Larssen
Member
+99|2129
Bright's testimony was very informative and I'd recommend watching at least part of it. The 12-18 month timeline for a vaccine is rather unrealistic and it would at first produce a vaccine only useable to treat critical cases.

Last edited by Larssen (2020-05-15 07:05:17)

uziq
Member
+496|3694

Jay wrote:

Chart looks almost inversely proportional to Ability to Complain about the current situation. I'm sure North Korea is damn near 99% approval.
how ironic, considering you spend so much time and effort now on raillery against those who complain about your administration. parroting every line in the book about their ‘weakness’, ‘emotionalism’, etc. calling the complainers mentally ill, or suffering from a sickness...

i know it’s amazing to comprehend, but china has plenty of newly rich middle-class and a huge rump of cultural conservatives, much like in america, who are only too happy to support it.

ditto with russia. from the outside we imagine it being one giant corrupt kleptocracy, imposed on a downtrodden people. which it is. but ideology is a funny thing. putin has amazing approval ratings, and nobody has a gun to their head. a family totally ripped off by the mafiosos still remembers fondly how putin took the fight to the chechens. that sort of thing counts for a lot.

it’s the same in america, after all. trump supporters from any cold economic perspective clearly look like turkeys voting for christmas (you are one of them, hence being anointed our resident bootlicker). politics is often perverse.

so no, i don’t buy the idea that huge countries like india and china are ruled by duress, and ‘approval’ is coerced like in coffin states like NK or saudi arabia. there are simply too many people to manufacture that consent. the simple matter of fact is that the CCP has overseen the greatest transformation of human fortune in the history of mankind. that’s not nothing. many people in china are obscenely proud of their 20th century, and their undeniable ascent to the top table. they are not indoctrinated or forced to express positive opinions: they have them. it’s like accusing patriotic americans in the optimistic, booming 1950s of being mindwashed.

it’s often a device of right-wing rhetoric in the west to make out that anyone, anywhere else, claiming to be happy under an alternative system is a dupe, or a hostage, or a deluded fanatic. dilbert claiming that most asians would rather be in the west is naive hillbilly at best, raving ethno-nationalist at worst. in any case, there’s not a single survey, poll, study or even news story to support it.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 07:19:39)

Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5600|London, England

uziq wrote:

Jay wrote:

Chart looks almost inversely proportional to Ability to Complain about the current situation. I'm sure North Korea is damn near 99% approval.
how ironic, considering you spend so much time and effort now on raillery against those who complain about your administration. parroting every line in the book about their ‘weakness’, ‘emotionalism’, etc. calling the complainers mentally ill, or suffering from a sickness...

i know it’s amazing to comprehend, but china has plenty of newly rich middle-class and a huge rump of cultural conservatives, much like in america, who are only too happy to support it.

ditto with russia. from the outside we imagine it being one giant corrupt kleptocracy, imposed on a downtrodden people. which it is. but ideology is a funny thing. putin has amazing approval ratings, and nobody has a gun to their head. a family totally ripped off by the mafiosos still remembers fondly how putin took the fight to the chechens. that sort of thing counts for a lot.

it’s the same in america, after all. trump supporters from any cold economic perspective clearly look like turkeys voting for christmas (you are one of them, hence being anointed our resident bootlicker). politics is often perverse.

so no, i don’t buy the idea that huge countries like india and china are ruled by duress, and ‘approval’ is coerced like in coffin states like NK or saudi arabia. there are simply too many people to manufacture that consent. the simple matter of fact is that the CCP has overseen the greatest transformation of human fortune in the history of mankind. that’s not nothing. many people in china are obscenely proud of their 20th century, and their undeniable ascent to the top table. they are not indoctrinated or forced to express positive opinions: they have them. it’s like accusing patriotic americans in the optimistic, booming 1950s of being mindwashed.

it’s often a device of right-wing rhetoric in the west to make out that anyone, anywhere else, claiming to be happy under an alternative system is a dupe, or a hostage, or a deluded fanatic. dilbert claiming that most asians would rather be in the west is naive hillbilly at best, raving ethno-nationalist at worst. in any case, there’s not a single survey, poll, study or even news story to support it.
Really? Then why do so many tens of thousands of Chinese emigrate to the US and Canada and Australia every year? Could it be that maybe, just maybe, what you've been exposed to is propaganda? You said it yourself, right? Your supposed ex-girlfriend (i.e. that girl you chatted with on the internet that one time) was very pro-China. Why? It's not like she hadn't been indoctrinated her entire life in state propaganda and nationalism... It's not like she hasn't seen dissenters disappear, or the universal scared deference. Yeah, everything is completely hunky dory. They all want to live in a hive minded society without any freedom.

So why do they emigrate then? Why do they come here and set up their businesses and bust their asses and drive their children to the brink of madness with extra-curriculars and pressure and everything else? If life is so cushy and the state is so benevolent back home, why come here and work so damn hard?

I'm starting to think you have some very real daddy issues uzi. Adults usually want to live their own life, and determine their own destiny, but you seem very drawn to authoritarian cultures and politics that would turn you into a marionette. Is life so difficult for you? Or do you have the hubris to believe that you will be the one controlling the strings of others?
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
uziq
Member
+496|3694
she wasn't an ex-girlfriend, she was a chinese student in a UK city, studying abroad. i've dated a few girls like that, and they are all cut from the same cloth and of the same opinion (i have no idea why you'd include some swipe at my 'fantasy' relationships; you are a hog, i am a suave good looking young buck). they are an excellent litmus test for what the upwardly mobile, aspirant chinese think: they are the children of chinese families that have $50,000 a year to spend on international degrees, after all. and those views, even among the 'enlightened' bourgeoisie and intelligentsia, is overwhelmingly pro-china.

what do you imagine your average lower-middle class worker or city dweller in china thinks, without benefit of going abroad, learning at august western institutions, centres of liberal democracy, etc.? how about when you imagine that that worker's parents and grandparents were likely involved in pro-communist activism in their own youth? when their grandparents and great-grandparents were rural poor, rice farmers, living year-on-year hand to mouth? and now they live in fancy apartments with boutique store bills on their credit cards?

you are hugely under-rating the success of the chinese system of governance with its own citizens. they have gone from being a largely agrarian backwater to a superpower with tens of millions commuting everyday on maglev trains.

victim of propaganda? no. i am not in support of china's system of governance at all. from any western perspective, the cost to privacy and civil liberties is monstrous. i wouldn't want to live there given another 10 lifetimes; i don't even want to visit tbh. but for you to say that china is some locked-down police state, with its populace living in misery and fear, is just propaganda of another kind. it's not very good. china's middle-class are better off than america's middle-class, and the majority of them are fine with the trade-off in civil liberties -- concepts with which they have never been familiar, in any case.

the absolute HILARITY of you talking about '10,000s of chinese emigrating', when you are the fucking mascot of total population statistics. jay? you know how america has 330,000,000 people? well china has 1.4 billion. how many emigrate as a % of the total population? can you run the sums for me, resident stats expert?

making out that it's some police state in which people escape persecution to 'safe havens' in the west, like iranian liberals after the islamic revolution or north korean dissidents today, is absolutely disingenuous in the extreme.

as a retarded and particularly ignorant american conservative, you're just going to have to deal with the fact that lots of chinese like being chinese, they like china very much, and they think china should rightfully be numbah wan.

"daddy issues" i would scratch being a psychoanalyst off your list as well as being a history teacher mate. stick to ticking boxes for now. you're doing so well!

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 09:46:02)

Larssen
Member
+99|2129
Do have to nuance that the system is mostly only beneficial to han chinese born in cities. But as long as the economic growth is sustained, discontent can largely be kept at bay.

That's going to change when the rural chinese and those who aren't of han origin realise their upward mobility is limited and their cultural diversity not tolerated.
uziq
Member
+496|3694
'han chinese born in cities' is in-itself an invention of the last 50 years, thanks to the CCP. they are supported by a much wider base than the mandarins at court and graduates of the old confucian-legalist system. that's kind of my entire point. the chinese government and its hawks and conservatives have a lot to brag about widespread modernisation.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 09:05:33)

Larssen
Member
+99|2129
I'm talking about the hukou system, which is family based. It determines your place in Chinese society and many of the opportunities / safety nets you'll receive depending on whether your family is registered as a 'rural' or 'urban' family. The designation is for life.

Only details though, but yes on the whole the CCP has been very succesful since the 80s and that succes is appreciated and celebrated by the population... just mostly a specific part of the population.
uziq
Member
+496|3694
if by 'specific' you mean 'the 90% majority', then yes.

people in china remember the wars, civil unrest, violence, etc. of pre-communist times. their culture is collectivist and leans towards authority; they have experienced the absence of it, and fear a return to those times. yes, there is simmering unrest in their stratified system, just as there are tensions in india with the caste system and regional/sectarian differences. but the overwhelming cultural disposition is towards favouring authority, stability, order. that isn't communist -- it's confucian.

what we're really discussing is a totally different historical context and a wholly different set of historically contingent beliefs/values.

americans who insist that chinese are 'brainwashed' or 'forced to say they like their government' are badly mistaken.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 09:17:17)

uziq
Member
+496|3694
here is a 2007 paper in a major western journal which, though dated by intervening events, gives a good background.
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10. … 0701562283

It is clear that public support for democracy is high in China. Public opinion surveys showthat more than 90% of Chinese citizens believe that having a democracy is good. But the majority is not yet ready for a major effort towards democratization because they still see economic growth and social stability as more important than freedom of speech, political participation, and other democratic rights. However, more and more people are growing up with  the  belief  that  political  rights  and  freedom  supersede  economic  wellbeing  or  other materialist goals. In 15 – 20 years, Chinese society will be dominated by people with such beliefs. We can be cautiously optimistic about the prospects for democratic change in China
optimism about that 'inevitable' march of liberalism and democratization has to now be seriously reconsidered. that is entirely my point, made several posts ago. many chinese are reverting to views of their parents and their cultural conservatives. democracy in the age of trump is not the hallowed and unimpeachable ideal it has been in the past. that sort of 'end of history' triumphalism is looking a lot like what westerners said about russia after the collapse of the USSR. well, how is that going? as putin does, xi jinping does.

here is a good recent article covering their 70th anniversary celebrations. a north korean pantomime parade of mock-tears and fake-support it most certainly wasn't.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these … 2019-10-02

American policy makers often draw a sharp distinction between what the historian Jeffrey Wasserstrom has termed “big bad China and the good Chinese people,” stressing that today’s more hawkish China policy is directed against the CCP and not the ordinary people who “dream of freedom.”

Yet China contains multitudes — not just dissidents, democrats, and human rights defenders — and many Chinese are vocal supporters of their government.

Indeed, various multinational opinion surveys consistently find a “high level of regime support” in China, even after factoring in the possibility that some people hide their dissatisfaction for fear of political repercussions. In 2014, Pew Global Research found that a staggering 92% of respondents had “confidence” in their country’s leader, Xi Jinping.

There’s no doubt China’s expansive system of propaganda, censorship and “patriotic education” helped shape such views, but we would be remiss to ignore the many reasons Chinese have to feel satisfied with their government’s performance. One particularly striking example is that a large majority of Chinese believe their children will be better off financially than their parents, while most Americans think their children will be worse off.
in effect the situation seems to be that the majority of citizens are in support of their government, especially in matters when china comes under scrutiny from outsiders/the rest of the world. and that they see the development of democracy as being perfectly feasible within the existing structures of the CCP. americans can't seem to get their head around it.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 17:04:30)

SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+641|3961
In the 30 years since Tienanmen Square, the CCP has been able to provide an ever increasing quality of life for Chinese people. Meanwhile, what has the U.S. been up to? Wars and recession. The president of the United States has less legitimacy among the people of his country than the CCP has in China. If I had to make a bet on which system is more stable, I would go with China. What does the U.S. have a genuine advantage over China in at this point? A more mature financial services industry?
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
uziq
Member
+496|3694
the chinese middle class are much more affluent and cash-rich than the american middle class. their children can expect a better quality of life than their parents. they have savings and can weather short-term economic shocks.

it counts for a lot.

for jay to make out that low levels of emigration to the US (or the UK, or australia, or anywhere else) is signs of mass chinese misery, desperate to escape, is the height of ignorance. for dilbert to say that the majority of asians would rather live in the west is fanciful, to say the least (wait for him to come up and attack the methodology of the pew research centre and ipso MORI, it's nonsense etc etc, he knows they're all miserable or being forced to answer contradictorily).

and as with larssen cavilling that the success story is ‘specific to the han’, when they make up 92% of the chinese population. don’t distort the picture: the majority of chinese are happy and keep saying so in survey after survey. taking this 'the economist' tone and pointing out their problems in this schoolmasterly way is all very fine and well, so long as you don't ignore the big picture. it would be like denying america's success in the 20th century because their inner-city black populations were unhappy: hugely legitimate problems which require addressing or negotiation, yes, but not proofs of rot in the foundations, and imminent collapse/defection.

it's also ironic that these tensions are an evil requiring qualification when it comes to the chinese, but when it's the romans absorbing cultures into the empire, or indeed the EU smoothing over the cracks, it's inevitable, old chap, something to be lauded, don't sentimentalize folkish beliefs and silly micro-nations ...

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 10:53:20)

Larssen
Member
+99|2129
China as a whole is not Shanghai and other rich coastal areas. The vast majority still works low wage jobs. Frankly if you'd ever visit the place you'd realise how ignorant that statement is, as a shocking amount of people don't even have working toilets. There's whole families living in garages shitting in buckets, literally millions on the outskirts of big cities - even in Shanghai. I've written before how city growth outpaces local government's ability to manage amenities and sanitation, or even just now how the hukou system contributes to social stratification. The farther away from the coast, the worse these problems are.

There's a lot of crazy rich chinese in a population of 1.4 billion, but there's far more who are still relatively poor. There's still millions left behind in the countryside living in conditions like in 1960s China - a state of poverty and destitution you can hardly imagine. For many it's still a hard life, and even if you're middle class, the constricting and almost strangling way life is arranged over there leaves much to be desired.

Yes, they have 'confidence' in their leader. Yes, the economic growth and confucian culture contribute. But there are very deep cracks in that system. There's over 30 different ethnic groups only a handful of whom are in the good graces of the CCP, who benefit and live relatively freely. It's also a society where wealth inequality is far greater than anywhere else, where being rich means no rules and no accountability to anyone. It's not as if the people don't see it and aren't angry about it, but the CCP has so far always deftly redirected that anger to nebulous 'corruption' and other issues. A purge every once in a while and immediately crushing all opposition while deflecting all criticism have proven to be good strategies in controlling public opinion. But there's a lot to unpack under the surface here.

Last edited by Larssen (2020-05-15 10:55:24)

uziq
Member
+496|3694
China as a whole is not Shanghai and other rich coastal areas.
it certainly isn't. you were the one stressing the coastal elites. and weren't you the one who had never heard of wuhan at the start of this thread, and made out that travel and logistics to the place would be very minor? turns out you didn't even know about the logistics hub of china.

presumably polls and surveys taken in china were not cherrypicking the opinions of cosmopolitans and mandarins. those migrating from 'country to town' or 'town to city' live in expectation of material betterment. their quality of life is poor, but it is still drastically better than it was a generation, or three generations, ago. they are not fulminating against the CCP and wishing they could be good little americans.

But there are very deep cracks in that system. There's over 30 different ethnic groups only a handful of whom are in the good graces of the CCP, who benefit and live relatively freely. It's also a society where wealth inequality is far greater than anywhere else, where being rich means no rules and no accountability to anyone. It's not as if the people don't see it and aren't angry about it, but the CCP has so far always deftly redirected that anger to nebulous 'corruption' and other issues. A purge every once in a while and immediately crushing all opposition while deflecting all criticism has proven good strategies in controlling public opinion. But there's a lot to unpack under the surface here.
are you talking about china or your beloved EU?

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 11:04:22)

Larssen
Member
+99|2129
Oh fuck off
uziq
Member
+496|3694
as i've said, you're doing The Economist-style analyses of chinese society. nobody is claiming it's a utopia. but to say that the citizens are miserable and hate their government is wrong. jay, dilbert, et al are committing a very typical western-centric mistake. it is a very wishful vision of the chinese being 'shackled' and in dire need of more western culture to 'liberate' them.

a lot of your criticism does seem pretty tone deaf and lacking in self-awareness. 'wealth inequality is very great'. yes and there's certainly no misery in the west caused by growing wealth disparity. why is it an alarming sign of a 'crack in the edifice' in china but the west is going to smoothly manage it and continue onwards? which society is more stable? america looks like the unhinged problem child at present, not china. the chinese system of hybrid capitalism-communism has been incredibly resilient at absorbing the advantages of one system and keeping the totalitarian rule of the other.

and if people are 'kept happy' and 'deluded' by their material prosperity and comfort, well, very well then! if you want to get into that level of analysis then the west stops looking like some philosophical haven, too.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 11:02:20)

SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+641|3961
Are China's smaller minorities really that oppressed or are we just assuming that they are having a bad time like the Uighurs? It is entirely possible that Muslim minorities always struggle to live in countries that are not Islamic. And that problem has more to do with them than China/India/the West.
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
uziq
Member
+496|3694
there is undoubtedly the forced homogenization of culture in china, at the cost of minority identity.

the problem is that larssen patronizingly cited the example of the roman empire, and latterly the togetherness of the EU, to dilbert when he was making some ethno-nationalist point about people keeping their identities. something like 'too bad, that's progress'. yet when china does it it's a travesty. well, what is it?

liberal historians have been making apologies for and justifying the disappearance of minority languages, cultures, identities, etc. for as long as history has been a thing. all worth it for their liberal progress.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 11:07:41)

Larssen
Member
+99|2129
Forgot about HK or the routine terror attacks in Xinjiang, the state of Tibet? China is super stable? Part of it is yes, the rest by force and violence.

Yes wealth disparity in the west is also a problem but there's levels to this? The disparity in even the US pales compared to China. Millionaires and up drive around in cars without number plates buying their way through life. Meanwhile entire families live in 1 bedroom appartments and there's a formalised caste system of sorts keeping people down.

I have said many times the EU is not intent on creating a homogenous culture and won't do so. Nor have I ever cited the roman empire and if I would I'd cite its surprising multicultural tolerance.

Last edited by Larssen (2020-05-15 11:08:50)

SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+641|3961

Larssen wrote:

Forgot about HK or the routine terror attacks in Xinjiang, the state of Tibet? China is super stable? Part of it is yes, the rest by force and violence.

Yes wealth disparity in the west is also a problem but there's levels to this? The disparity in even the US pales compared to China. Millionaires and up drive around in cars without number plates buying their way through life. Meanwhile entire families live in 1 bedroom appartments and there's a formalised caste system of sorts keeping people down.

I have said many times the EU is not intent on creating a homogenous culture and won't do so. Nor have I ever cited the roman empire and if I would I'd cite its surprising multicultural tolerance.
Arabs and blacks living in Netherlands will probably say there is a caste system in place too.
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
uziq
Member
+496|3694
i actually don't know what to say to someone who on the one hand lectures on 'how china isn't the coastal cities' but then thinks tibet and hong kong are serious points of crisis. they are trivial, minor concerns to the chinese. the majority of mainlanders hold hong kong in contempt (it's mutual).

you are seemingly overlooking the lives and views of the vast majority of average chinese, and focussing on western headline-getters. tibet is not an issue that troubles people in the multiplicand million-plus cities of the mainland. they like their government.
Larssen
Member
+99|2129

SuperJail Warden wrote:

Larssen wrote:

Forgot about HK or the routine terror attacks in Xinjiang, the state of Tibet? China is super stable? Part of it is yes, the rest by force and violence.

Yes wealth disparity in the west is also a problem but there's levels to this? The disparity in even the US pales compared to China. Millionaires and up drive around in cars without number plates buying their way through life. Meanwhile entire families live in 1 bedroom appartments and there's a formalised caste system of sorts keeping people down.

I have said many times the EU is not intent on creating a homogenous culture and won't do so. Nor have I ever cited the roman empire and if I would I'd cite its surprising multicultural tolerance.
Arabs and blacks living in Netherlands will probably say there is a caste system in place too.
I don't care much for the dutch but I know they don't have a formal caste system at all. Also if you want to make that comparison I'd say ethnic divisions are worst in belgium.
Larssen
Member
+99|2129

uziq wrote:

i actually don't know what to say to someone who on the one hand lectures on 'how china isn't the coastal cities' but then thinks tibet and hong kong are serious points of crisis. they are trivial, minor concerns to the chinese. the majority of mainlanders hold hong kong in contempt (it's mutual).

you are seemingly overlooking the lives and views of the vast majority of average chinese, and focussing on western headline-getters. tibet is not an issue that troubles people in the multiplicand million-plus cities of the mainland. they like their government.
Are you just playing devil's advocate here because I can't tell if you've just gone insane or are just trying to get under my skin. Either way it's not working, and this reads like the writing of a retard
uziq
Member
+496|3694
take it up with the pew research group and ipsos mori.

you hadn't even heard of wuhan at the start of this thread and found it preposterous that it would have strong international links and people/goods moving to and fro. wuhan is the main logistical hub of all of china. you started out with this same, hackneyed line about cities in the interior being remote hellholes, locked away, with barely any plumbing, people sleeping on top of one another ... there are no westerners there ... yada yada.

i'm sure you're an expert.

in the meantime do learn to scrutinize your beloved EU with the same dispassionate eye you cast over china's problems.

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 11:20:36)

Larssen
Member
+99|2129
I made the argument the virus must've been way more widespread because far too many internationals were infected and Wuhan wasn't exactly the most popular international flight destination. I don't think it's even in the top 20 cities for international travel.

I wasn't wrong.

Oh, it's barely nr. 16 busiest airports. That's probably still mostly domestic flights.

Last edited by Larssen (2020-05-15 11:23:57)

uziq
Member
+496|3694
yep, completely right, just like jay!

Oh, it's barely nr. 16. That's probably still mostly domestic flights.
neat guesswork, resident sinophile. unfortunately some of the very first reported infections after wuhan were in singapore and south korea. try again!

Last edited by uziq (2020-05-15 11:24:16)

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