Cheeky_Ninja06
Member
+52|7182|Cambridge, England
Why did global temperature fall post war during the economic boom into the 70s ?

During the medieval warm period wealth increased. This was the age of the cathedrale builders. In the uk we were growing grape vines in the north of england. Contrastingly in the little ice age, crops failed and there was a lot of famine. Now i know where i would rather be.

"global warming" comes from sun spots (indirectly) i cant remember exactly how it worked (summet to do with solar wind) but this guy in america has been betting against the met office and has won over $100,000 with his weather predictions just by counting sun spots. coincidence?

Alternative more effecient fuels are the natural next step.
usmarine2007
Banned
+374|6816|Columbus, Ohio
I am willing to bet there are a lot of factors.  But I do not think you can say GW is man made without a complete understanding of nature.
Kmar
Truth is my Bitch
+5,695|7050|132 and Bush

Cheeky_Ninja06 wrote:

Why did global temperature fall post war during the economic boom into the 70s ?

During the medieval warm period wealth increased. This was the age of the cathedrale builders. In the uk we were growing grape vines in the north of england. Contrastingly in the little ice age, crops failed and there was a lot of famine. Now i know where i would rather be.

"global warming" comes from sun spots (indirectly) i cant remember exactly how it worked (summet to do with solar wind) but this guy in america has been betting against the met office and has won over $100,000 with his weather predictions just by counting sun spots. coincidence?

Alternative more efficient fuels are the natural next step.
I hope you understand that the temperatures are much higher now than they ever were during the medieval warming period. When the ice caps melted then they diluted the salinity of the oceans to a point which altered the natural currents. This is why we had the little Ice age. Logic should tell us that having even higher temps would have an even more drastic effect on the Icecaps/currents.

I acknowledge solar activities have a great impact as well. But we must use the science we have available and only consider the levels at which the Sun may have driven temperatures in the past. We are incapable of measuring what the Sun was doing in ancient times. Since our knowledge of the suns patterns over the last few thousand years is insufficient we are not able to toss the constants that we do have established now. What we know through ice core samples is that as far back as we can tell there has been a correlation between Co2 and global temperature. This is a fact. There is a very specific science that can analyze the frozen subatomic compounds that can illustrate both temperature and Co2. The suns activity may have helped to increase the severity of the temps, but in science you must use a constant that can be backed up with solid evidence over an extended amount of time. That constant is Carbon dioxide. It would be silly to try and write the sun off as not having an impact. But it would also be ridiculous to try and say Co2 has no relation as well. It has paralleled the rise and fall throughout history. And that is provable.

There are parts of this debate for me that are over. The first is the fact the earth is warming. We know this to be true. The years leading us from the industrial revolution to now have been the hottest in recorded time (hotter than medieval times). This trend has been going on more clearly for the last 25 years with a slight variation here and there. The second is the fact that Co2 has been shown to impact temperature. There is no disputing they mimic each other. The term "global warming denier" is slowly be phased out. Even the most hard headed of them are now accepting the evidence. They have shifted agendas to attacking the hypocritical actions of politicians while devoting minimal attention to the science. The only real debatable aspect of this topic is how much of an impact humans have had on our climate. Since the industrial revolution we have proceeded to burn fossil fuels. And since that time the earths temperature has increased. But you must also understand that the time this planet has experienced the Industrial revolution is minimal in the scale of the time humans have inhabited the planet (650k years). 25-30 years is not enough time in my mind to conclusively say that this phenomenon rest exclusively on the shoulders of mankind. This issue, if man made, is much like cancer, the sooner you catch it the easier it is to treat.

It would be morally irresponsible to write this debate off. We must continue to challenge each other to come up with better explanations/solutions. I feel that we are just the beginning of this debate. It will be up to future generations to find the solutions/causes. The consequences of not being aware of the possibilities could be devastating. I hate to play the "what if" card but I think we owe it to ourselves. The only way we fail is when we give up on the contested evidence. Mankind has persevered by continuously challenging itself. It is a key component for survival and should remain if we are to have a future.
Xbone Stormsurgezz
vedds
Member
+52|7204|Christchurch New Zealand
Aside from the debate of whether it is happening and man made, Im still waiting for someone to prove why change is bad. If the earth had been in a state of homeostasis, we wouldnt have developed as we have.
madmurre
I suspect something is amiss
+117|7160|Sweden

CameronPoe wrote:

Spearhead wrote:

Global warming is irrelevant, in my view.  It's all about the way we use energy.  Oil and coal supplies will run out eventually, and if we haven't made a nearly complete transformation over to hydrogen, or something else, we will be screwed.  Every country in the world should be on its hands and knees trying to develop alternate fuels.
QFT. I have recently transferred from being 'OMFG! Man-made global warming!' to now erring slightly on the side of 'OMFG! Man-made global warming is probably bullshit!'. That doesn't make the need to develop alternative sources of energy any less pressing. Exhaustible resources eventually become just that: exhausted....
Don“t post much here but this must be one of few times i fully agree with you.

And speaking of science we once thought the earth was flat as well.
Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7216|UK

usmarine2007 wrote:

I know this issue is as passionate and divided as religion or Iraq, but the term "fact" being tossed around needs to stop.  There is no way to know without a shadow of a doubt if global warming is truly a problem.  Why you ask?

Weather.

There is no way in hell anyone can tell me that the earth's weather patterns are not the cause of all this "disturbing" data.  Anyone who works in an industry where they read and try and predict weather, know damn well we do not know shit about it.  I have been reading and trying to understand and predict weather for almost ten years now, and I am right only about 60% of the time.  As for the experts, they are right about 80% of the time.

That is still not accurate enough to tell me that humans or weather is the cause of heating, cooling, floods, hurricanes, etc. 

Until we can understand weather completely, there is no way it can be "ruled out" as a cause or the cause of anything.
Thats not even remotely how average GW temps work.
usmarine2007
Banned
+374|6816|Columbus, Ohio

Vilham wrote:

Thats not even remotely how average GW temps work.
I am not talking about temp.
CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|7005
Interesting quote from the fourth IPCC report on global warming:
"Both past and future anthropogenic (man-made) carbon dioxide emissions will continue to contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium, due to the timescales required for removal of this gas from the atmosphere."

In which case, it's too late.....
Liberal-Sl@yer
Certified BF2S Asshole
+131|6905|The edge of sanity

Kmarion wrote:

Cheeky_Ninja06 wrote:

Why did global temperature fall post war during the economic boom into the 70s ?

During the medieval warm period wealth increased. This was the age of the cathedrale builders. In the uk we were growing grape vines in the north of england. Contrastingly in the little ice age, crops failed and there was a lot of famine. Now i know where i would rather be.

"global warming" comes from sun spots (indirectly) i cant remember exactly how it worked (summet to do with solar wind) but this guy in america has been betting against the met office and has won over $100,000 with his weather predictions just by counting sun spots. coincidence?

Alternative more efficient fuels are the natural next step.
I hope you understand that the temperatures are much higher now than they ever were during the medieval warming period.
Wrong, wrong, wrong. Medevial warm period had a much higher temp than we do nowadays. In fact i have a question. When pangea was still around and there were still dinasours then what was the temps like then? well obviously not freezing right? Well then they must have been warm. its called cycles my freind. I think we are actually going for a global cooling being that we ARE in an interglacial period. Now dont get me wrong global warming is REAL but not in the way or magnitude many say it is.
CommieChipmunk
Member
+488|7019|Portland, OR, USA

usmarine2007 wrote:

Spark wrote:

But why are we arguing? Each to his own, eh? I'll worry about global warming (because that affects me), and you worry about the state of your country (because that affects you).
Because each side is arguing like they "know."  I am trying to say, nobody really knows.
Hmm who knows more, government paid scientists with gag orders and the possibility of jail hanging over their heads if they say the wrong thing.  Or independent scientists looking at the real data.
Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7216|UK

usmarine2007 wrote:

Vilham wrote:

Thats not even remotely how average GW temps work.
I am not talking about temp.
Your talking about factors that effect it, thus making it impossible to properly calculate, which shows your lack of knowledge on the subject. It doesnt work like that..
CC-Marley
Member
+407|7278

CC-Marley wrote:

I've always said that Mars was getting hotter!
Kmar
Truth is my Bitch
+5,695|7050|132 and Bush

CameronPoe wrote:

Interesting quote from the fourth IPCC report on global warming:
"Both past and future anthropogenic (man-made) carbon dioxide emissions will continue to contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium, due to the timescales required for removal of this gas from the atmosphere."

In which case, it's too late.....
Don't you remember after the big report them saying something like.."Global warming most likely man made, nothing we can do about it now".... Damn, I'm going to have to go find it.
Xbone Stormsurgezz
Kmar
Truth is my Bitch
+5,695|7050|132 and Bush

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

Kmarion wrote:

Cheeky_Ninja06 wrote:

Why did global temperature fall post war during the economic boom into the 70s ?

During the medieval warm period wealth increased. This was the age of the cathedrale builders. In the uk we were growing grape vines in the north of england. Contrastingly in the little ice age, crops failed and there was a lot of famine. Now i know where i would rather be.

"global warming" comes from sun spots (indirectly) i cant remember exactly how it worked (summet to do with solar wind) but this guy in america has been betting against the met office and has won over $100,000 with his weather predictions just by counting sun spots. coincidence?

Alternative more efficient fuels are the natural next step.
I hope you understand that the temperatures are much higher now than they ever were during the medieval warming period.
Wrong, wrong, wrong. Medevial warm period had a much higher temp than we do nowadays. In fact i have a question. When pangea was still around and there were still dinasours then what was the temps like then? well obviously not freezing right? Well then they must have been warm. its called cycles my freind. I think we are actually going for a global cooling being that we ARE in an interglacial period. Now dont get me wrong global warming is REAL but not in the way or magnitude many say it is.
I guess if you say wrong enough it makes it true..lol
https://i3.tinypic.com/48oat08.png
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/20 … 541414.htm
Xbone Stormsurgezz
Liberal-Sl@yer
Certified BF2S Asshole
+131|6905|The edge of sanity

Kmarion wrote:

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

Kmarion wrote:


I hope you understand that the temperatures are much higher now than they ever were during the medieval warming period.
Wrong, wrong, wrong. Medevial warm period had a much higher temp than we do nowadays. In fact i have a question. When pangea was still around and there were still dinasours then what was the temps like then? well obviously not freezing right? Well then they must have been warm. its called cycles my freind. I think we are actually going for a global cooling being that we ARE in an interglacial period. Now dont get me wrong global warming is REAL but not in the way or magnitude many say it is.
I guess if you say wrong enough it makes it true..lol
http://i3.tinypic.com/48oat08.png
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/20 … 541414.htm
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA....HAHAHAHHAHAH..HAHA..HA. hockey stick graph. every fucking time. hockey stick graph is a map that is null and void. search for the video about teh hockey stick graph.
Kmar
Truth is my Bitch
+5,695|7050|132 and Bush

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

Kmarion wrote:

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

Wrong, wrong, wrong. Medevial warm period had a much higher temp than we do nowadays. In fact i have a question. When pangea was still around and there were still dinasours then what was the temps like then? well obviously not freezing right? Well then they must have been warm. its called cycles my freind. I think we are actually going for a global cooling being that we ARE in an interglacial period. Now dont get me wrong global warming is REAL but not in the way or magnitude many say it is.
I guess if you say wrong enough it makes it true..lol
http://i3.tinypic.com/48oat08.png
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/20 … 541414.htm
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA....HAHAHAHHAHAH..HAHA..HA. hockey stick graph. every fucking time. hockey stick graph is a map that is null and void. search for the video about teh hockey stick graph.
Wonderful argument. When repetitive wrongs don't work insert "hahah". You obviously didn't read my entire post neither. I suggests you try and take it's entirety in.
http://forums.bf2s.com/viewtopic.php?pi … 3#p1290273

Last edited by Kmarion (2007-03-25 18:51:43)

Xbone Stormsurgezz
PureFodder
Member
+225|6735
Ok, just to be clear for everyone.

a) Why did the global temperature drop in the 70s?
Temperature drops as we begin to pump out massive amounts of aerosols, then goes back up as we stop pumping them out due to noticunf the ozone holes. (even more great evidence that man-made pollution can vary the global temperature).

b) Does the sun cause global warming?
The troposphere is increasing in temperature, while the stratosphere is dropping in temperature. As the only real source of heating for the stratosphere is solar output there is absolutely no possible way that the increases in teperature in the troposphere could be caused by an increase in solar output.

c) Do we need to know exactly how weather works to work out what's going on with global warming?
No. This is a global measurement, the fluctuations in local weather conditions get nicely evened out of any calculations unless you can remember any global snow showers that lasted 5 years?

You can easily work out properties of huge systems without knowing every last detail about every proces that's goin on inside it, and besides which, weather prediction at the moment is unbelievably great and based on a vast knowledge of how weather works.

A good example is, although people may not know why an indivitual share price fluctuates a little on a daily basis, people are very good at working out why the stock market rises and drops.
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|7124|Canberra, AUS

PureFodder wrote:

Ok, just to be clear for everyone.

a) Why did the global temperature drop in the 70s?
Temperature drops as we begin to pump out massive amounts of aerosols, then goes back up as we stop pumping them out due to noticunf the ozone holes. (even more great evidence that man-made pollution can vary the global temperature).

b) Does the sun cause global warming?
The troposphere is increasing in temperature, while the stratosphere is dropping in temperature. As the only real source of heating for the stratosphere is solar output there is absolutely no possible way that the increases in teperature in the troposphere could be caused by an increase in solar output.

c) Do we need to know exactly how weather works to work out what's going on with global warming?
No. This is a global measurement, the fluctuations in local weather conditions get nicely evened out of any calculations unless you can remember any global snow showers that lasted 5 years?

You can easily work out properties of huge systems without knowing every last detail about every proces that's goin on inside it, and besides which, weather prediction at the moment is unbelievably great and based on a vast knowledge of how weather works.

A good example is, although people may not know why an indivitual share price fluctuates a little on a daily basis, people are very good at working out why the stock market rises and drops.
Very good, just don't forget to source your statements.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|7124|Canberra, AUS
Huh? What happened to Trollmeat's post?
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
mcminty
Moderating your content for the Australian Govt.
+879|7171|Sydney, Australia
Must we, again?



vedds wrote:

Aside from the debate of whether it is happening and man made, Im still waiting for someone to prove why change is bad. If the earth had been in a state of homeostasis, we wouldnt have developed as we have.
Ok, there are many many many examples for me to chose from, so I'll get to one that 'hit's home' for my country.

The Great Barrier Reef is the worlds largest coral reef. For the Australian tourism market, it is estimated that 2 million people visit annually, with the reef generating over AU$5.1 billion.

  • 30 species of whale, dolphin
  • 6 species of sea turtle
  • 15 species of seagrass
  • 200 species of birds
  • 5000 species of mullosc
  • 17 species of sea snake
  • 1500 species of fish
  • 500 species of marine algae/ seaweed
  • 400 species of coral



While all of these species are tourism draw cards, the biggest puller is the CORAL. Also, the thing most suseptable to climate chanbe is the CORAL.

Water, because of its chemical properties requires large changes in energy to heat up. As a result, the water temperature is usually within a small range. Coral has developed a range of tolerance, the range of temperature that it can survive in.


A quick summary of coral: it is a symbiotic relationship between the polyp and Zooxanthellae. It is the Zooxanthellae that gives the coral its colour.

When the water temperature goes above the tolerance range, the Zooxanthellae is killed off, resulting in the white coral (calcium carbonate) being left. This is called coral bleaching. Now, nobody wants to pay money to come to Australia to see dead coral, do they?

In recent years, there have been episodes of localised coral bleaching, indicating that the waters around the GBR are getting warmer. This is a result of global warming! At the moment, the coral is existing at the upper limits of the range. If the projected temperature changes occur, much of Australia's (and the worlds for that matter) coral reefs will be wiped out.

I could get a whole lot into the value of the ecosystem, in tems of aesthetic, heritage, economic values (etc.), but if you don't get it by now, you won't understand then...


That a good enough reason?




For what it's worth, I think that us humans have messed up. Our greed has been satisfied at the expense of the planet. Pretty sad, huh... anyway, I'll address some more of the issues raised here tomorrow.


Mc - 'thinking about the planet' - Minty.
JahManRed
wank
+646|7077|IRELAND

CameronPoe wrote:

Interesting quote from the fourth IPCC report on global warming:
"Both past and future anthropogenic (man-made) carbon dioxide emissions will continue to contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium, due to the timescales required for removal of this gas from the atmosphere."

In which case, it's too late.....
Ok, so I should just keep polluting as it 'could' be the weather and put my efforts into building an underground bunker and buying up land in Africa instead?
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|7166

JahManRed wrote:

CameronPoe wrote:

Interesting quote from the fourth IPCC report on global warming:
"Both past and future anthropogenic (man-made) carbon dioxide emissions will continue to contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium, due to the timescales required for removal of this gas from the atmosphere."

In which case, it's too late.....
Ok, so I should just keep polluting as it 'could' be the weather and put my efforts into building an underground bunker and buying up land in Africa instead?
I would say we need to stop pollution, not because of global warming, but because of the environmental problems it produces.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
TrollmeaT
Aspiring Objectivist
+492|7122|Colorado

Spark wrote:

Huh? What happened to Trollmeat's post?
I didn't feel I was informed enough to keep up, I had a theory on the comfort zone & the sun but it's just speculation.

Last edited by TrollmeaT (2007-03-26 06:55:44)

Freke1
I play at night... mostly
+47|6996|the best galaxy
What caused the medieval heating period? CO2?

The temperature on the earth is determined by the amount of cloud cover.
The amount of cloud cover is determined by the amount of cosmic radiation.
The amount of cosmic radiation is determined by the suns electromagnetic radiation.
The suns electromagnetic radiation is determined by the amount of sun spots.
ref: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XttV2C6B8pU

CO2? if You're an enviromentalist and want to keep Your job say: CO2 CO2 CO2. Forget the truth - say CO2!
https://bf3s.com/sigs/7d11696e2ffd4edeff06466095e98b0fab37462c.png
G3|Genius
Pope of BF2s
+355|7075|Sea to globally-cooled sea
whatever

I'm still going to drive my truck and use the electricity that i need for my lifestyle.

let the tree huggers worry about their shit...we all choose our battles.  I'm completely unconvinced that this warming trend is man-made.

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