| McCain | 35% | 35% - 33 | ||||
| Obama | 64% | 64% - 61 | ||||
| Total: 94 | ||||||
Exactly right. It's a shame, in some senses...Obama really only needs to sit back, campaign and try not to piss anyone off or make any stupid mistakes and he will win.
Living in a Red state it's tough to imagine but I think you have some insight there. I saw a poll earlier on CNN about 'top issues on voters minds' and the economy was the clear winner...people who think the war is a top issue are way off, and not paying attention... they are both the same on the war right now.Reciprocity wrote:
It's pretty close right now, but I think on election day we're gunna see a low turnout for the republican party. I know a lot of conservatives hate McCain as much as Obama and will either vote for some third party or just stay home and be pissy. Some of the fiscal conservatives will purposely stay home as a sort of silent Obama vote.
I think Obama will squeak by.
It'll be interesting.
Point.Kmarion wrote:
It depends on who looks like the lesser idiot at the debates.
I think you have a point there. Ultimately Republican fiscal policy wasn't/isn't sustainable and it's time to swing the other way.Vax wrote:
Historically the pendulum should be swinging their way.
Last edited by CameronPoe (2008-08-07 03:14:40)
With McCain still winning because of the Electoral College, lolThorax wrote:
Prediction:
OBAMA-56% PV
McCAIN-44% PV
Last edited by rammunition (2008-08-07 08:14:11)
Masturbation is always fun.unnamednewbie13 wrote:
Presidential predictions can be fun. Like masturbation.
Actually, then states that Obama is polling high in ATM would give him a 30 point lead in the EC.Mek-Stizzle wrote:
With McCain still winning because of the Electoral College, lolThorax wrote:
Prediction:
OBAMA-56% PV
McCAIN-44% PV
I did not realize there were only 11 votes in the election. Or that we were neatly grouped into conglomerates for ease in catagorizing. What if you are a liberal, black woman? Who gets that vote?Thorax wrote:
Obama will win.
Obama is going to have:
The Black Vote.
The Latino Vote.
The Youth Vote.
Disenfranchised Republican vote.
Typical Democratic Vote.
Liberal Vote.
Independent Vote.
McCain on the other hand, I only see having the:
Hardcore Republican Vote.
Evangelical Vote.
Conservative Vote.
Elderly Vote.
Granted the elderly and evangelical voters make up probably 40% of voters, I think McCains downfall is going to be strictly because people are fed up with Bush and all the scandals surrounding the Republican party. He's also going to have a hard time keeping Republicans that are AGAINST the war because of his adamant and thorough vocal support of the war and his promises to continue it. He will most likely win all the hardliner red states but I have a feeling most of the swing states are going to fall in Obama's court.
Obama on the other hand is going to have a hard time with blue collar workers and white southerners. He's got the majority of the black vote in his pocket for obvious reasons and we'll probably see a record turnout for young African Americans at the polls. This coupled with the fact that Democrats routinely pull in the majority of the Latino vote will assure big numbers for him, if he manages to pull in a VP candidate close the Hillary the Latino vote is guaranteed.
McCain has the unfortunate position of having to win people over AND keep the everyday anti-war republicans on his side. Obama really only needs to sit back, campaign and try not to piss anyone off or make any stupid mistakes and he will win.
Prediction:
OBAMA-56% PV
McCAIN-44% PV
Last edited by (T)eflon(S)hadow (2008-08-07 09:52:17)
And Bush is? Or is no one ever worthy of being president in the current system?(T)eflon(S)hadow wrote:
I predict with reluctance, McCain. Obama isnt much of a choice just like McCain; neither is worthy of being our next President but it is what it is.
I dislike McCain on many levels.JahManRed wrote:
@ATG
Are you predicting Mc Cain will win or are you hoping he wins? Things are rosy at home with the Republicans in charge and long may it continue?
Those are the major voter denominations. Anything else is just nitpicking as far as I'm concerned.imortal wrote:
Calling it "the liberal vote" and "the hispanic vote" is too simplistic.
