Turquoise wrote:
While Pakistan is plenty concerning in its own right, I think we can safely say at this point that Russia is far more of a threat to the world than Iraq, North Korea, and Iran ever could have been and ever will be.
With the way that the rest of the world either doesn't care or doesn't have the power to do much against Russia in its attacks on Georgia, I suppose we're back to the position we were in with the Cold War.
So, the question I have for this thread is... With us being stuck in Iraq and Afghanistan, how best can we deal with Russia? We obviously don't want WW3 to occur, but Russia is really pushing its luck lately. How can we put them back in their place?
Russia is not a threat to the 'world' as a whole. It's a threat to what it regards as its 'sphere of influence': Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Ukraine, Belarus and some non-EU slavic countries (e.g. Serbia).
It is acting the serious cunt by occupying the town of Gori longer than necessary (or at all for that reason) and turning a blind eye to Ossetian looters.
There will be no new Cold War. Like it or not Russia is important, Europe
needs it and it's here to stay as a new(ish) power. That doesn't mean we have to like that but we do have to deal with that. What concern all of this is to the US I really don't know - you guys are safely thousands of miles from the region. It's really an EU issue if anything. Russia is just being as belligerent and unilateral as the US/UK has been with Iraq (although at least the Georgians provoked the Russians, unlike the Iraqis) and as Israel was in Lebanon. The Georgian president authorised an attack on South Ossetia - Russia inevitably responded. Russia now calls for said President to be deposed (a la US/UK 'regime change' in Iraq). Neither the US/UK interference in the politics of Iraq nor the Russian interference in the politics of Georgia were/are justifiable. How people who advocated war in Iraq or promote 'regime change' in distant perceived 'belligerent' countries or support Israel whole-heartedly can criticise Russian action here is beyond me. Russia were part of an international agreement to provide peacekeeping in South Ossetia and Abkhazia - Georgia broke that agreement. Saakashvili did this against the wishes of the west. THe only issue here is that Russia violated Georgia 'proper' which was way out of line - akin to typical Israeli retaliation.
Demanding things of Russia on this issue amidst all the hypocrisy is beyond the pale of understanding. Russia will do what it wants here, in its own time, because it knows Europe needs it and it knows there isn't a single sodding thing anyone in the world can do about it. They are powerful again. Talking of military action against Russia when the pot is calling the kettle black is just ludicrous. What will happen here is that South Ossetia and maybe Abkhazia (possible independence a la Kosovo?) will be inducted into Russia and Georgia will continue as it had done without these two regions. This conflict stands since 1991 - it had to come to a conclusion at some point and this is probably endgame. Ossetians and Abkhazians could never be expected to be part of Georgia now or to trust Georgians after what Georgia has done to them.
PS How would you like it if Russia DEMANDED that the US/UK withdrew from Iraq and Afghanistan? It's the exact same thing as what the west is demanding of them right now. In all cases the response would probably be 'the military operations have not yet been concluded satsifactorily' when the fact of the matter is all parties should have packed their fucking bags ages ago.
PPS Pushing Russia further into the cold will play into the hands of Iran ftr.
Last edited by CameronPoe (2008-08-15 02:24:22)