uziq
Member
+518|3799
sounds like someone is ... triggered.

no shit that a local cuisine is more authentic when ... you're in that locale. cooking is overwhelmingly a product of its social+natural environment.

i regret not visiting kyiv before, actually. some friends lived there for a while when the going was good. ukraine is actually a bit of a tech hub, along with slovenia. my ex-gf is polish and has lots of friends still across central/eastern europe. her family are currently hosting 8 refugees at her family home; we've been speaking often about the conflict because her job involves conflict zones. she has done documentary work at the borders previously due to the last refugee crisis and the flare-ups between poland-belarus.

personal contacts with the war and its fallout are not exactly hard to come by in europe. it's not a very big place; russia and ukraine are both pretty highly integrated in the region. another friend, working in berlin, is seeing ukrainian families (often sans the man) in the same train carriages as he's travelling in, every single day, on his commute. all very interesting and not very relevant. you don't need to be a war correspondent to comment on geopolitics.

Last edited by uziq (3 years ago)

Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
I did a bit of Russian at school, its a fun language, and would like to visit Moscow and St Petersburg - the Trans Siberian Rail trip would be awesome.
If i ever have two cats I plan to name them Baikonur and Cosmodrome.
I'd like to keep my kidneys, also don't want to be harassed by loose women, so I dunno.

Looking back NATO was foolish to antagonise Putin, its not as if he didn't give a decade of warning. Also they should have known he was irrational and belligerent and acted accordingly.
There's actually bugger all benefit to NATO in having the Baltics in, only liability, and its provocative.
It would have been quite easy to agree that Ukraine wouldn't join NATO and NATO forces wouldn't be stationed there, and again no benefit to NATO in a long range missile fight.
Stationing anti-ICBMs in the area, supposedly to counter Iran and North Korea, without discussion was foolish.
Whether that would have pushed the problem down the road, hopefully after Putin is a head in a jar, or emboldened him I guess its impossible to say.

At this point Ukraine might as well give up the two breakaway republics, maybe Crimea and maybe the swathe in between, let the Russians rebuild Mariupol but keep Odessa. That seems to be what the Russians want and would let them save face.

Last edited by Dilbert_X (3 years ago)

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uziq
Member
+518|3799
the tic-tac-toe around blaming NATO sometimes seems like quaint liberal self-exculpation, to me. like if NATO hadn’t answered the calls from nervous baltic states, putin would have pursued a path of world peace and beautiful harmony. like he would have turned out as anything less than a corrupt despot presiding over an increasingly disconnected and destabilised failing state, as all highly corrupt despotisms end up. 

it’s all irrelevant anyway. putin’s propaganda machine and media state don’t need things like facts or historical truth to weave their narrative. this has been their playbook since way before ukraine’s. surkov’s brand of theatrical absurdism is not based on rational responses or game theory or whatever.

putin is claiming ukraine wanted to develop WMDs. nuclear weapons. based on zero evidence. you can’t just hide that sort of operation, and ukraine’s nuclear sector was thoroughly vetted and transparent. they’re claiming ukraine were developing chemical and biological weapons.

yesterday putin claimed ukraine developed or utilised covid as a biological weapon. sound familiar? this is the gobbledygook that haunts far-right discourse about a chinese ‘super weapon’ or ‘bio bomb’ or whatever. the exact same shit you mention here with insipid regularity.

https://twitter.com/ivan_8848/status/15 … 42560?s=21

putin’s regime and intelligence services actually have quite a track record of seeing which memes/conspiracy theories gain traction on social media, telegram channels and so forth, and then plagiarising them wholesale for their official state propaganda machine. so you should not be at all surprised to see the stuff you were nodding along to on your right-wing western sources suddenly re-appearing in a pro-russian context. "covid is actually a weapon made by our enemies!"

how does NATO reckon or treat with a deluded autocrat who thinks his nation’s failing response to covid is the fault of a nazi neighbouring state?

Last edited by uziq (3 years ago)

unnamednewbie13
Moderator
+2,068|7118|PNW

I got this from a conservative recently. "Well, NATO didn't exactly work with Putin on Ukraine." Er, ok.

It seems to be a run of the mill thing. One side does something horrible because the other side wouldn't "work with them." This comes up a lot when blaming a laundry list of things for Nazi Germany, except for Nazi Germany itself. Or another example, the Jan 6 people had "legitimate concerns" about the validity of the election, but "the Democrats wouldn't work with us" (they did). It's so exhausting.

from two days ago:

The Trailer: Decertify the 2020 election? In Wisconsin, it may be on the ballot
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics … ar-AAV6FR2

It never ends.
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
I don't have any right wing western sources.

Its impossible to know the right answer

- Reinforce western europe - Its a provocation Attack!

- Do nothing - The west is decadent and weak Attack!

Maybe there was a middle ground which would have lasted until Putin died, he was on a messianic Dugin-driven quest so probably not.

Assuming we aren't all vapourised the next problem is who replaces Putin. Annointed successors are usually less stable.
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Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX

uziq wrote:

how does NATO reckon or treat with a deluded autocrat who thinks his nation’s failing response to covid is the fault of a nazi neighbouring state?
At least he's not blaming the jews, this has to be a first.
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uziq
Member
+518|3799
i think it's quite obviously the case that NATO could have managed their relations with putin's russia better, invited more dialogue, been less quiescent to US demands for more missiles and more bases for conflicts/theatres of operation that had nothing to do with russia and yet which obviously involved her own defensive/strategic interests, and so on.

but it's very hard to blame the baltic states, or any other state, for wanting to join NATO and for taking their own defensive measures against russia very seriously when, well ... putin's russia already have a frightening track record of stomping all over the rules-based international order and doing just what the fuck they want with smaller neighbouring states in their backyard. putin has been the best possible advert for NATO -- and i'm sure he knows it. there is an endless amount of cynicism and self-interest in putin's complaints about NATO.

I don't have any right wing western sources.
well, 'theories' like the covid-as-bioweapon thing aren't just entertained as single hypotheses amongst a plurality of explanations, in a disinterested and objective scientific way. they have an emotional purchase on a certain cast of mind, and that cast of mind shades towards conspiracy, towards populism, towards nationalism, towards xenophobia and mistrust of the 'other'/the 'enemy', and so on. in this worldview china are capable of any sort of nefariousness; or, adapted another way, ukraine engineered covid to undermine the russian people.

it's one thing to investigate the possibility of a lab leak in a scientific inquiry. it's another to keep talking ominously about 'china's next bioweapon', as you do continuously here. it's politicised rubbish.

Last edited by uziq (3 years ago)

unnamednewbie13
Moderator
+2,068|7118|PNW

I think Putin enjoyed a "recalcitrant" NATO. He's used it in a number of speaking points. "I even talked about joining but Bill Clinton was evasive on the topic!"
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
One of Putin's gripes is anti-ICBMs have been stationed here and there to deal with Iranian and NK ICBMs.
If someone had pointed out there are nothing like enough to deal with the ~3000 ICBMs Russia has and it doesn't affect detente at all maybe he'd be less twitchy.

I'm not in any doubt China is developing bioweapons to kill us all.
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SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+652|4066
I heard a good explanation of the situation regarding Putin's psychology from a National Review author of all people "Putin looks at Ukraine the same way Lincoln looked at the Confederacy". No matter what we would have done, the Russians would desire to have Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltic back into their federation.
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
uziq
Member
+518|3799
except the baltic states, the slavic states, russia, etc, have nothing like the homogeneity or common historical root as the united states does/did as a polity. the civil war really was an internecine conflict of european settlers against settlers, brothers against brothers. the idea that the latvians, or even the finnish (seeing as the russians had a failed go at that, too) are culturally indistinguishable from russians is pretty shaky.

the ukrainian state has a longer history than the current russian state. different church, different peoples. how do you look at the situation as one of rebel states or through an irredentist framework? irredentist of what? these states (or peoples) only briefly fell under the identity of russification during the era of the soviet empire. they were their own thing for long, long before.

all of this sort of pan-slavism/russian chauvinism is underpinned by seriously dubious, pseudo-scientific claptrap. dugin et al, as dilbert mentioned above. reminds me of hitler searching for the aryans in tibet.

Last edited by uziq (3 years ago)

Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
Fuck Israel
uziq
Member
+518|3799
cool read, thanks. should be read in tandem with wider background reading on the ideological grounds of putinism/the modern russian state, imo, namely surkov, dugin, and sobchak. lots of good stuff written on, e.g. surkov's antics and intellectual background in the last 10 years.
Larssen
Member
+99|2234
Putin's war is an angry lashing out against a world that is changing in ways he cannot accept. His mind is still firmly rooted in a cold war logic of 'great power' competition - the rest of the peoples between him and the united states seen as mere tools to further global hegemonies. He'll find likemindedness on the other end of the atlantic in fools like John Bolton. I also see a lot of people now quoting dinosaurs like Mearsheimer and Kissinger as these wise old men who truly understand international relations and who saw it coming. If only we/the ukrainians heeded their warnings!

Putin, in his outdated mindset, has found himself in a world that is diverging from his preferred perception of reality, and he's trying to hit the reset button through brute force. It's all about him vs the west. Not just in perceived physical threats like the expansion of NATO that he keeps harping on about. But importantly in ideas and cultural influence. Look at one of the chief Russian negotiators in the peace summits as an example: Vladimir Medinsky. A venomous little charlatan who's stint as Russia's minister of culture was hallmarked by a push for 'traditionalist values' such as a crackdown on gay people, a 'rejection of multiculturalism' and an embracing of more xenophobic attitudes.

It's the usual fanfare of nationalism, 'traditionalism' and cultural conservatism that we're all familiar with now - and who's adherents seem to be in a state of angry crisis all over the globe. Here personified in Putin and his clique, who received international adoration from the likes of Le Pen and Trump. Versus a globalised world that is increasingly defined through international institutionalism, cross border cooperation, movement, dissemination of information and cultural contamination. The influence of all this on Ukraine resulting over time in its people seeking closer political association with Europe and the west in general, which do accept these developments.

An unacceptable future in Putin's mind. His misreading of history and cultures, plus his zero-sum view of the world, cannot allow for a Ukraine that is not dominated by the Russian state. There's only one association they should apparently seek and that is with the Kremlin. Free will be damned. In fact - that's part of the problem here. The countries around Russia are simply pawns on a chessboard to the Kremlin, at worst a constant reminder of the collapse of the USSR. For some reason they're also under the impression that everything under the umbrella of NATO/the EU functions the same way. As though there's a conspiracy ring of sorts in washington or paris controlling everyone else - hence his denunciation of the western 'empire of lies', and his cynical use of state media and influence operations to counteract it.

It's obvious that whatever Putin is thinking, he can't succeed. In fact he's probably his own worst enemy as the war has irreversibly destroyed any sense of commonality and brotherhood among Russians and Ukrainians. At best he'll claim the part of the country that's Russian, the Donbas and Crimea, and will permanently lose out on all the rest. At worst he'll damn the entire place to a protracted war with Russian forces or a future of civil war as he tries to impose some sort of puppet government. Each option is ruinous to the Russian state as well, as is already apparent in the impact of various sanctions.
SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+652|4066
"Stuck at Mexico border, anti-war Russians sweat their futures as Ukrainians enter U.S."
https://www.reddit.com/r/news/comments/ … ans_sweat/

Comments by redditors is deplorable. They want the fleeing Russian anti-war refugees to fuck off and die. Awful. We should be rolling out the red carpet for Russian objectors.
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
SuperJail Warden
Gone Forever
+652|4066
Right wingers are starting to turn against the Ukrainians. The war is now a culture war issue. "Ukraine and Biden conspiracy put Putin's back to the wall."
https://i.imgur.com/xsoGn9X.jpg
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
Also
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-17/ … /100879732

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-20/ … /100921102

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60807134

Religion is well into the mix, whether Putin is engrossed in mysticism or Putin and the church are using each other who knows.

Last edited by Dilbert_X (3 years ago)

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Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
At this point I'd say Putin has exactly zero interest in negotiations or 'peace', he's going to achieve his objectives and dictate from there, the talks are a sham.

Also, sabotage of the Belarus rail system, good job chaps.

https://static.euromaidanpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Belarus-partisans-railways.jpg

https://euromaidanpress.com/2022/03/21/ … nnections/

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-699184
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Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
LMAO

A crucial meeting between Western leaders will not include a representative from the UK, it has been revealed, following Boris Johnson’s controversial remarks likening the war in Ukraine to Brexit.

The Mirror has reported that it is “looking unlikely” that the prime minister will be invited to a European Council meeting with US president Joe Biden on Thursday – despite the fact that he will be in Brussels for a Nato meeting that day anyway.

Remarks linking voting for Brexit to fighting for Ukraine’s freedom have sparked outrage both at home and abroad, with the Financial Times saying the comparison is likely to reinforce the view in Europe of Johnson as a “populist who is determined to keep scoring points against the EU, six years after the Brexit vote”.

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/polit … ks-316923/

https://twitter.com/Eyeswideopen69/stat … 2752001031
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unnamednewbie13
Moderator
+2,068|7118|PNW

SuperJail Warden wrote:

Right wingers are starting to turn against the Ukrainians. The war is now a culture war issue. "Ukraine and Biden conspiracy put Putin's back to the wall."
I don't imagine there's much "starting to" about it. They were already turned against Ukraine during the Trump stuff. Also don't discount the right-wingers who are vehemently against the invasion regardless of prior thoughts about Ukraine's corruption (with or without apportioning blame to the west). I've got way more of those in my circle of Republican contacts.

I imagine a lot of boomers remember the Soviet Union with a lack of fondness.
uziq
Member
+518|3799

Dilbert_X wrote:

LMAO

A crucial meeting between Western leaders will not include a representative from the UK, it has been revealed, following Boris Johnson’s controversial remarks likening the war in Ukraine to Brexit.

The Mirror has reported that it is “looking unlikely” that the prime minister will be invited to a European Council meeting with US president Joe Biden on Thursday – despite the fact that he will be in Brussels for a Nato meeting that day anyway.

Remarks linking voting for Brexit to fighting for Ukraine’s freedom have sparked outrage both at home and abroad, with the Financial Times saying the comparison is likely to reinforce the view in Europe of Johnson as a “populist who is determined to keep scoring points against the EU, six years after the Brexit vote”.

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/polit … ks-316923/

https://twitter.com/Eyeswideopen69/stat … 2752001031
yeah, absolute facepalm ... this entire crisis has delivered him from the jaws of doom. the entire police investigation has been promptly buried and no conservative mp would dare raise a ruckus now with their party committee now that 'europe is at war'. boris's whole shoddy government saved by an opportune conflict. how gross is that?

apparently not gross enough. rather than crossing his chest and thanking his maker every night for this deus ex machina, boris doubles down on stupidity. a vast international emergency and a pressing conflict is heavenly manna for any incumbent leader. macron, scholz, biden, etc have all ridden high off it and claimed easy political capital, domestically and internationally. a war is an easy time to look statesmanlike. not so for boris. the conservative cabinet he has assembled have acted as shamefacedly and cravenly as possible. first dragging their feet on accepting ukrainian refugees – really, learn to read the fucking room people, you've been in power as the 'voice of the peepull' for years now – and now with these remarks.

the whole country was in a united mood for once and focussed on cooperating. and boris then injects utterly toxic, divisive brexit politics into it. nevermind that it's as irrelevant as the back end of showboat. total fucking idiot. beneath contempt.

the funniest thing is that the kool-aid brexiteers and a host of chancers on the UK right actually agree with his sentiments. they were the same sort puffing up the debate previously with 'blitz' rhetoric and 'good old blighty' talk. mark francois used to talk about the ERG's activities and brexit as if he was leading the fucking wartime OSS. absolute LARPers. but look at how wretched the brexiteer imagination is: they really do think that their 'plight' is so bad that it's comparable to being displaced by heavy artillery and having everything you know and love, including your closest, blown to smithereens. they really think the issue of ukrainian freedom is the same as their precious 'sovereignity' from, erm, the tyrannies of the european court of human rights and a few international ISOs. pathetic.

just goes to show how easily triggered all these 'anti-woke' conservatives are.

Last edited by uziq (3 years ago)

unnamednewbie13
Moderator
+2,068|7118|PNW

You mean don't remember diving into your bomb shelter when the EU was shelling your town with rocket artillery?
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX
And, er, Putin probably invented Brexit in the first place.
Fuck Israel
uziq
Member
+518|3799

unnamednewbie13 wrote:

You mean don't remember diving into your bomb shelter when the EU was shelling your town with rocket artillery?
you weren't there, man!!! i remember the summer when they tried to instate a rule on how curved/straight imported bananas should be ... my own personal GRAD barrage.
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,818|6452|eXtreme to the maX

unnamednewbie13 wrote:

You mean don't remember diving into your bomb shelter when the EU was shelling your town with rocket artillery?
This is literally a picture of my kitchen in 2003

https://i.imgur.com/MtkCFkl.jpg
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