Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England
Obama keeps talking about wanting to foster job growth and create jobs but why is he focussed on small businesses? Most of them fail, they're inefficient and they don't hire many employees. The success rate is ridiculously low.

“businesses with fewer than 20 employees
have only a 37% chance of surviving four
years (in business) and only a 9% chance of
surviving 10 years.” Restaurants have the
highest failure rate, with only a 20% chance
of surviving two years.
http://sbaer.uca.edu/research/asbe/2004/PDFS/23.pdf

Yes, I understand that they employ 50% of the population but throwing money at them is in no way, shape, or form an investment. It's speculation of the very nature that they've blasted Wall St for for the past year. I just don't get it.

President Obama plans to endorse a handful of jobs-creation measures Tuesday that would target small businesses with tax credits to encourage hiring and unused Wall Street bailout dollars to increase lending.

The president also is expected to endorse additional federal funding for infrastructure projects and rebates for people who make their homes more energy efficient, in a speech meant to lay out his plans for driving down the persistently high unemployment rate.

According to an administration official, Obama plans to back using between $20 and $40 billion in unused bailout funds for increased lending. He plans to call for between $25 and $30 billion for tax credits aimed at encouraging small businesses to hire new workers, the official said.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/12 … blessness/
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Winston_Churchill
Bazinga!
+521|7025|Toronto | Canada

Is it worse than bailing out a failing auto industry?  At least these people are trying to be successful
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7003
Small business' will end up huge after becoming really sucessful. Well problem is that most people think they are business genius' after taking a business administration course in college. My dad owns a self employed small business and hires only my step-mom's brother. Sure its not directly beneficial to the economy, but its beneficial to him as a job.

I only believe in tax cuts are the way for people to start up their business though. I guess the whole deal with small business its that it relates to the community more rather than some multinational corporation, creates an "identity" for the community ya know?
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Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

Winston_Churchill wrote:

Is it worse than bailing out a failing auto industry?  At least these people are trying to be successful
No, that was a god awful idea as well. I completely believe in natural selection in the market. Throwing money at a bad business will not all of a sudden make it a great business. It just makes it a bad business with more money than it had before and the potential for catastrophe becomes amplified.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7003

JohnG@lt wrote:

Winston_Churchill wrote:

Is it worse than bailing out a failing auto industry?  At least these people are trying to be successful
No, that was a god awful idea as well. I completely believe in natural selection in the market. Throwing money at a bad business will not all of a sudden make it a great business. It just makes it a bad business with more money than it had before and the potential for catastrophe becomes amplified.
One problem with Laize faire is the creation of business' more powerful than the government, which would be a problem. Personally I do not want a revival of the reconstruction era.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

Cybargs wrote:

Small business' will end up huge after becoming really sucessful. Well problem is that most people think they are business genius' after taking a business administration course in college. My dad owns a self employed small business and hires only my step-mom's brother. Sure its not directly beneficial to the economy, but its beneficial to him as a job.

I only believe in tax cuts are the way for people to start up their business though. I guess the whole deal with small business its that it relates to the community more rather than some multinational corporation, creates an "identity" for the community ya know?
There's a 91% chance that the small business won't even survive past ten years. Throwing money at them by making credit more available will not change that statistic. We just went through a huge bust cycle because banks were loaning speculatively to home owners. Even there, the odds of default were no where near 91%.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7003

JohnG@lt wrote:

Cybargs wrote:

Small business' will end up huge after becoming really sucessful. Well problem is that most people think they are business genius' after taking a business administration course in college. My dad owns a self employed small business and hires only my step-mom's brother. Sure its not directly beneficial to the economy, but its beneficial to him as a job.

I only believe in tax cuts are the way for people to start up their business though. I guess the whole deal with small business its that it relates to the community more rather than some multinational corporation, creates an "identity" for the community ya know?
There's a 91% chance that the small business won't even survive past ten years. Throwing money at them by making credit more available will not change that statistic. We just went through a huge bust cycle because banks were loaning speculatively to home owners. Even there, the odds of default were no where near 91%.
Shit what I meant was a small amount of small business' end up HUGE

I'd rather have the gov giving small business' tax cuts instead of bailing out AIG. Government bailouts is socialism for the rich and covering their ass'. Business' in my opinion should not only be about money, but should be helping the people of your city/state/country the best way possible. Economic nationalism ftw.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

Cybargs wrote:

JohnG@lt wrote:

Cybargs wrote:

Small business' will end up huge after becoming really sucessful. Well problem is that most people think they are business genius' after taking a business administration course in college. My dad owns a self employed small business and hires only my step-mom's brother. Sure its not directly beneficial to the economy, but its beneficial to him as a job.

I only believe in tax cuts are the way for people to start up their business though. I guess the whole deal with small business its that it relates to the community more rather than some multinational corporation, creates an "identity" for the community ya know?
There's a 91% chance that the small business won't even survive past ten years. Throwing money at them by making credit more available will not change that statistic. We just went through a huge bust cycle because banks were loaning speculatively to home owners. Even there, the odds of default were no where near 91%.
Shit what I meant was a small amount of small business' end up HUGE

I'd rather have the gov giving small business' tax cuts instead of bailing out AIG. Government bailouts is socialism for the rich and covering their ass'. Business' in my opinion should not only be about money, but should be helping the people of your city/state/country the best way possible. Economic nationalism ftw.
I'm not disagreeing with the tax cuts at all. I also stated that I don't believe in corporate bailouts. I just have hatred in my heart for easy credit because it leads directly to overexpansion and makes any potential recession a million times worse. They should be taking this $200M and paying down the national debt, not adding to the easy credit fiasco.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7003

JohnG@lt wrote:

Cybargs wrote:

JohnG@lt wrote:


There's a 91% chance that the small business won't even survive past ten years. Throwing money at them by making credit more available will not change that statistic. We just went through a huge bust cycle because banks were loaning speculatively to home owners. Even there, the odds of default were no where near 91%.
Shit what I meant was a small amount of small business' end up HUGE

I'd rather have the gov giving small business' tax cuts instead of bailing out AIG. Government bailouts is socialism for the rich and covering their ass'. Business' in my opinion should not only be about money, but should be helping the people of your city/state/country the best way possible. Economic nationalism ftw.
I'm not disagreeing with the tax cuts at all. I also stated that I don't believe in corporate bailouts. I just have hatred in my heart for easy credit because it leads directly to overexpansion and makes any potential recession a million times worse. They should be taking this $200M and paying down the national debt, not adding to the easy credit fiasco.
Yeah I'm just agreeing here. The only involvement the government should ever have on business in my opinion, is tax cuts and regulation.
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cpt.fass1
The Cap'n Can Make it Hap'n
+329|6982|NJ
"I understand that they employ 50% of the population"

And we're getting strangled.  What do you think is better a returant that hires 10 people and lets them make liveable wages, or McDonalds that hires 12 people and pays them less then 20k a year?

When a wallmart, McDonalds, or other major company moves into a local town they get massive tax breaks to build because they supposely create jobs. But then you get a tax void that gets put onto the smaller business's because if they put it on the McDonalds they'd just close up shop and move to an other town.

Last edited by cpt.fass1 (2009-12-08 08:37:40)

Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

cpt.fass1 wrote:

"I understand that they employ 50% of the population"

And we're getting strangled.  What do you think is better a returant that hires 10 people and lets them make liveable wages, or McDonalds that hires 12 people and pays them less then 20k a year?
Honestly? The McDonalds. The odds of a McDonalds going under and putting those 10 people out of work within two years is a whole lot less than 80%.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
cpt.fass1
The Cap'n Can Make it Hap'n
+329|6982|NJ
Yeah agree'd but then the tax void which I know I edit posted.. Then you have people who can barely afford to live not paying property taxes which makes everything more expensive for everyone.
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

cpt.fass1 wrote:

Yeah agree'd but then the tax void which I know I edit posted.. Then you have people who can barely afford to live not paying property taxes which makes everything more expensive for everyone.
They pay property taxes via their rent. I don't want everyone in the country making minimum wage, trust me, but the odds of the people who would take a job as a McDonald's cashier suddenly creating a multi-million dollar successful small business are astronomical
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
cpt.fass1
The Cap'n Can Make it Hap'n
+329|6982|NJ
Why? McDonalds started as a small stand and became what it is, so did Wendy's, Taco Bell and Burger King.

The main problem with these companies is they take the money out of the community. You pay 5 dollars for a meal there and only 3.00 dollars is left behind.
Also the property taxes via rent, people making 20k have to double up so instead of two people paying property taxes on there own, it's two people living in one apartment paying property taxes. Less places rented = less money for towns/states to provide services.
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

cpt.fass1 wrote:

Why? McDonalds started as a small stand and became what it is, so did Wendy's, Taco Bell and Burger King.

The main problem with these companies is they take the money out of the community. You pay 5 dollars for a meal there and only 3.00 dollars is left behind.
Also the property taxes via rent, people making 20k have to double up so instead of two people paying property taxes on there own, it's two people living in one apartment paying property taxes. Less places rented = less money for towns/states to provide services.
How is that different from any other company? Unless you're buying local cattle, local produce, local timber etc that money is going to bounce around. Not only is that completely inefficient and not reasonable in most locales, it completely inhibits growth. You might as well be in stasis. Wealth is not zero sum by any means. Unless that McDonald's is the only business in town it's not really taking anything away from the community at all.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
cpt.fass1
The Cap'n Can Make it Hap'n
+329|6982|NJ
Well most local business, buy there goods from local business.

When I was a cook at the bar, we'd buy from the corner produce store. So instead of getting your goods shiped from your corporate business, you're still keeping more locally. So yeah some money gets shipped out but a larger portion stays local.

Hoboken NJ is one of the towns that trys to keep bigger corporations out, and they're probably one of the richest towns in New Jersey.
Pug
UR father's brother's nephew's former roommate
+652|6829|Texas - Bigger than France
Okay, let me explain some of the proposed small business incentives:

1) Elimination of capital gain tax for a year for an investment in a small business. 
Goal: to encourage others to invest in a small business. 
Impact: Increased investment. 
Risk to investor: Same risks as if investing in a business normally.  Only if the investor sells in the first year at a gain will there be tax - in this case - no tax.
Analysis: Since most businesses run at a lost and incentives exist to delay the expenses until the business turns a profit in later years, this is not a huge change in tax revenue to the government.  There is little change for the investor as well.  However, it will increase the number of "short term" investments at a gain an sell.  Therefore, it'll provide a quick buck for speculative investors who like quick turnaround on their money, and provide an easier way to finance a new company at no additional risk from bank loans.

2) Enhanced expense allowances.  Not defined, so I cannot comment

3) Accelerated depreciation
What: Large purchases will be able to expense faster.
Why: Gives the option of removing revenue by increasing expenses.
Impact: Increases purchases of large ticket items.  Greatly reduces the amount of tax paid by small companies
Analysis: Accelerated depreciation is an excellent way to increase spending.  It also is one of the benefits leftover from GWB.

What's not included in all of these:
All tax legislation whether an increase or decrease to the current govt tax purse are to be "revenue neutral".  Of the above #2 & #3 are a reduction in tax revenue for the government.  #1 has little impact.  This means taxes will go up in another category to "make up" for the tax revenue lost.  So now we need to know what's going to go up...

I think this is the best thing he's proposed for businesses so far.
Agent_Dung_Bomb
Member
+302|7023|Salt Lake City

Yes, but John you are missing a bigger picture on those statistics.

Small firms:
• Represent 99.7 percent of all employer firms.
• Employ just over half of all private sector employees.
• Pay 44 percent of total U.S. private payroll.
• Have generated 64 percent of net new jobs over the past 15 years.
• Create more than half of the nonfarm private gross domestic
product (GDP).
• Hire 40 percent of high tech workers (such as scientists, engineers, and computer programmers).
• Are 52 percent home-based and 2 percent franchises.
• Made up 97.3 percent of all identified exporters and produced
30.2 percent of the known export value in FY 2007.
• Produce 13 times more patents per employee than large patenting firms; these patents are twice as likely as large firm patents to be among the one percent most cited.
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England

cpt.fass1 wrote:

Well most local business, buy there goods from local business.

When I was a cook at the bar, we'd buy from the corner produce store. So instead of getting your goods shiped from your corporate business, you're still keeping more locally. So yeah some money gets shipped out but a larger portion stays local.

Hoboken NJ is one of the towns that trys to keep bigger corporations out, and they're probably one of the richest towns in New Jersey.
No, all you're doing is giving wealth to an unnecessary middleman. That grocer is making his purchases from a larger distributor, a distributor that is handling business all over the country. Sure, you're keeping that grocer employed but at what cost? You have to charge more per meal to your customers who then don't have the extra capital to make other purchases. What you're talking about is extreme protectionism and there is zero benefit in it for anyone except the irrelevant and inefficient middleman. If everyone bought local, there would be no trade.

If there is no trade, who is a have, and who is a have not has no dependence on skill or efficiency or anything else that drives our economy, it just exacerbates disparities in regional wealth. Why would an iron rich section export if the focus was only on locally produced goods? Now what happens in an iron poor section?

I understand the 'buy local' mentality. If you buy from your neighbor you keep him employed. It's logical to take that line of reasoning. But at the same time it is vastly oversimplifying matters and in the long run it either destroys trade and turns everything back into a feudal state, or it just creates massive inefficiencies that completely destroys any growth potential. It's a different system than communism, but it is just as ultra-conservative from an economic standpoint.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,817|6392|eXtreme to the maX
Because they are the backbone of the economy, and are under-represented in government.
They are also much more dynamic than big business, generally.

Last edited by Dilbert_X (2009-12-08 14:58:57)

Fuck Israel
cpt.fass1
The Cap'n Can Make it Hap'n
+329|6982|NJ

Dilbert_X wrote:

Because they are the backbone of the economy, and are under-represented in government.
They are also much more dynamic than big business, generally.
Government only cares whose going to grease there wheels.. I got potentially bad news today at the office.
blademaster
I'm moving to Brazil
+2,075|6932
Ill open my own business if they send me couple billion to bail me out
=NHB=Shadow
hi
+322|6652|California
My mom owns and manages a restaurant with less then 12 employees and its been around for 13 years...
rdx-fx
...
+955|6878

JohnG@lt wrote:

Obama keeps talking about wanting to foster job growth and create jobs but why is he focussed on small businesses? Most of them fail, they're inefficient and they don't hire many employees. The success rate is ridiculously low.
"Most of them fail"
No.
About 1/3rd fail, 1/3rd break even, and 1/3rd make a profit.

"they're inefficient"
No.
All of the small business owners I know are highly efficient.  Never is an employee more than 2 steps from the Boss.  No middle management, no layers of bureaucracy, no wasteful 'study groups', no department of redundancy department.

"they don't hire many employees"
No.
They employ over half the US workforce, generated over 64% of the new jobs over the last 15 years, and produce 13 times the number of patents as large firms.

http://www.sba.gov/advo/research/sb_econ2009.pdf
http://www.sba.gov/advo/stats/sbfaq.pdf

From practical experience, and from personally knowing quite a few small business owners, I can tell you a few things;
First, too many start up businesses are run by people with insufficient experience.
Second, too many people start businesses with no idea how much work is involved - and quit after a couple years of 20 hour days.
Third, a startup requires you to be all things for all people - sales, marketing, advertising, R&D, product development, manufacturing, tech support.  When shit breaks, there is no supervisor to get help from - you're it (and you pay for it).

And, make sure you note the distinction between small business and start up business in your statistics.  Big difference in terms.

For someone with the name "John Galt", you seem to have a dim view of entrepreneurs and innovators and tend to favor bureaucratic large corporations.  John Galt prefers Peter Keating over Howard Roark?

Last edited by rdx-fx (2009-12-08 16:26:57)

Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5645|London, England
To make a Peter Keating/Howard Roark comparison out of what I wrote is a bit silly. There are just very few extraordinary people that have the skill and desire to drive a business from conception through profitability.

Hell, you said it yourself, only 1/3rd of small businesses make a profit. Lending them more money will not change the paradigm. Especially because it will mean that lenders have so much excess money that they now take extra risks and start handing money to people who do not deserve it and will default. They learned absolutely nothing from the housing market crash. Nothing. Same mistakes repeated over and over again.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat

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