korea is a really interesting society when considering the efficacy of any measures, just because it's incredibly centralized, everyone does as they're told, and the community focus is so high.
1.5 months ago it looked like they would have to u-turn on their reopening plans. community transmission went from 500-1500 stable for the last 6 months to runaway figures, and scarily fast. people were becoming very relaxed and many (mostly elders, who cannot be criticized in public because of the face-saving elder-respect culture) were beginning to go back to their ways: spitting in the streets, not wearing masks, not washing their hands, etc. you know, post-war-generation habits.
korea was 90%+ double vaxxed when they began reopening. problem was, delta and other seasonal infections were leading to very high numbers of ICU admissions. korea was one of the only countries globally to begin reopening that actually saw a rise in death rate. so something had to change: re-enter summer social distancing measures (maximum group sizes, vaccine passports must be shown to enter any venues; curfews reinstated on night-time economy).
korean people (a) listen to the government and (b) scare easily. any rumour or talk that 'covid is getting bad', and the group and family networks circle the wagons. young people, who mostly live at home, are strongly pressured not to visit virus hotspots or engage in high-risk activities. the whole society battens down the hatches. and we are not talking a small 'pilot'-sized society here, either, like an israel or even an australia. we're talking 55 million people following instructions and acting swiftly.
anyway. about those vulnerable old people who were dying off: it's because they all received 2x doses of AZ last spring. korea had to deploy a booster programme. and fast.
and that's what they did. in the last month, 78% of the elderly have received a booster. rapid, rapid deployment using their do-everything chat app (kakao) and widespread availability of drop-in clinics. in the last month, with the above-mentioned social distancing measures, a runaway case load that was breaking records every day (most cases, most deaths in the whole pandemic) has now halved. it's averaging 3,000 cases/day this week, down from 7-8k last week and 10k over christmas.
great stuff. still waiting to see how omicron plays out here, though. soon we should be in a position to begin broaching the re-opening plans again. originally they wanted all restrictions to be lifted by february.
Last edited by uziq (2022-01-04 09:45:52)