coronaviruses mutate. it's how it is.
as i've said umpteen times, there have so far been no mutations which have confounded the vaccine tech. SARS-CoV-2 is a pretty simple thing on a microbiological level and doesn't have many 'components' that can alter and change. most mutations concern the spike protein and that's precisely the thing which our vaccines operate upon. so long as covid-19 spreads using this spike mechanism, we've got it covered with greater and lesser degrees of effectivity.
new mutations may arise which make it more transmissible and 'successful' at hopping from person to person, but it's not like it's suddenly going to mutate to become 5x as deadly and totally invulnerable to our vaccines. we haven't seen that picture yet and we have sequenced hundreds of variants.
Here Victoria is removing most restrictions, including masks in most places, even though they're on ~1200 cases and 5-10 deaths/day, they'll be back in lockdown soon enough.
the only stats which matter at this point is serious illness/ICU capacity and deaths. obsessing over keeping case numbers low is a pointless and impossible task. covid-19 is as general and predicted to be as seasonal as the flu from here on out, forever. we can't put it back in its bottle. koreans have recently had to get over this huge psychological obsession and fear about case numbers, too. you'd be surprised how quickly people stop caring. 6 months ago the idea of there being 1,000 cases a day spelt national doom and disaster. now it's hovering around 2.5k-3k cases a day and people are going about their lives as normal; in fact, they're being a little blithe about the whole thing (pensioners need to get their boosters).
the UK has had 40-50k cases a day for months and the death rate has stayed flat. it's still at a pretty unhappy average, if 'every death is an avoidable tragedy' and so on, but we are closing in on covid-19 with every passing month. new treatments, new antivirals, better vaccines, deployment of boosters, etc, all have a measurable and positive effect. look at israel's stats, again, to see just how effective booster shots really are. there is cause for some measured, patient optimism.
Last edited by uziq (2021-11-19 05:24:05)