Uzique wrote:
galt isn't talking about involvement in africa and the middle-east again, turq... he's not on about interventionism.
his suggestion is that, according to 'historical precendent' (i.e. one very badly misunderstood world war, in his eyes) europe would soon descend into a state of extreme far-right nations aggressing against other democratic ones. fourth reich. fascist italy again. general franco in spain. what he doesn't understand, clearly, is that those governments were the product of contextual, historically-specific social, economic and political factors. factors, such as post-war civic depression and working-class ire, that gave birth to extreme right-wing views. there is nothing on that scale or nothing like that in current, modern-day europe. your example about eastern-european states are also pretty irrelevant, because the dissolution of the USSR after the stalinist policies of ethnic nation-building (also in central asian states, the uzbekhistans etc.)... not because of a 'european' cultural or political predisposition for war.
sometimes the american education establishment really disappoints me.
The condescension isn't necessary. That always seems to have been your weakness in discussing things because it colors your perceptions about people -- most notably Americans.
Nevertheless, Bosnia is relevant. Again, I'm not saying that Europe culturally leans toward war, but it is surely capable of engaging in it under the right conditions. These conditions are still affected by outside involvement, like ours. Ethnic cleansing is the sort of thing that can feasibly occur in any multiethnic state, and when economic conditions worsen, cultural relations tend to follow.
I can't speak for Galt, but I'm not personally suggesting that our involvement singlehandedly prevents war from breaking out across Europe. What I'm saying is that any nation that poses as a looming authority powerful enough and willing enough to get involved in any conflict does have an effect overall on global stability -- sometimes this is a positive effect, sometimes not.
Also, nature abhors a vacuum. This applies to geopolitics equally as much as it does to many other things. If the U.S. becomes less involved and/or less powerful, other nations will fill in the void. China and Russia are well positioned to become more interventionist, and France, the U.K. and Japan all have this potential as well. Even India may become more interventionist with time.