Spark wrote:
Harmor wrote:
Spark wrote:
U.S. Nominal GDP Growth Rate Forecast
Year/Year Change in Nominal U.S. GDP. Percent per annum.
Month Date Forecast
Value 50%
Correct +/- 80%
Correct +/-
0 Oct 2009 -0.60 0.0 0.0
1 Nov 2009 -0.6 0.8 1.7
2 Dec 2009 -0.6 0.9 2.1
3 Jan 2010 0.3 1.1 2.4
4 Feb 2010 0.3 1.2 2.6
5 Mar 2010 0.3 1.2 2.8
6 Apr 2010 1.1 1.3 3.0
7 May 2010 1.1 1.4 3.1
8 Jun 2010 1.1 1.4 3.2
I certainly am interested in where you get "wrecking" from.
Again: debt =/= bad economy.
Isn't all that data from January 2010 forward projections? Today is still the 27th of January.
Actually it's all projections from the end of last October (as I'm not sure if Q4 09 data is out yet), but I see no reason why they shouldn't be reasonably correct. The trend is quite clear.
[url=http://wallstreetpit.com/13069-stiglitz-us-economy-may-contract-in-the-second-half-of-next-year]Nobel-laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz warns that there’s a “significant” chance the U.S. economy will recede in the second half of 2010, and urged Washington to prepare a second stimulus package to spur job creation.
AP: “The likelihood of this slowdown is very, very high,” Stiglitz told reporters in Singapore. “There is a significant chance that the number will be in the negative range.”[/url]
A good few economist are warning a contraction could happen in 2010, mind you they want a second stimulus.