The front page of The Age newspaper lept out at me this morning, recent opinion polls conducted show that the 10 year old Howard Government would be swept out of power on the House Of Reps with massive swings towards Labor. If these swings were to happen on election day across the states Liberal and National losses would be quite severe.
Western Australia: 3.7% (2 Seats)
Tasmania: 9.1% (2 Seats)
New South Wales: 9.6% (12 Seats)
Victoria: 10.1% (10 Seats)
South Australia/Northern Territory: 11.6% (6 Seats)
Queensland: 13.2% (17 Seats)
Western Australia: (Hasluck [1.9%], Stirling [2.1%])
Tasmania: (Braddon [1.2%], Bass [2.7%])
New South Wales: (Parramatta [0.9%], Wentworth [2.5%], Lindsay [2.9%], Eden-Monaro [3.3%], Bennelong [4.2%], Dobell [4.8%], Page [5.5%], Paterson [6.1%], Cowper [6.7%], Robertson [6.9%], Hughes [8.5%], Gilmore [9.4%])
Victoria: (Deakin [5.0%], McMillan [5.0%], Corangamite [5.4%]. LaTrobe [5.9%], McEwen [6.5%], Gippsland [7.8%], Higgins [8.8%], Dunkley [9.4%], Kooyong [9.6%], Goldstein [10.1%])
South Australia/Northern Territory: (Kingston [0.1%], Wakefield [0.7%], Makin [1.0%], Solomon [2.9%], Boothby [5.4%], Sturt [6.9%])
Queensland: (Bonner [0.5%], Moreton [2.8%], Blair [5.7%], Herbert [6.2%], Longman [6.7%], Wright [6.8%], Petrie [7.4%], Hinkler [8.2%], Bowman [8.9%] Dickson [8.9%], Dawson [10.0%], Leichhardt [10.3%], Ryan [10.4%], Fisher [11.0%], Forde [11.5%], Wide Bay [12.2%], Fairfax [12.4%])
If these predictions ring true on election day liberals would not only lose government but John Howard, Malcolm Turnbull, Peter Costello, Fran Bailey, Peter McGauran, Christopher Pyne and Mal Brough WILL NOT EVEN BE IN PARLIAMENT.
Even if this swing was halves Labor would still win a majority with 4 more seats than the Liberals, and Malcolm Turnbull and Peter Costello would still lose their seats.
The question I put towards my fellow D&ST posters is do you really think that the Coalition will lose by this margin? Will Labor totally annihilate them? Any commentary on this years election would be good
Western Australia: 3.7% (2 Seats)
Tasmania: 9.1% (2 Seats)
New South Wales: 9.6% (12 Seats)
Victoria: 10.1% (10 Seats)
South Australia/Northern Territory: 11.6% (6 Seats)
Queensland: 13.2% (17 Seats)
Western Australia: (Hasluck [1.9%], Stirling [2.1%])
Tasmania: (Braddon [1.2%], Bass [2.7%])
New South Wales: (Parramatta [0.9%], Wentworth [2.5%], Lindsay [2.9%], Eden-Monaro [3.3%], Bennelong [4.2%], Dobell [4.8%], Page [5.5%], Paterson [6.1%], Cowper [6.7%], Robertson [6.9%], Hughes [8.5%], Gilmore [9.4%])
Victoria: (Deakin [5.0%], McMillan [5.0%], Corangamite [5.4%]. LaTrobe [5.9%], McEwen [6.5%], Gippsland [7.8%], Higgins [8.8%], Dunkley [9.4%], Kooyong [9.6%], Goldstein [10.1%])
South Australia/Northern Territory: (Kingston [0.1%], Wakefield [0.7%], Makin [1.0%], Solomon [2.9%], Boothby [5.4%], Sturt [6.9%])
Queensland: (Bonner [0.5%], Moreton [2.8%], Blair [5.7%], Herbert [6.2%], Longman [6.7%], Wright [6.8%], Petrie [7.4%], Hinkler [8.2%], Bowman [8.9%] Dickson [8.9%], Dawson [10.0%], Leichhardt [10.3%], Ryan [10.4%], Fisher [11.0%], Forde [11.5%], Wide Bay [12.2%], Fairfax [12.4%])
If these predictions ring true on election day liberals would not only lose government but John Howard, Malcolm Turnbull, Peter Costello, Fran Bailey, Peter McGauran, Christopher Pyne and Mal Brough WILL NOT EVEN BE IN PARLIAMENT.
Even if this swing was halves Labor would still win a majority with 4 more seats than the Liberals, and Malcolm Turnbull and Peter Costello would still lose their seats.
The question I put towards my fellow D&ST posters is do you really think that the Coalition will lose by this margin? Will Labor totally annihilate them? Any commentary on this years election would be good