Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
Are all variables incorporated into the table? You've linked it before, but I highly doubt wind turbines could possibly come out lower than nuclear plants in cost. They rarely operate in ideal conditions and if it's too windy the turbine gets shut down by an emergency brake. Then, if there's too much wind for too long a time, they lock up automatically because storage wouldn't be able to store all the energy. It'd go lost.

Furthermore you'd need a couple thousand turbines to replace a single nuclear plant and they have half the life expectancy.
inane little opines
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5598|London, England

Shocking wrote:

Are all variables incorporated into the table? You've linked it before, but I highly doubt wind turbines could possibly come out lower than nuclear plants in cost. They rarely operate in ideal conditions and if it's too windy the turbine gets shut down by an emergency brake. Then, if there's too much wind for too long a time, they lock up automatically because storage wouldn't be able to store all the energy. It'd go lost.

Furthermore you'd need a couple thousand turbines to replace a single nuclear plant and they have half the life expectancy.
The information is US specific. Land is cheap here, and that is the primary cost associated with wind power. In some parts of Texas you can buy an acre of land for ~$1,500. Nuclear is expensive in this country because of all the regulations associated with new plant builds. This is why we haven't had any nuclear plants built since the 70s. To say that American nuclear plants are 'overbuilt' would be a serious understatement.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
Makes sense, land is very expensive in most parts of Europe, especially in this country - so most wind farms are off-shore.

Which, going by the table, is a terrible idea.
inane little opines
13rin
Member
+977|6719

Jay wrote:

Shocking wrote:

Are all variables incorporated into the table? You've linked it before, but I highly doubt wind turbines could possibly come out lower than nuclear plants in cost. They rarely operate in ideal conditions and if it's too windy the turbine gets shut down by an emergency brake. Then, if there's too much wind for too long a time, they lock up automatically because storage wouldn't be able to store all the energy. It'd go lost.

Furthermore you'd need a couple thousand turbines to replace a single nuclear plant and they have half the life expectancy.
The information is US specific. Land is cheap here, and that is the primary cost associated with wind power. In some parts of Texas you can buy an acre of land for ~$1,500. Nuclear is expensive in this country because of all the regulations associated with new plant builds. This is why we haven't had any nuclear plants built since the 70s. To say that American nuclear plants are 'overbuilt' would be a serious understatement.
It takes 15-25 years to build a nukkier powerplant from permits to power.  If memory serves me correct they last 40-60 years before they need touchup... Saw a pretty good powerpoint done by GE several years ago.  Didn't the bamster close yucca mountain?
I stood in line for four hours. They better give me a Wal-Mart gift card, or something.  - Rodney Booker, Job Fair attendee.
Ty
Mass Media Casualty
+2,398|7014|Noizyland

Jay wrote:

Ty wrote:

It is a Malthusian argument, very much so. Are you going to argue against it or just dismiss it?
Would you trade your lifestyle with that of someone living 150 years ago? I wouldn't. Ignoring the obvious things like transportation, entertainment, communication etc, I simply wouldn't want to work the long hours that were required in order to put food on my table.

The green philosophy is essentially a war on the industrial revolution. They've pinpointed one parcel of history and defined it as ideal: the agrarian state. Why? I don't know. They've romanticized it to the point of absurdity. They conveniently ignore the reality that if the farms crops failed, the people on the farm starved. They couldn't just throw up their hands and then drive to the supermarket. Failure was real and it didn't have a happy ending...
Wrong wrong wrong, total absolute bullshit. This is an argument from sectors that don't want to run the risk of becoming sunset industries and it is completely false. The real philsophy is one of progress not going backwards. As it stands we are developing technologies and systems that phase out things that can be potentially damaging but this is being met with resistance from organisations that stand to lose out if the status quo were to be changed. It has nothing at all to do with going backwards or neglecting technologies, it is about simply a shift towards improving existing practises so they can be more sustainable, in extreme cases even replacing them as technology improves. My point is all of this is aimed at progressing not regressing and certainly not stagnating just because a few sectors are comfortable where they are thank you very much.

You're right though, we're not running short of anything to any great degree, not even oil when you consider undersea reserves. It will get more and more difficult to get to of course and as a result more and more expensive. And I too have faith that humanity will adapt to any obstacle that comes up. What I'm saying is that this need to adapt is either going to hit us when we're ready for it or when we're not ready for it. Why wait until it's a necessity - especially because we're smarter than that and don't have to wait.

Jay wrote:

Anyone who currently promotes green energy is a fool. Solar and wind are dead end, expensive technologies. There is a reason we abandoned them at the first opportunity.
Funny because I'm pretty sure they've said the same thing about most new technologies. Don't quote me but it's the sort of thing I could see being said about the Internet, computers, television, powered flight and the internal combustion engine. Technology regarding solar and wind power is improving, it has taken significant steps in the last decade or so alone. I'm not saying it's the answer, not yet anyway, but it's certainly not something that should be ignored either. C'mon dude, you're the one accusing me of abandoning technological advancements and you say something like this?

Wind energy by the way can be incredibly effective if the right circumstances are there. Solar too I'm sure but I have this as an example: In the city I live in, Wellington the capital of New Zealand, every household is powered by wind energy from a local wind farm. That's not bad you know, it's not a replacement for coal fired power but it's a damn good start. We're lucky here see, the next stop south from us is Antarctica meaning we get sustained wind that can get strong in isolated areas - like where the wind farm is located. This sort of thing isn't going to work for everywhere but then a lot of things aren't in certain places. Nuclear energy here for example. I actually like nuclear power, it's effective generation where the major byproduct is steam. But nuclear generation wouldn't work so well here. For one we get a lot of earthquakes and you can see there can be some problems with that when you look at Fukushima. For two we're small and isolated and we don't really have the capacity to store nuclear waste, we'd have to export it which would add to the cost of energy production and when all the costs are taken into account there would be no benefit. My point is just because wind energy isn't particularly effective in the US doesn't mean it's a dead-end technology just like nuclear generation isn't a dead-end just because it wouldn't be effective here.


@ Shocking: I dont think I'm referring to the commonly cited 'solutions' more just the fact that solutions can and are being found. You're right though, 'efficiency' may not have been the right word to use.
[Blinking eyes thing]
Steam: http://steamcommunity.com/id/tzyon
Varegg
Support fanatic :-)
+2,206|7050|Nårvei

Wind farms will pay off with a huge excess the day we can farm the night time production of energy, today the windmills are either turned off during night or most of the energy goes to waste because the need isn't there at night.

In Germany (Berlin I think) they are now doing tests as to how electric cars can be charged with wind energy at night and excess energy be turned back into the grid during the day, the system looks promising and the tests so far looks good.

If the above is successful it can actually be profitable to own an electric car in the future, charge it when the price is low and supply energy when it costs more
Wait behind the line ..............................................................
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6346|eXtreme to the maX

Jay wrote:

Would you trade your lifestyle with that of someone living 150 years ago?
No-one is asking you to do that, calm down.

@ Ty: We've tried to educate Jay in technological progress, he doesn't want to hear it.

Last edited by Dilbert_X (2011-08-30 03:24:41)

Fuck Israel
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
I don't know what the point is though, the whole effort to reduce our emissions is akin to pissing in the wind. We will never be able to make it so that our emission numbers have a negligible effect on the environment. All the stuff you like is manufactured with pollutants as byproducts. Then there's also mining through which we acquire the resources necessary to make that stuff in the first place. Not to mention the impact our need for wood and food has on the surroundings. Worst of all: reducing emissions ought to be a global initiative, but most methods used to reduce them reduce efficiency as well. Countries like China and India, which are still developing, have no interest in participating in this "saving the planet" stuff we're on about (rightfully so tbh), yet their cooperation is vital if we ever hope to achieve any sort of succes.

The earth's climate is going to change because of us and as long as we are interested in pursuing more technological advancement there's nothing we can realistically do about that.

Last edited by Shocking (2011-08-30 03:50:44)

inane little opines
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6914|Canberra, AUS
Eh I wouldn't say that. Have a look at the amount of money China/India are throwing at large scale renewables and some - relatively speaking - seriously ambitious energy projects. They're the only ones taking 5th gen nuclear seriously, for starters.

They're doing a hell of a lot better than us at getting the foot in the "clean energy" market.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
I'll give you that on the nuclear part but I saw a report some time ago that the Chinese aren't too fussy about dumping all sorts of shit in rivers/lakes for example, nor do they really care all that much about carbon emissions.
inane little opines
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6914|Canberra, AUS
No, they aren't, but that's because they're effectively going through an industrial revolution now. And they are pouring a lot of money into renewables.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5598|London, England
https://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/images/stories/large/2009/10/28/whatever.jpg
https://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Environment/Pix/pictures/2008/11/25/yellow5.jpg
https://images.china.cn/images1/200705/393482.jpg
https://images.china.cn/images1/200611/372593.jpg
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/_JTd2KOgmF9A/SwT3GgOcCLI/AAAAAAAAA_c/ICqciPmhD6Q/s1600/luguang06.jpg
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6914|Canberra, AUS
There's worse in India.

EDIT: Funky shade of purple, though.

Last edited by Spark (2011-08-30 05:00:04)

The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
Whatever money they're pouring in it's not nearly going to be enough, nor will it curb their emissions.
inane little opines
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5598|London, England
I don't care how much money they throw at renewables. I guarantee it's mostly just to get the developed world off their back about environmental shit.

I'm surprised by you Spark, you're usually more logical than this.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6914|Canberra, AUS

Jay wrote:

I don't care how much money they throw at renewables. I guarantee it's mostly just to get the developed world off their back about environmental shit.

I'm surprised by you Spark, you're usually more logical than this.
I'm not saying what they should be doing, but you can't say they're not doing anything when they patently are. Lip service or not - motivations aren't especially important at this stage. Yeah, they have a long way to go, but they'll get to something approaching environmental adequacy much, much faster than we did.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
It's still pointless.
inane little opines
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6914|Canberra, AUS
Perhaps so. I'm on the verge of stopping caring myself - what's the point? This debate, in the public, is so low brow, so utterly divorced from where it should have been...
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6239|...
That happens to any science that gets politicized.
inane little opines
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5598|London, England

Shocking wrote:

That happens to any science that gets politicized.
That's part of it. It has more to do with the media imo. Journalism majors aren't exactly diversified in their university training. So they take the very small bit that they understand about economics or science or math or whatever and beat the public over the head with it. Trade deficits are easy to understand, let's mention the US trade imbalance in every news report remotely concerning the economy! Stupid people dumbing down information to a level that they think people even dumber than them will be able to understand.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6346|eXtreme to the maX

Jay wrote:

I don't care how much money they throw at renewables. I guarantee it's mostly just to get the developed world off their back about environmental shit.
If you think the Chinese give a toss about what the rest of the world thinks of them you're mistaken.

If they are throwing money at renewables its because they have a well thought out reason and a plan to go with it.

I'm confident its more developed than your 'environmentalists hate freedom' theory.
Fuck Israel
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6346|eXtreme to the maX

Jay wrote:

Shocking wrote:

That happens to any science that gets politicized.
That's part of it. It has more to do with the media imo. Journalism majors aren't exactly diversified in their university training. So they take the very small bit that they understand about economics or science or math or whatever and beat the public over the head with it. Trade deficits are easy to understand, let's mention the US trade imbalance in every news report remotely concerning the economy! Stupid people dumbing down information to a level that they think people even dumber than them will be able to understand.
Maybe you're simply wrong.
Fuck Israel
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5598|London, England

Dilbert_X wrote:

Jay wrote:

I don't care how much money they throw at renewables. I guarantee it's mostly just to get the developed world off their back about environmental shit.
If you think the Chinese give a toss about what the rest of the world thinks of them you're mistaken.

If they are throwing money at renewables its because they have a well thought out reason and a plan to go with it.

I'm confident its more developed than your 'environmentalists hate freedom' theory.
American enthusiasts of more stimulus have been urging this country to look to China for guidance on how to beat a recession. As they see it, while our politicians debated and dithered and fell short, China's wise autocrats moved quickly to inject a massive stimulus and restore robust growth.

Despite the global downturn, China's economic growth rate remains above 10 percent. But there is mounting evidence that Beijing has misallocated vast amounts of capital, touching off a real-estate crisis that could yet drag the world's second-largest economy down to earth.

When the global marketplace went into meltdown mode two years ago and Chinese exports dropped off, Beijing mounted a stimulus several times bigger relative to the size of its economy than in this country. It announced a four trillion yuan ($586 billion) stimulus for infrastructure projects and housing developments. Some of the stimulus was used to encourage local governments to lend money to state-owned companies to develop housing complexes, roads and bridges, on the theory that these are big employment generators because they boost heavy manufacturing—steel, cement—and other sectors of the economy.

Beijing also lowered capital reserve requirements for its state-owned banks ordering them to dole out loans to "support growth." Though official data are unreliable, in 2009 Beijing apparently handed out somewhere close to 10 trillion yuan in new loans—more than twice the year before—and expanded the country's total loan portfolio and money supply by one-third, according to Patrick Chovanec, associate professor at Tsinghua University's School of Economics and Management in Beijing.

Prominent progressives in this country hailed the moves. Paul Krugman wrote: "China is doing what I'm constantly urging the Obama Administration to do, which is to reverse the economic decline by a large-scale stimulus." Dean Baker, co-founder of the Center for Economic and Policy Research wrote in TalkingPoints Memo last year: "If only we could export our Blue Dogs and deficit hawks to China, we might be able to compete."

But that ignores the nasty side effects. Fueled in part by this massive injection of liquidity, housing prices that had started dropping due to the recession began to soar again. Over the past year they increased nearly 12 percent, according to the latest figures from China's National Bureau of Statistics. So many middle-class Chinese (especially young couples wishing to move out of their parents' home) are being priced out of the market that their travails became the subject of a popular TV series called Dwelling Narrowness. Beijing banned the show, fearing it would cause unrest.

The problem is that government money is going to build homes not for occupancy but for ownership. Speculation, if you will. Andy Xie, a Shanghai-based economist formerly with Morgan Stanley, believes almost 25 percent to 30 percent of private commercial and housing stock in China is vacant. Entire cities, such as Ordos in inner-Mongolia, erected literally from scratch, stand empty.

"Chinese treat homes like gold bars buying multiple units as a store of value," notes Chovanec. Chinese avoid the stock market because it is still volatile and risky, and banks and bonds offer a low yield. Hence, Chinese are content to buy homes and let them sit because, thanks to the absence of property taxes, holding costs are negligible. Having never experienced a housing slump since China privatized its housing market in the 1990s, they believe that home prices only rise.

This can't last, but backers of China's stimulus believe there won't be any serious economic downside when the bubble bursts. Homeowners won't be thrown on the street because Chinese buy their first homes outright through their savings—not loans. And when house prices drop, the excess stock will quickly get scooped up—not boarded up.
While Chinese homeowners are not generally leveraged, those who buy second homes do finance them. And developers, including local governments and state-owned companies, are massively leveraged. This poses a big problem—Shen Minggao, Citigroup's Hong Kong-based China economist, estimates in Bloomberg Businessweek that at least 2.4 trillion yuan of the stimulus is already in nonperforming loans.

China's autocrats understand that they have a bubble on their hands. They've mandated minimum down payments of 50 percent on second homes and are considering property taxes to rein in speculative purchases. However, this will mean that the houses put on the market will find fewer buyers.

Beijing is in a dilemma. It can cut spending and rein in its monetary expansion, releasing over time capital for more productive endeavors (especially if it opens up hitherto closed investment options) and putting the economy on a healthier footing. However, that would mean slower growth, lower home values, rising unemployment and potential political unrest. Alternatively, it can buy a few more years of faux-growth and stability by propping up the real-estate market—and risk making the day of reckoning far worse when it arrives.

Either way, Beijing's mandarins haven't discovered some magical formula to spend and inflate their way out of a recession. Pouring liquidity into real estate is the Keynesian equivalent of digging ditches and filling them with stones. Unfortunately, the Chinese economy has fallen into one—a ditch, that is. The U.S. might have endured a bad recession. But so long as it avoids the second stimulus that China enthusiasts are advocating, it might be up and running while China is still digging itself out.
http://reason.com/archives/2010/08/27/c … estate-bub

Seems well planned out. Just like everything else about the society. Your mindless admiration for one of the most severe autocracies on the planet is troubling to say the least.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|6914|Canberra, AUS
They kind of are turbocharging our economy atm.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Shahter
Zee Ruskie
+295|7015|Moscow, Russia

Spark wrote:

They kind of are turbocharging our economy atm.
that's beside the point, man. didn't you hear the man say "severe autocracy"? any enlightened westerner must be shitting bricks now!

Last edited by Shahter (2011-08-30 06:18:08)

if you open your mind too much your brain will fall out.

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