Its going to depend on the horsetrading, and the remaining 13 undecided seats.
At this stage Labour (255) plus the Lib dems (54) = 309 which is more than the Conservatives (301), so although labour came second - by a long shot 29% vs 36% (due to the mess of electoral boundaries which favour Labour) - Labour and the Lib Dems could still form a coalition and block the Conservatives.
Nick Clegg (Lib Dem leader) has come out of it with a lot of credibility and so far is sticking to his commitment which is the party with the most seats should have first chance at forming the govt.
Gordon Brown has already sold his soul and offered the Lib Dems everything they want if they throw in with him.
Its now up to the Conservative leader to decide if he'll offer the Lib Dems enough to either stand aside (not form a labour coalition) or join a coalition with the Conservatives. Or he can throw the lot in the bin and wait another five years.
The best thing for the country at this stage would be a solid Conservative-Lib coalition = 355 seats. Electoral reform ought to happen, the electoral boundaries desperately need to be fixed, the country needs a steady govt for the next five years. Cameron should just bite it.
The second and third place parties ousting the first place party and forming a govt would be shit and unworkable. The Lib Dems, having come third, would be running the show.
Doesn't mean its not 50:50 to happen.
At this stage Labour (255) plus the Lib dems (54) = 309 which is more than the Conservatives (301), so although labour came second - by a long shot 29% vs 36% (due to the mess of electoral boundaries which favour Labour) - Labour and the Lib Dems could still form a coalition and block the Conservatives.
Nick Clegg (Lib Dem leader) has come out of it with a lot of credibility and so far is sticking to his commitment which is the party with the most seats should have first chance at forming the govt.
Gordon Brown has already sold his soul and offered the Lib Dems everything they want if they throw in with him.
Its now up to the Conservative leader to decide if he'll offer the Lib Dems enough to either stand aside (not form a labour coalition) or join a coalition with the Conservatives. Or he can throw the lot in the bin and wait another five years.
The best thing for the country at this stage would be a solid Conservative-Lib coalition = 355 seats. Electoral reform ought to happen, the electoral boundaries desperately need to be fixed, the country needs a steady govt for the next five years. Cameron should just bite it.
The second and third place parties ousting the first place party and forming a govt would be shit and unworkable. The Lib Dems, having come third, would be running the show.
Doesn't mean its not 50:50 to happen.
Last edited by Dilbert_X (2010-05-07 06:09:20)
Fuck Israel