Man With No Name
جندي
+148|5877|The Wild West

imortal wrote:

Hey, "he needed killin'," right?

I live in Austin; I don't live in Killeen anymore.  You also can paint a very poor picture of Texas by looking at the Fort Hood area.  It is not idealic, but it is not a land of hell, either.
not looking at the fort hood area.  sure, I spent time in bell county.  But violent gun crimes happened in austin and in waco, the two other places I would spend outside of killeen or the heights.



dont get me wrong, If Im ever cursed to live in that state, Austin would be my first city of choice to reside in.  I love Austin!  The austin pd are a bunch of nutless pricks though.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6713|'Murka

imortal wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

imortal wrote:

For all that gun crime sounds really scary, it is actually a pretty rare event here.  Rare enough that it still makes the news in a big way.  Internationally, you hear when it happens, and only when it happens, so it feels to you like it happens more often than it does.  I live right here in the dead center of Texas, and I can't remember the last time I heard a gunshot outside a shooting range.  And yet, there are tens of thousands of Texas residents carrying concealed firearms.
How often do you think people are mudrered with a gun in Texas? What's your definition of rare?
I consider rare to be that I do not hear of it locally on a daily basis.  If you ask any local law enforcement officer in Austin what our largest problem with untimely death is in our city, you will hear, without fail, DUI.  There have been a couple shootings this year; it is either a legal shooting, or it is not.  If it is not a legal shooting, all hell breaks loose with the PD until they find the bad guys.

Rare, to me comes under how they are reported.  How often do they appear on the news, and how high up the chart?  The more often a shooting occurs, the less of a big deal it is, and the lower it will be in the news cycle.  The more nights that go by with no word of a shooting at all, the more rare it is.  It is not scientific or an imperical study, but it is how I judge it.  Oh, and since I talk to a lot of local LE and EMS, I do actually hear about a lot of these.

Oh, and a counter point.  Why do any of you really care?  If you don't live in the US, espeically those of you that live in countries with restrictive gun control laws, why do you particularly care what our laws are like?   And while I am on it, how do you think your ability is to judge our daily and local lifestyles by doing nothing more than looking at it over the internet?
I've heard of far more people being killed with firearms in the DC area--particularly during the handgun ban--than I ever heard about while living in Texas, Oklahoma, NW Florida, or anywhere else.

And GS: Austin would be a great town if it weren't for that community of burnt-orange ass pirates it contains.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
Man With No Name
جندي
+148|5877|The Wild West
oh you mean the longhorns?



lol
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7016|US
Ok, now we're taking Texas and applying that model to the entire US.  Does that make sense?  A state with a huge illegal smuggling problem, several cities with tremendous drug problems, high rates of gun ownership, and relatively lax use of force laws...hmm...Doesn't seem like the clearest basis for comparison, unless one wants to paint the US as a violent "Wild West" nation (which just isn't true, let's face it).
Man With No Name
جندي
+148|5877|The Wild West
whos comparing the US to texas?
rdx-fx
...
+955|6893

Man With No Name wrote:

imortal wrote:

Hey, "he needed killin'," right?

I live in Austin; I don't live in Killeen anymore.  You also can paint a very poor picture of Texas by looking at the Fort Hood area.  It is not idealic, but it is not a land of hell, either.
not looking at the fort hood area.  sure, I spent time in bell county.  But violent gun crimes happened in austin and in waco, the two other places I would spend outside of killeen or the heights.



dont get me wrong, If Im ever cursed to live in that state, Austin would be my first city of choice to reside in.  I love Austin!  The austin pd are a bunch of nutless pricks though.
Killeen was fairly mellow and GI-friendly when I was there.  Obviously, the average civilian didn't want a GI dating his sister, but they weren't unfriendly either.

Now, the counties around Ft Leonard Wood, Missouri.. those were the sloppy anal fuckstain asscrack of the country.  The whole economy of those areas seemed to completely depend on robbing young soldiers, with the tacit cooperation of the base command.  Hotels, restaurants, taxi drivers, barbers.. the whole lot.

Austin seemed downright GI friendly.  Nobody seemed to care if you were military, or college students.  Same either way, you're young 20-something kids out to spend money, get drunk, and listen to a wide variety of music in the process.  (I miss 6th street).

Never had a run-in with the Austin PD myself.  Texas highway patrol, though, seem to have a soft spot for young, dumb GIs.  Doing 175+mph in a 55mph on my motorcycle, Texas highway patrol let me off with a simple 15+ over the speedlimit, marked it as 107mph in a 55mph on the ticket (I had it framed for a while), and no other charges.
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

FEOS wrote:

imortal wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

How often do you think people are mudrered with a gun in Texas? What's your definition of rare?
I consider rare to be that I do not hear of it locally on a daily basis.  If you ask any local law enforcement officer in Austin what our largest problem with untimely death is in our city, you will hear, without fail, DUI.  There have been a couple shootings this year; it is either a legal shooting, or it is not.  If it is not a legal shooting, all hell breaks loose with the PD until they find the bad guys.

Rare, to me comes under how they are reported.  How often do they appear on the news, and how high up the chart?  The more often a shooting occurs, the less of a big deal it is, and the lower it will be in the news cycle.  The more nights that go by with no word of a shooting at all, the more rare it is.  It is not scientific or an imperical study, but it is how I judge it.  Oh, and since I talk to a lot of local LE and EMS, I do actually hear about a lot of these.

Oh, and a counter point.  Why do any of you really care?  If you don't live in the US, espeically those of you that live in countries with restrictive gun control laws, why do you particularly care what our laws are like?   And while I am on it, how do you think your ability is to judge our daily and local lifestyles by doing nothing more than looking at it over the internet?
I've heard of far more people being killed with firearms in the DC area--particularly during the handgun ban--than I ever heard about while living in Texas, Oklahoma, NW Florida, or anywhere else.

And GS: Austin would be a great town if it weren't for that community of burnt-orange ass pirates it contains.
D.C. truely beats any state in the US for homicide rate and gun crime, partially due to being a 'city state' and having a population density ten higher than any proper state, and having one of the least well designed firearms bans I've heard of.

As far as Texas goes it sits just in the top third of US states for homicide and violent crime rates with approximately 2-3 homicides being carried out with a gun per day.

I don't think that I know more about crime in your area than you, but I think that the Texas police and FBI do know more than you, hence I'll take their stats as being a better measure of crime across Texas and the US as a whole.

Your argument about why I should care about this is weak, especially as you've made threads about laws in other countries, such as that about CCTV laws in the UK.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6713|'Murka

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

imortal wrote:

I consider rare to be that I do not hear of it locally on a daily basis.  If you ask any local law enforcement officer in Austin what our largest problem with untimely death is in our city, you will hear, without fail, DUI.  There have been a couple shootings this year; it is either a legal shooting, or it is not.  If it is not a legal shooting, all hell breaks loose with the PD until they find the bad guys.

Rare, to me comes under how they are reported.  How often do they appear on the news, and how high up the chart?  The more often a shooting occurs, the less of a big deal it is, and the lower it will be in the news cycle.  The more nights that go by with no word of a shooting at all, the more rare it is.  It is not scientific or an imperical study, but it is how I judge it.  Oh, and since I talk to a lot of local LE and EMS, I do actually hear about a lot of these.

Oh, and a counter point.  Why do any of you really care?  If you don't live in the US, espeically those of you that live in countries with restrictive gun control laws, why do you particularly care what our laws are like?   And while I am on it, how do you think your ability is to judge our daily and local lifestyles by doing nothing more than looking at it over the internet?
I've heard of far more people being killed with firearms in the DC area--particularly during the handgun ban--than I ever heard about while living in Texas, Oklahoma, NW Florida, or anywhere else.

And GS: Austin would be a great town if it weren't for that community of burnt-orange ass pirates it contains.
D.C. truely beats any state in the US for homicide rate and gun crime, partially due to being a 'city state' and having a population density ten higher than any proper state, and having one of the least well designed firearms bans I've heard of.

As far as Texas goes it sits just in the top third of US states for homicide and violent crime rates with approximately 2-3 homicides being carried out with a gun per day.

I don't think that I know more about crime in your area than you, but I think that the Texas police and FBI do know more than you, hence I'll take their stats as being a better measure of crime across Texas and the US as a whole.

Your argument about why I should care about this is weak, especially as you've made threads about laws in other countries, such as that about CCTV laws in the UK.
Edit: Fair enough, Fodder.

As for correlation between gun ownership and gun-related murders: it would appear there is no correlation.

https://blog.fortiusone.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/clip-image004.jpg

Last edited by FEOS (2009-04-20 03:03:05)

“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

FEOS wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

I've heard of far more people being killed with firearms in the DC area--particularly during the handgun ban--than I ever heard about while living in Texas, Oklahoma, NW Florida, or anywhere else.

And GS: Austin would be a great town if it weren't for that community of burnt-orange ass pirates it contains.
D.C. truely beats any state in the US for homicide rate and gun crime, partially due to being a 'city state' and having a population density ten higher than any proper state, and having one of the least well designed firearms bans I've heard of.

As far as Texas goes it sits just in the top third of US states for homicide and violent crime rates with approximately 2-3 homicides being carried out with a gun per day.

I don't think that I know more about crime in your area than you, but I think that the Texas police and FBI do know more than you, hence I'll take their stats as being a better measure of crime across Texas and the US as a whole.

Your argument about why I should care about this is weak, especially as you've made threads about laws in other countries, such as that about CCTV laws in the UK.
Are you talking to me? If so, you need to re-check who started which threads, Fodder.
No, you didn't say anything about that, that was at immortal and his question on why anybody who doesn't live in a country comments about their laws and practices.
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

FEOS wrote:

As for correlation between gun ownership and gun-related murders: it would appear there is no correlation.

http://blog.fortiusone.com/wp-content/u … age004.jpg
That's the connection between legal gun owners and location as opposed to illegal gun owners who actually commit the vast majority of gun crime. The role of the legal gun owners tends to be as an unwitting supplier of illegal guns through theft from their car/house, theft from the supply chain that feeds the legal market (ie. theft from warehouses/gun dealers etc.) and illegal purchases from (predominantly) states with more lax licencing laws. As there is little to stop illegal guns from moving between states (except Alaska and Hawaii I guess) the location of the source of illegal guns doesn't have to correlate to the locations where illegal guns are used.

Overall I wouldn't predict that variations in gun ownership rates to have a correlation to gun crimes in a situation like the US. If each state had enforced border control between itself and neighbouring states, such as that between contries, then that stat woul dhave more relevance.
imortal
Member
+240|6967|Austin, TX
So, we are basically back to "It's the criminal, Stupid?"




(for those of you that don't get it, that was the rallying cry while the 1993 ban was being proposed.)
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

imortal wrote:

So, we are basically back to "It's the criminal, Stupid?"




(for those of you that don't get it, that was the rallying cry while the 1993 ban was being proposed.)
The problem being that armed citizens both give an additional compelling reason for criminals to arm themseves (criminals arm themselves in self defense against the armed populace) and provide the main source of the firearms for the black market through theft and fraud from gun owners and the associated legal gun supply chain.
nickb64
formerly from OC (it's EXACTLY like on tv)[truth]
+77|5913|Greatest Nation on Earth(USA)

Stingray24 wrote:

Braddock wrote:

If that's the case America can lie in the bed it has made for itself as far as I'm concerned and I just hope and pray that Europe never go down the same road as America when it comes to gun ownership.
I'm quite content doing just that.  Freedom has it's risks.
Timid men prefer the calm of despotism to the tempestuous sea of liberty.-Thomas Jefferson

I would rather be exposed to the inconveniences attending too much liberty than to those attending too small a degree of it.

"The beauty of the second amendment is that it will not be needed until they try to take it." -Thomas Jefferson

The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government.-Thomas Jefferson

"Laws that forbid the carrying of arms..disarm only those who are neither inclined nor determined to commit crimes. Such laws make things worse for the assaulted and better for the assailants; they serve rather to encourage than prevent homicides, for an unarmed man may be attacked with greater confidence than an armed one." - Thomas Jefferson
imortal
Member
+240|6967|Austin, TX

PureFodder wrote:

imortal wrote:

So, we are basically back to "It's the criminal, Stupid?"




(for those of you that don't get it, that was the rallying cry while the 1993 ban was being proposed.)
The problem being that armed citizens both give an additional compelling reason for criminals to arm themseves (criminals arm themselves in self defense against the armed populace) and provide the main source of the firearms for the black market through theft and fraud from gun owners and the associated legal gun supply chain.
That really sounds plausable, but does not always pan out.  A criminal is not out to 'play fair.' They want easy prey.  The greater chance that they will be hurt, the less likely they are to pursue that choice, unless the payoff is really worth it.  In every place where concealed carry has been legalized, there has been a noticeable drop in crimes against a person.  Now, that does not mean that the criminals just pack up and go home; there is nearly always also a slight rise in property crimes (although not as large as the personal crime drop).

The second part of it is a law (such as here in Texas) that there is a law against using a firearm in the commision of a crime.  That means that if you use a gun to commit a crime, you just bought yourself an additional felony charge, even if the crime in question was a misdemeanor.  The goal here in Texas is to make it legal and relatively easy for a law abiding citizen to carry a concelable firearm while making it as unpleasant as possible for a criminal to carry one.

An interesting note.  I know that locally (not sure about the big picture), criminals do not want to break into a house at night, since the owners might be home and armed.  It is much more likely for burglers to break in during the middle of the day, since the owners are more likely to be away at work, and because of the assumption that criminals would only work in the dark, so anyone bold enough to mess around someones' house during the day must be allowed to do so.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6713|'Murka

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

As for correlation between gun ownership and gun-related murders: it would appear there is no correlation.

http://blog.fortiusone.com/wp-content/u … age004.jpg
That's the connection between legal gun owners and location as opposed to illegal gun owners who actually commit the vast majority of gun crime. The role of the legal gun owners tends to be as an unwitting supplier of illegal guns through theft from their car/house, theft from the supply chain that feeds the legal market (ie. theft from warehouses/gun dealers etc.) and illegal purchases from (predominantly) states with more lax licencing laws. As there is little to stop illegal guns from moving between states (except Alaska and Hawaii I guess) the location of the source of illegal guns doesn't have to correlate to the locations where illegal guns are used.

Overall I wouldn't predict that variations in gun ownership rates to have a correlation to gun crimes in a situation like the US. If each state had enforced border control between itself and neighbouring states, such as that between contries, then that stat woul dhave more relevance.
Legal gun ownership correlates to gun ownership restrictions. The key being that higher gun ownership rates (and thus less legal restrictions on gun ownership) does not correlate to higher gun-related murders...one of the primary arguments for more gun control laws.

I suppose you wouldn't put much relevance in data that counters the going in position of most gun-restriction arguments.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

FEOS wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

As for correlation between gun ownership and gun-related murders: it would appear there is no correlation.

http://blog.fortiusone.com/wp-content/u … age004.jpg
That's the connection between legal gun owners and location as opposed to illegal gun owners who actually commit the vast majority of gun crime. The role of the legal gun owners tends to be as an unwitting supplier of illegal guns through theft from their car/house, theft from the supply chain that feeds the legal market (ie. theft from warehouses/gun dealers etc.) and illegal purchases from (predominantly) states with more lax licencing laws. As there is little to stop illegal guns from moving between states (except Alaska and Hawaii I guess) the location of the source of illegal guns doesn't have to correlate to the locations where illegal guns are used.

Overall I wouldn't predict that variations in gun ownership rates to have a correlation to gun crimes in a situation like the US. If each state had enforced border control between itself and neighbouring states, such as that between contries, then that stat woul dhave more relevance.
Legal gun ownership correlates to gun ownership restrictions. The key being that higher gun ownership rates (and thus less legal restrictions on gun ownership) does not correlate to higher gun-related murders...one of the primary arguments for more gun control laws.

I suppose you wouldn't put much relevance in data that counters the going in position of most gun-restriction arguments.
Gun ownership restrictions tend to be reactionary, ie. more stringent in areas that have gun problems in the first place, hence regional differences in gun restiction legislation mainly show where gun problems tend to be. They are an effect as opposed to a cause.

As I said before, tha lack of any serious obstacle to moving illegal guns around the contiguous US states means that the supply and the demand don't have to be in the same states. Take for example the case of New York City. Apparently 85.9% of guns used in crimes there came from out of state.
http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/200 … illeg.html

Guns used in crime is simpy not a state wide issue but a country wide one. Even though some states with high gun ownership rates have lower crime rates it ignores the fact that they are facilitating a lot of the crime that's happening in other states. If you want to reduce gun crime in NY you have to clamp down on firearms laws in Georgia because that's where the guns come from.
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7016|US

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

PureFodder wrote:


That's the connection between legal gun owners and location as opposed to illegal gun owners who actually commit the vast majority of gun crime. The role of the legal gun owners tends to be as an unwitting supplier of illegal guns through theft from their car/house, theft from the supply chain that feeds the legal market (ie. theft from warehouses/gun dealers etc.) and illegal purchases from (predominantly) states with more lax licencing laws. As there is little to stop illegal guns from moving between states (except Alaska and Hawaii I guess) the location of the source of illegal guns doesn't have to correlate to the locations where illegal guns are used.

Overall I wouldn't predict that variations in gun ownership rates to have a correlation to gun crimes in a situation like the US. If each state had enforced border control between itself and neighbouring states, such as that between contries, then that stat woul dhave more relevance.
Legal gun ownership correlates to gun ownership restrictions. The key being that higher gun ownership rates (and thus less legal restrictions on gun ownership) does not correlate to higher gun-related murders...one of the primary arguments for more gun control laws.

I suppose you wouldn't put much relevance in data that counters the going in position of most gun-restriction arguments.
Gun ownership restrictions tend to be reactionary, ie. more stringent in areas that have gun problems in the first place, hence regional differences in gun restiction legislation mainly show where gun problems tend to be. They are an effect as opposed to a cause.

As I said before, tha lack of any serious obstacle to moving illegal guns around the contiguous US states means that the supply and the demand don't have to be in the same states. Take for example the case of New York City. Apparently 85.9% of guns used in crimes there came from out of state.
http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/200 … illeg.html

Guns used in crime is simpy not a state wide issue but a country wide one. Even though some states with high gun ownership rates have lower crime rates it ignores the fact that they are facilitating a lot of the crime that's happening in other states. If you want to reduce gun crime in NY you have to clamp down on firearms laws in Georgia because that's where the guns come from.
So, basically, you are saying criminals break the laws and are pretty good at it, so we need to make more laws to stop them...?  Who do you think will be affected by these new restrictions?
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6713|'Murka

Yes. Making more laws to be ignored by people whose ignoring of current laws caused the problem you are attempting to fix by enacting more laws to be ignored will fix everything.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

RAIMIUS wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

Legal gun ownership correlates to gun ownership restrictions. The key being that higher gun ownership rates (and thus less legal restrictions on gun ownership) does not correlate to higher gun-related murders...one of the primary arguments for more gun control laws.

I suppose you wouldn't put much relevance in data that counters the going in position of most gun-restriction arguments.
Gun ownership restrictions tend to be reactionary, ie. more stringent in areas that have gun problems in the first place, hence regional differences in gun restiction legislation mainly show where gun problems tend to be. They are an effect as opposed to a cause.

As I said before, tha lack of any serious obstacle to moving illegal guns around the contiguous US states means that the supply and the demand don't have to be in the same states. Take for example the case of New York City. Apparently 85.9% of guns used in crimes there came from out of state.
http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/200 … illeg.html

Guns used in crime is simpy not a state wide issue but a country wide one. Even though some states with high gun ownership rates have lower crime rates it ignores the fact that they are facilitating a lot of the crime that's happening in other states. If you want to reduce gun crime in NY you have to clamp down on firearms laws in Georgia because that's where the guns come from.
So, basically, you are saying criminals break the laws and are pretty good at it, so we need to make more laws to stop them...?  Who do you think will be affected by these new restrictions?
No, this evidence shows that the restrictions in NY state are very effective. Most of the gun crime has to be comitted with guns that have been trucked half way across the country because the criminals can't get them locally. If other states had similar restrictions to that of NY state it would appear that the flow of guns to criminals would be greatly reduced. It's not that the criminals are good at getting guns, it's that the laws in some states make it so easy for criminals to get hold of guns that they can readily make up the shortfall in supply caused by the more restrictive gun laws in other states.

The problem is that as guns can easily be moved between states, the strength of gun legislation in the US as a whole is equivalent to the least restrictive state as the less restrictive states will supply the black market in other states. If criminals were so effective at getting around gun laws and these laws have no effect, why do criminals in NY have to get their guns from Georgia and Texas?
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7016|US
Probably price and effort required...

The NY restrictions are very good at creating a substitution of markets.  The NY market is slow, so criminals bring in guns from elsewhere...kinda like drugs.  Organized crime usually follows the path of least resistance/most gain.
imortal
Member
+240|6967|Austin, TX
When alcohol was outlawed in the '20s, there grew a thriving black market in alcohol, by both criminals and otherwise honest citizens.  The major effect of prohibition was the establishment of organized crime, which we are still trying to deal with to this day.  If there is a demand for a product someone will come up with a supply.

Right now, supply is easy.  They go to another state and resale to the criminals, or a sucker becomes a 'gun dealer' to provide to criminals (with assumed identities for purposes of the paperwork).  Because that is the easiest and least risky method to satisfy the demand.  Now, if guns were outlawed here in the US, that would not dry up the demand.  It would raise the price, because now the firearms have to be 'imported' from overseas.  That increases exposure and risk.  That drives up the cost, which makes it a much more serious prospect, drawing much more serious criminals.  Like pros; like organized crime, with all the bribery, graft, and intimidation that suggests.  We can't keep drugs or immigrants out of our country, what makes you think we will be any better at guns?

Also, the quality of guns will change.  Currently, the vast majority of guns used in crimes here in the US are firearms that are legal in parts of the US.  Not too many fully auto guns used in crime, despite what the movies show.  However, most those semi autos are made soley for the US civilian market.  If that dries up, the next biggest supply area is foreign military surplus.  If you are going to 'import' a firearm anyway, you going to import a semi automatic MAK-47, or a fully automatic AK 47 that is the exact same size and risk, but you can charge more money for?  So, the criminals will not only still get their weapons, they will actually be more powerful, more intimidating weapons.

[EDIT]  After all, look at how gun control has worked out for Mexico.  And before it comes up, the majority of supply of the preffered weapons (full auto firepower) does not come from the US.  Okay, not directly.[/EDIT]

So, outlaw guns.  The law abiding citizen now no longer has a method of reliable self defense.  Street hoods, confident that their targets will not be armed, can conduct more muggings with just a knife (or a simple leftover pistol).  Organized crime has a vast upsurge, filling in a demand for a now illegal product.  With the rise of organized crime comes an increase in crooked cops and politicians (most people DO have a price).  Also, those orgnized criminals actually become better armed than they would have been if the gun laws were left untouched!

So, to my eye, it seems that an 'anti-crime' gun ban would do nothing more than increase crime and the danger from those criminals.  The law would be well-meaning, but I doubt the politicians would not forsee the unintended concequences.

Last edited by imortal (2009-04-22 21:16:36)

RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7016|US
...not even factoring in the 400 year supply of firearms already in the US...
PureFodder
Member
+225|6587

imortal wrote:

When alcohol was outlawed in the '20s, there grew a thriving black market in alcohol, by both criminals and otherwise honest citizens.  The major effect of prohibition was the establishment of organized crime, which we are still trying to deal with to this day.  If there is a demand for a product someone will come up with a supply.

Right now, supply is easy.  They go to another state and resale to the criminals, or a sucker becomes a 'gun dealer' to provide to criminals (with assumed identities for purposes of the paperwork).  Because that is the easiest and least risky method to satisfy the demand.  Now, if guns were outlawed here in the US, that would not dry up the demand.  It would raise the price, because now the firearms have to be 'imported' from overseas.  That increases exposure and risk.  That drives up the cost, which makes it a much more serious prospect, drawing much more serious criminals.  Like pros; like organized crime, with all the bribery, graft, and intimidation that suggests.  We can't keep drugs or immigrants out of our country, what makes you think we will be any better at guns?

Also, the quality of guns will change.  Currently, the vast majority of guns used in crimes here in the US are firearms that are legal in parts of the US.  Not too many fully auto guns used in crime, despite what the movies show.  However, most those semi autos are made soley for the US civilian market.  If that dries up, the next biggest supply area is foreign military surplus.  If you are going to 'import' a firearm anyway, you going to import a semi automatic MAK-47, or a fully automatic AK 47 that is the exact same size and risk, but you can charge more money for?  So, the criminals will not only still get their weapons, they will actually be more powerful, more intimidating weapons.

[EDIT]  After all, look at how gun control has worked out for Mexico.  And before it comes up, the majority of supply of the preffered weapons (full auto firepower) does not come from the US.  Okay, not directly.[/EDIT]

So, outlaw guns.  The law abiding citizen now no longer has a method of reliable self defense.  Street hoods, confident that their targets will not be armed, can conduct more muggings with just a knife (or a simple leftover pistol).  Organized crime has a vast upsurge, filling in a demand for a now illegal product.  With the rise of organized crime comes an increase in crooked cops and politicians (most people DO have a price).  Also, those orgnized criminals actually become better armed than they would have been if the gun laws were left untouched!

So, to my eye, it seems that an 'anti-crime' gun ban would do nothing more than increase crime and the danger from those criminals.  The law would be well-meaning, but I doubt the politicians would not forsee the unintended concequences.
a) There's no evidence from other countries that have had firearms bans that criminals will suddenly go running around with assault rifles. In fact the US has a higher percentage of assault rifles used in crimes than the UK.

b) The majority of gun crimes in the US are not comitted by serious organised criminals. By making the supply of firearms more risky and expensive and by removing the reason that most criminals arm themselves in the first place (self-defence against legal gun owners) which has benefits for the populace as nervous armed criminals tend to do stupid things. Plus you're making the police's job a hell of a lot easier as far more criminals will be unarmed.

c) Organised criminals can probably get their hands on whatever they want anyway, evidence from other countries with general firearm band indicates that organised criminals won't be rushing out to get AK's.

d) Illegal weapons are already illegally held.

e) If you hate the idea of a gun ban (which I would be agaisnt for the US incidentally as I think it would be too long a process and would require full country wide support from the great majority of the populace and both major political parties to gradually remove the illegally held firearms in the US and phase out gun ownership. I don't see any of those things happening which would lead a fragmented attempt that would probably do more harm than good.) then at least making it difficult for criminals to arm themselves by having all states adopt a more stringent set of laws regarding firearms licencing (proper background checks etc.) as the legal populace can still get guns, but you're making it more difficult and expensive for criminals which will discourage many from getting a gun in the first place.

f) There's a good chance that the reason the US government is so bad at stopping illegal immigrants from getting into the country is because they don't want to stop illegal immigrants from entering the country. Dirt cheap labour is good for the economy if you're a rich business owner. The opinions of rich business owners tend to hold a lot of sway in politics.
imortal
Member
+240|6967|Austin, TX

PureFodder wrote:

a) There's no evidence from other countries that have had firearms bans that criminals will suddenly go running around with assault rifles. In fact the US has a higher percentage of assault rifles used in crimes than the UK.
Other countires are not the US.  Guns have been a part of our national psyche since our inception as a nation; that is much less true in pretty much every other nation on earth, with the exception of a few places in Africa.  Europe, for example, has a history of weapons restrictions going back to fuedal times.  There is no huge demand for fireamrs in the UK.  Here in the US, there is such a demand.  You are most likely correct.  It is difficult to conceal an assault rifle as you go and do your daily rounds, but if you want to carry a weapon, and that is all that is available... and I hate to say it, but there is a difference of scale.  Policing the UK is even easier than policing one of our larger states, population and land area-wise.  UK has the added advantage of being an island.  However, even with that, didn't the IRA manage to get their hands on some automatic weapons?  I never said it was going to be sudden.  I didn't even claim the difference was going to be huge.

PureFodder wrote:

b) The majority of gun crimes in the US are not comitted by serious organised criminals. By making the supply of firearms more risky and expensive and by removing the reason that most criminals arm themselves in the first place (self-defence against legal gun owners) which has benefits for the populace as nervous armed criminals tend to do stupid things. Plus you're making the police's job a hell of a lot easier as far more criminals will be unarmed.
Criminals break laws.  Just becuase it is illegal, does not mean they won't do it anyway.  A lack of availability will make a difference, unless that criminal feels they need a gun, then they will find a way to get one.  Criminals do not get a gun to protect themselves from an armed citizen.  The very idea is laughable.  Citizens with guns don't hunt and prey on criminals, it is not a method of defense for them.  Criminals use guns offensively; an armed citizen uses theirs defensively.  If you can't see the difference in that, there is no more point in arguing.  A criminal goes for easy prey (i.e. an old lady cashing her Social Security check instead of a college linebacker pulling a couple hundred out of an ATM).  An armed populace decreases crime against persons (such as muggings) because it is harder for a criminal to properly assess targets for risk.  A gun carried by one of these common criminals is a method of intimidation, not of self defense.  If the target may have a gun, the risk for the criminal is too high for the reward, and they go on to either an easier area of crime, or looks for a group that is less likely to be armed.

PureFodder wrote:

c) Organised criminals can probably get their hands on whatever they want anyway, evidence from other countries with general firearm band indicates that organised criminals won't be rushing out to get AK's.
You are correct.  However, many, if not most of them get along with what they can get their hands on now.  It is easier, and it is sufficiant.  Now, if they can't just go out and get one- if they have to plan and work at getting a gun, you are more likely to make it worth your while.  I used the example of AKs because they are pretty much the most prolific weapon in the world, and most likely the easiest to get on the black market. 

Smuggling weapons is a bit different than smuggling drugs.  First, instead of suspecting the other side has guns, it is pretty much a sure thing, just due to what you are trading.  Any law enforcement trying to stop a buy must go in with more force, just due to the nature of what is being traded.  Since it is so much riskier for the criminals, it has to be worth more money to make it worthwile.  If there is more money involved, there is more of a danger of being double crossed.  Because there is a risk of a greater prison sentace, there is more motivation by the crimial to evade capture.  Hence the increased desire of the criminal to be better armed for this enterprise.  Since they are dealing in weapons anyway, they have their own pick.  So, pick that which has the best punch.

PureFodder wrote:

d) Illegal weapons are already illegally held.
Yes, and that does not stop them.  Excpet that, right now, I am a legal gun owner.  Institute a ban, and I will become an owner of illegal weapons.  Not planhing on using them in a crime, but I am keeping at least one.  That goes back to the psyche of our nation and all.  You would be suprised how common that attitude is among gun owners here.  So, by extention, otherwise law abiding citizens here will continue to buy guns.  Oh, not in the numbers they do now, but they will.

PureFodder wrote:

e) If you hate the idea of a gun ban (which I would be agaisnt for the US incidentally as I think it would be too long a process and would require full country wide support from the great majority of the populace and both major political parties to gradually remove the illegally held firearms in the US and phase out gun ownership. I don't see any of those things happening which would lead a fragmented attempt that would probably do more harm than good.) then at least making it difficult for criminals to arm themselves by having all states adopt a more stringent set of laws regarding firearms licencing (proper background checks etc.) as the legal populace can still get guns, but you're making it more difficult and expensive for criminals which will discourage many from getting a gun in the first place.
It may suprise you to learn that, here in Texas at least, there is a background check conducted for every single firearm sold by a FFL (federal firearms license) holder to an individual gun owner.  The problem is that we do not regulate sales or trades between individuals.  To regulate and register to that degree is not accpetable to the people of the US, as we view it as an unnacceptable encroachement by the government into our private lives.  Yes, that means we have to accept the concequences of that, which means criminals have better access to guns.  So be it.  I know it is hard for you fathom that we would intentionally accept things like this.  You just don't get the US.  I have been using this argument a lot lately, but you just don't have the frame of reference to be able to understand it.

PureFodder wrote:

f) There's a good chance that the reason the US government is so bad at stopping illegal immigrants from getting into the country is because they don't want to stop illegal immigrants from entering the country. Dirt cheap labour is good for the economy if you're a rich business owner. The opinions of rich business owners tend to hold a lot of sway in politics.
That is just suppostion, and mouthing of a political talking point.  That being said, it may not be correct.  However, it is also a case in point.  If guns were viewed that way, then they also would into the country, even illegally, because we want them.  And that argument does not show why drugs make it in so easily as well.
RAIMIUS
You with the face!
+244|7016|US

PureFodder wrote:

a) There's no evidence from other countries that have had firearms bans that criminals will suddenly go running around with assault rifles. In fact the US has a higher percentage of assault rifles used in crimes than the UK.

b) The majority of gun crimes in the US are not comitted by serious organised criminals. By making the supply of firearms more risky and expensive and by removing the reason that most criminals arm themselves in the first place (self-defence against legal gun owners) which has benefits for the populace as nervous armed criminals tend to do stupid things. Plus you're making the police's job a hell of a lot easier as far more criminals will be unarmed.

c) Organised criminals can probably get their hands on whatever they want anyway, evidence from other countries with general firearm band indicates that organised criminals won't be rushing out to get AK's.

d) Illegal weapons are already illegally held.

e) If you hate the idea of a gun ban (which I would be agaisnt for the US incidentally as I think it would be too long a process and would require full country wide support from the great majority of the populace and both major political parties to gradually remove the illegally held firearms in the US and phase out gun ownership. I don't see any of those things happening which would lead a fragmented attempt that would probably do more harm than good.) then at least making it difficult for criminals to arm themselves by having all states adopt a more stringent set of laws regarding firearms licencing (proper background checks etc.) as the legal populace can still get guns, but you're making it more difficult and expensive for criminals which will discourage many from getting a gun in the first place.

f) There's a good chance that the reason the US government is so bad at stopping illegal immigrants from getting into the country is because they don't want to stop illegal immigrants from entering the country. Dirt cheap labour is good for the economy if you're a rich business owner. The opinions of rich business owners tend to hold a lot of sway in politics.
A. (Mexico?)  UK firearms crimes are going up.  While it makes sense that more "assault weapons" (NOT "assault rifles") are used in crime in the US (due to percentage of supply), they are still used pretty rarely (most studies say under 5% of guns used in crime qualify as "assault weapons).

B. Criminals arm themselves to gain power over their victims, not necessarily because they think their victim might be armed.  Criminals commonly state they try to choose victims not likely to resist.  Gang violence is one of the leading causes of violent crime in the US.  Many gangs are well organized and funded.

C. Yep, organized crime can get whatever they want.  Right now, they are satisfied with using "off the shelf" US firearms.  It's cheaper than smuggling in assault rifles, like the Cartels in Mexico do.

D. Uh...yeah...

E. ...But your plan also makes it more expensive and difficult for the law-abiding population to get firearms.  Restrict the majority to marginally restrict the minority?  Not the best solution, IMO.

F. I won't argue that, as I don't have good evidence.  However, the US does spend a lot of money to stop the drug flow...with very poor results, IMO.

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