining about left virtues activism that's spurring people to ridiculously cut ties with any and all things that have even a tangential relationship to russia or russian culture/history. Now you're mocking the sanctions because there's still deliveries of gas through the pipeline network?

There's a real chance that a few years from now people will look back at the unfolding of this crisis as a moment in which many terrible and ill-considered decisions were made. I'm willing to wager 'immediately cutting gas-supply mid winter' is not going to be in the should've/could've list.
unnamednewbie13
Moderator
+2,053|7011|PNW

Dilbert_X wrote:

unnamednewbie13 wrote:

Dilbert_X wrote:

Sanctions are the only practical option for a non-nuclear country to hit Russia.
Galvanizing resentment against the west by shutting down even non-critical trade I don't think is going to prevent Putin from mowing down buildings. Someone whose nesting doll business on etsy or whatever goes under probably isn't going to prompt a regime change by taking to the streets with a megaphone. Might get a good beating and some years in prison though. Products already paid for, shipped, and stocked: disposed of or sent back to a warehouse, it's what's in style now. "Harsh" slap in the face to Putin, lol.

All this cutting off of commerce, don't you think that plays into Putin's hands a little? Shut off even more communication and run some more anti-western propaganda on Russian news. "It's their fault we're suffering. We were only trying to stop the Nazis." I've heard wilder stories on Fox.
So what's the alternative?
Something immediately actionable without even writing their politicians is for fewer people to take such ghoulish joy in it. It's a really bad look.
uziq
Member
+496|3692
what do you think sanctioning the russian people is going to do, honestly?

this is part of the liberal worldview toolkit 101 which has badly failed our foreign policy in the last decade. the ‘people like nice things. especially our nice things’ line. it was this sort of ‘they’ll get used to luxury goods and won’t tolerate authoritarianism anymore’ line that turned into a sour farce in the west’s relationship with china. increasing wealth and a billionaire/millionaire elite don’t necessarily mean you have a coup-ready society. china is more behind its strongman leader than ever.

dilbert even gets half the picture, in his haphazard way. ‘if the russians want to go back to living in the 1950s …’. uhm, precisely? the russian people tolerated and lived with a system that was patently corrupt, a failing economy, and a terrible standard of living … for almost a century without a revolution. lmao. 

there were rich elites and concerned liberals in russia in the bolshevik era too, you know. the white russians all moved to paris or were suppressed. the mass of the russian people rode out the official shittiness of sovietism for 70 years. it’s practically in the russian character to ignore official politics and forebear shitty treatment. it’s the norm. 

but okay. there’s going to be a revolution! we just have to continue torpedo’ing their economy and closing our eyes to the blowback and collateral in the western half of the system! no matter that recent polls actually show a large rump of support for putin’s actions.

Last edited by uziq (2022-03-05 04:52:07)

Larssen
Member
+99|2127
Nowhere have I argued that bankrupting the average russian is a sensible goal, and anyone in the misguided belief they can oust putin is an idiot. Not in the least because modern technology favours authoritarian regimes and can easily ensure their survival where in other times there would've been revolutions, but I digress.

I already wrote earlier about the decision-making, what reasonable goals are and how these should be approached. Alas though I don't think it's possible to frustrate the russian efforts in ukraine without also negatively impacting the average russian economically. The question is to what extent, and at what point you'll cause more harm down the road.
uziq
Member
+496|3692
russia is going to do exactly what putin wants in ukraine. the best we can hope for is to bleed it out in an afghan-style debacle. meaning the ukrainian people become the wet mop of europe’s/the west’s mess. we are going to have to watch cities reduced to rubble and millions of people die until the russian economy starts making the groaning noises necessary.

but it’s still early spring in europe! we can’t turn the gas off just yet! just continue being shelled until may, okay kyiv? then the germans will be right there with their beach towels. just watch out for your sunloungers and poolside seating. the germans are a notorious people in the summer.
Larssen
Member
+99|2127
War is already here and stopping it is impossible. In the long view of things, I see no reason to allow Putin an easy path to victory and, if possible, denying it to him outright is a goal to strive for. Whatever scenario you think of, if it can be contained to ukraine: a long war, a quick war, a surrender, a two-state solution, a miracle ukrainian victory - there is no outcome that will spare the ukrainian people from immense suffering. But there might be outcomes that'll ensure a good life after the fighting ends. Annexation into Russia or becoming their satellite is unlikely to deliver that future.

Last edited by Larssen (2022-03-05 05:09:16)

uziq
Member
+496|3692
sure, but the emotive response of people like ursula ‘fake PhD’ at the EU isn’t delivering much. sanctioning 300 entities indeed. whilst being utterly dependent on russian imports. but the stock market!!!
Larssen
Member
+99|2127
There's time to make alternative arrangements without plunging half your continent in disarray with all consequences that will cause. I doubt you have a view of those, beyond apparently 'floor heating no longer works'. Besides this isn't the six day war, and if Putin's goals are truly as backwards as those which he stated publicly we might be looking at a conflict that will drag on for years. Again also depending on the amount of violence etc. russia is willing to use, but considering the last week I see no immediate indication the fighting will be done by next sunday.
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6345|eXtreme to the maX
Turn the thermostat down, get used to being a bit colder, use less electricity, this would help until alternative supplies can come online.
Fuck Israel
uziq
Member
+496|3692
i think this first week has had some small blessings in their logistical fuck-ups and initial cluelessness. that will change when they actually manage to get their shit where it needs to go, refuelled and resupplied, and encircle the cities proper.

you can bet that anyone who throws a molotov cocktail from an apartment building is going to find that entire building shelled into dust. 'target containing military assets'. we'll see what the romanticised image of 'urban resistance' means in the 21st century against an artillery-based land army.

indeed there was time to make alternative arrangements. that time was called yesterday. when germany shut down its entire nuclear sector over a non-threat in japan, pandering to its green party. that time was back when merkel decided to sign over half of the european energy infrastructure into putin's personal wallet, and when generations of german leaders and ex-politicians decided to fnid plum sinecures on the boards of russian companies.
Larssen
Member
+99|2127
They can hold out longer than you think, artillery can only penetrate so far. The crucial part will be supply lines.
uziq
Member
+496|3692
uziq
Member
+496|3692

Larssen wrote:

They can hold out longer than you think, artillery can only penetrate so far. The crucial part will be supply lines.
okay. grozny v2.0 it is then. rubber stamped by the german eurocrats in their warm apartments.
uziq
Member
+496|3692
honestly russia is another dimension.

https://twitter.com/reevellp/status/150 … 49924?s=21

here is putin explaining in a tv interview to a room full of air stewardesses (?!) why he’s invading ukraine.

why air stewardesses? i imagine not the most sympathetic group at the moment now that the airspace is totally closed.

their faces.

the whole time is too bizarre to even comprehend.
SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+641|3959

Dilbert_X wrote:

Turn the thermostat down, get used to being a bit colder, use less electricity, this would help until alternative supplies can come online.
2 weeks to flatten the heat curve
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
unnamednewbie13
Moderator
+2,053|7011|PNW

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics … ar-AAUFm1h

both republicans, fryshock.gif

Also remember when Republicans stormed a secure hearing?

https://i.imgur.com/ZTnWT4U.jpg
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6345|eXtreme to the maX
Putin has raised the issues of sanctions twice now, must be nervy.

China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi said the “evolution” of the situation in Ukraine is “something China does not want to see,” in a phone call with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, according to a statement from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs Saturday.

Wang said the Ukraine crisis should be solved through "dialogue and negotiation" and called on the United States, NATO, and the European Union to engage in “equal dialogue” with Russia. He said they should “pay attention to the negative impact of NATO's continuous eastward expansion on Russia's security.”
https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-new … index.html
Thanks China.

Interesting article about connections between British PM and Lebedev - now Lord Lebedev of Hampton and Siberia
This is treason
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/bori … -3dp6sw29x
Fuck Israel
uziq
Member
+496|3692
have i not mentioned this at least 3 times in the last 3 months. it’s not news to anyone in the UK.

johnson was being questioned about his close relationship even whilst foreign secretary.

lebedev’s father was KGB but if the father/son are state assets, then they are not a very straightforward ones. the paper they own in russia as part of their media empire is one of the only ones that has consistently taken a critical liberal line, the novaya gazeta.

as for buying peerages … a problem as old of the hills. plagued governments even in lloyd george’s day. it’s got worse since new labour abandoned ‘unfair’ hereditary peerages. now the house is full of spoxs, press officers and high-value donors.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ … llionaires

wider background reading, which rightfully points to the nextwork of law, PR, wealth management, etc, firms who have facilitated this state-of-affairs. a lot of lawyers who have serviced billionaires’ so-called ‘slapp’ notices, making use of the UK’s libel/defamation laws to shush anyone critical, well these people need to look themselves hard in the face too. and they’re not jewish, either, as you’ve tried to insinuate in the past.

Last edited by uziq (2022-03-06 01:17:33)

Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6345|eXtreme to the maX
Lawyers are just doing their jerb though, the govt needs to fix the law.

Cap damages at five pounds, make a 'so what' defence legally valid for example.
Fuck Israel
uziq
Member
+496|3692

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