Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6363|eXtreme to the maX
That was barely a small part of it, banks onselling packages of these garbage loans with certificates which said they were AAAAAAAA********** rated was the problem - and drove the banks to sell ever more loans to people who couldn't afford them on properties which were worth small fractions of the mortgages.

No-one force the banks to do any of that.
Fuck Israel
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6908|USA

Dilbert_X wrote:

That was barely a small part of it, banks onselling packages of these garbage loans with certificates which said they were AAAAAAAA********** rated was the problem - and drove the banks to sell ever more loans to people who couldn't afford them on properties which were worth small fractions of the mortgages.

No-one force the banks to do any of that.
No no one "forced" the banks to do it, but what do you call it when the govt., although not "forcing them to anything" threatens them with financial penalties if they don't?

Get real Dilbert.
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|6973

Dilbert_X wrote:

That was barely a small part of it, banks onselling packages of these garbage loans with certificates which said they were AAAAAAAA********** rated was the problem - and drove the banks to sell ever more loans to people who couldn't afford them on properties which were worth small fractions of the mortgages.

No-one force the banks to do any of that.
The banks were forced to give out the loans through government legislation. The credit rating was high because it was balanced off by a high rate of return from proper loans. But when the poor fuckers couldn't pay, everyone got fucked.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6668|'Murka

Dilbert_X wrote:

That was barely a small part of it, banks onselling packages of these garbage loans with certificates which said they were AAAAAAAA********** rated was the problem - and drove the banks to sell ever more loans to people who couldn't afford them on properties which were worth small fractions of the mortgages.

No-one force the banks to do any of that.
Now who's oversimplifying it?

Historically, mortgage-backed securities were rock-solid investments, because, historically, mortgages were given out only to those people who had shown the ability to pay back their loans over the long term (much like bonds). The legislation that forced banks to loan out mortgages to under-qualified debtors drove the quality of those investment vehicles down. Of course, the managers should have realized that and either adjusted their portfolios or adjusted their ratings...but maybe the bankers who were selling them the mortgages were telling them everything was good?

The root cause is shitty lending mandates, driven by shitty bipartisan legislation. Had that legislation not happened, the housing/financial crisis would likely not have occurred when/like it did.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6363|eXtreme to the maX
So who forced the ratings agencies to give them stellar ratings?
Or the merchant banks to buy them up, package them up and sell them on?

No-one. Not even the govt.

Shitty loans were a problem, they weren't the cause of the financial markets going into a huge boom and crash.
Fuck Israel
Cybargs
Moderated
+2,285|6973

Dilbert_X wrote:

Or the merchant banks to buy them up, package them up and sell them on?


Shitty loans were a problem, they weren't the cause of the financial markets going into a huge boom and crash.
Banks really had no choice.
https://cache.www.gametracker.com/server_info/203.46.105.23:21300/b_350_20_692108_381007_FFFFFF_000000.png
KEN-JENNINGS
I am all that is MOD!
+2,979|6889|949

CRA didn't have much of an impact on the GFC.  Don't know why people here are still regurgitating that line from 3 years ago.  Government deregulation of banking standards related to buying and selling loan packages had a larger effect.


So that's 1 for lax government intervention, 0 for government intervention if anyone is keeping score.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6668|'Murka

Dilbert_X wrote:

So who forced the ratings agencies to give them stellar ratings?
Or the merchant banks to buy them up, package them up and sell them on?

No-one. Not even the govt.

Shitty loans were a problem, they weren't the cause of the financial markets going into a huge boom and crash.
Learn how the various parties work (or don't) together, then come back.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6668|'Murka

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

CRA didn't have much of an impact on the GFC.  Don't know why people here are still regurgitating that line from 3 years ago.  Government deregulation of banking standards related to buying and selling loan packages had a larger effect.


So that's 1 for lax government intervention, 0 for government intervention if anyone is keeping score.
If you don't think forcing banks to lend subprime mortgages contributed to the situation in a major way (as in root cause way), you seriously need to relearn root cause analysis.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
KEN-JENNINGS
I am all that is MOD!
+2,979|6889|949

FEOS wrote:

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

CRA didn't have much of an impact on the GFC.  Don't know why people here are still regurgitating that line from 3 years ago.  Government deregulation of banking standards related to buying and selling loan packages had a larger effect.


So that's 1 for lax government intervention, 0 for government intervention if anyone is keeping score.
If you don't think forcing banks to lend subprime mortgages contributed to the situation in a major way (as in root cause way), you seriously need to relearn root cause analysis.
its not a root cause though as far as I'm concerned. i remember reading analysis a few years ago from a Fed Reserve regional exec saying it (CRA) had little to do with the GFC.  i remember reading more, recent analysis from a few people opining that the CRA had little impact, something along the line that the banks that issued subprime loans were outside CRA regulation.  So its in direct contradiction to what you state.  I trust their opinions over yours.
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6908|USA

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

FEOS wrote:

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

CRA didn't have much of an impact on the GFC.  Don't know why people here are still regurgitating that line from 3 years ago.  Government deregulation of banking standards related to buying and selling loan packages had a larger effect.


So that's 1 for lax government intervention, 0 for government intervention if anyone is keeping score.
If you don't think forcing banks to lend subprime mortgages contributed to the situation in a major way (as in root cause way), you seriously need to relearn root cause analysis.
its not a root cause though as far as I'm concerned. i remember reading analysis a few years ago from a Fed Reserve regional exec saying it (CRA) had little to do with the GFC.  i remember reading more, recent analysis from a few people opining that the CRA had little impact, something along the line that the banks that issued subprime loans were outside CRA regulation.  So its in direct contradiction to what you state.  I trust their opinions over yours.
http://www.lewrockwell.com/dilorenzo/dilorenzo125.html
Macbeth
Banned
+2,444|5843

Saying the CRA is the root cause of the GFC is just as myopic as blaming 'the banks'. There were, and still are, a bunch of problems within our economy that made the GFC possible, even inevitable.

Whether subprime mortgages brought down the GC or something else it was going to happen eventually.

Just a thought

Last edited by Macbeth (2011-09-20 14:21:36)

KEN-JENNINGS
I am all that is MOD!
+2,979|6889|949

lowing wrote:

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

FEOS wrote:


If you don't think forcing banks to lend subprime mortgages contributed to the situation in a major way (as in root cause way), you seriously need to relearn root cause analysis.
its not a root cause though as far as I'm concerned. i remember reading analysis a few years ago from a Fed Reserve regional exec saying it (CRA) had little to do with the GFC.  i remember reading more, recent analysis from a few people opining that the CRA had little impact, something along the line that the banks that issued subprime loans were outside CRA regulation.  So its in direct contradiction to what you state.  I trust their opinions over yours.
http://www.lewrockwell.com/dilorenzo/dilorenzo125.html
http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/speeches/ … c1708.html
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevent … 81203a.htm
http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article … stment_act
Macbeth
Banned
+2,444|5843

Links
Lynx
Links
KEN-JENNINGS
I am all that is MOD!
+2,979|6889|949

Macbeth wrote:

Links
Lynx
Links
the first two are the articles I read a few years ago, the ones I mentioned in my previous post.   the last one is an opinion piece (like the Lew Rockwell one).  If I have more time i'll find the recent ones.
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6908|USA

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

Macbeth wrote:

Links
Lynx
Links
the first two are the articles I read a few years ago, the ones I mentioned in my previous post.   the last one is an opinion piece (like the Lew Rockwell one).  If I have more time i'll find the recent ones.
Hmmmm 2 articles from the govt. stating it isn't their fault, and one from Ellen Seidman

http://newamerica.net/user/32   <-----Neh, nothing biased about Ellen.


What I posted is at least from an economist. Ya know, someone who has no stake in the blame game. but I concede it could go back and forth with links as to who is right.
KEN-JENNINGS
I am all that is MOD!
+2,979|6889|949

lowing wrote:

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

Macbeth wrote:

Links
Lynx
Links
the first two are the articles I read a few years ago, the ones I mentioned in my previous post.   the last one is an opinion piece (like the Lew Rockwell one).  If I have more time i'll find the recent ones.
Hmmmm 2 articles from the govt. stating it isn't their fault, and one from Ellen Seidman

http://newamerica.net/user/32   <-----Neh, nothing biased about Ellen.


What I posted is at least from an economist. Ya know, someone who has no stake in the blame game. but I concede it could go back and forth with links as to who is right.
attacking the SOURCE instead of the CONTENT??!!

Lew Rockwell isn't an economist.

Federal Reserve isn't the government.
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6908|USA

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

lowing wrote:

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:


the first two are the articles I read a few years ago, the ones I mentioned in my previous post.   the last one is an opinion piece (like the Lew Rockwell one).  If I have more time i'll find the recent ones.
Hmmmm 2 articles from the govt. stating it isn't their fault, and one from Ellen Seidman

http://newamerica.net/user/32   <-----Neh, nothing biased about Ellen.


What I posted is at least from an economist. Ya know, someone who has no stake in the blame game. but I concede it could go back and forth with links as to who is right.
attacking the SOURCE instead of the CONTENT??!!

Lew Rockwell isn't an economist.

Federal Reserve isn't the government.
My article wasn't written by Lew Rockwell. but you would have known that if you had opened it up and looked at it. It was written by


THOMAS J. DILORENZO  a professor of economics at Loyola College in Maryland and the author of The Real Lincoln; Lincoln Unmasked: What You're Not Supposed To Know about Dishonest Abe and How Capitalism Saved America. His latest book is Hamilton's Curse: How Jefferson's Archenemy Betrayed the American Revolution — And What It Means for America Today.


"According to the Board of Governors, the Federal Reserve is independent within government in that "its decisions do not have to be ratified by the President or anyone else in the executive or legislative branch of government." However, its authority is derived from the U.S. Congress and is subject to congressional oversight. Additionally, the members of the Board of Governors, including its chairman and vice-chairman, are chosen by the President and confirmed by Congress. The government also exercises some control over the Federal Reserve by appointing and setting the salaries of the system's highest-level employees. Thus the Federal Reserve has both private and public aspects.[12][13][14][15] The U.S. Government receives all of the system's annual profits, after a statutory dividend of 6% on member banks' capital investment is paid, and an account surplus is maintained. In 2010, the Federal Reserve made a profit of $82 billion and transferred $79 billion to the U.S. Treasury."


I dunno Ken, sounds kind governy to me.
KEN-JENNINGS
I am all that is MOD!
+2,979|6889|949

kind governy isn't the federal government.  try again.  In the interest of not derailing this topic, I'll start a new one.

In that new topic, you can debate the CONTENT of the article instead of ATTACKING THE SOURCE!!!11
lowing
Banned
+1,662|6908|USA

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

kind governy isn't the federal government.  try again.  In the interest of not derailing this topic, I'll start a new one.

In that new topic, you can debate the CONTENT of the article instead of ATTACKING THE SOURCE!!!11
Were we clear as to who the author was of that article? Or did you still wanna argue without even reading it?
I didn't attack the source, I countered with a possible reason for agenda as to her opinion and her bias. As I said, I conceded as to the fact that there are plenty of "EXPERTS" to support both sides.

Now if you really wanna compare that to the islamic threads, feel free to counter what is posted on religionofpeace as not being fact. Or explain the other side of the argument as to rationale in blowing up women and children in markets.  Instead of just attacking the source.

As far as the federal reserve, yeah ok, they are appointed by the president, gets its power from congress and is over sought by congress. The govt. sets it salaries, and receives all the profits from it. but yeah, other than THAT the govt. has got no part in it ...OH KNOW!!!!, is this another attempt at your definition of "molesting" bullshit?

Last edited by lowing (2011-09-20 16:06:36)

FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6668|'Murka

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

lowing wrote:

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:

its not a root cause though as far as I'm concerned. i remember reading analysis a few years ago from a Fed Reserve regional exec saying it (CRA) had little to do with the GFC.  i remember reading more, recent analysis from a few people opining that the CRA had little impact, something along the line that the banks that issued subprime loans were outside CRA regulation.  So its in direct contradiction to what you state.  I trust their opinions over yours.
http://www.lewrockwell.com/dilorenzo/dilorenzo125.html
http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/speeches/ … c1708.html
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevent … 81203a.htm
http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article … stment_act
Yeah, reads like a bunch of "not our fault" to me...

As to your contention that non-CRA originated loans contributed to the meltdown:

http://www.city-journal.org/2008/eon1030hh.html

Sizable pools of capital came to be allocated in an entirely new way. Bank examiners began using federal home-loan data—broken down by neighborhood, income, and race—to rate banks on their CRA performance, standing traditional lending on its head. In sharp contrast to the old regulatory emphasis on safety and soundness, regulators now judged banks not on how their loans performed, but on how many loans they made and to whom. As one former vice president of Chicago’s Harris Bank once told me: “You just have to make sure you don’t turn anyone down. If anyone applies for a loan, it’s better for you just to give them the money. A high denial rate is what gets you in trouble.” It’s no surprise, then, that as early as 1999, the Federal Reserve Board found that only 29 percent of loans in bank lending programs established especially for CRA compliance purposes could be classified as profitable.

Was there a high enough level of CRA-related lending to spark our current crisis? Not on its own, of course. The crucial link was the extension of CRA-type thinking and regulation to the secondary mortgage markets through the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which buy loans from banks in order to provide liquidity. Beginning in 1992, the Department of Housing and Urban Development pushed Fannie and Freddie to buy loans based on criteria other than creditworthiness. These “affordable housing goals and subgoals”—authorized, ironically, by the Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act—became more demanding over time and, by 2005, required that Fannie and Freddie strive to buy 45 percent of all loans from those of low and moderate income, including 32 percent from people in central cities and other underserved areas and 22 percent from “very low income families or families living in low-income neighborhoods.” As one former Fannie Mae official puts it: “Both HUD and many advocates in the early 2000s were anxious for the GSEs to extend credit to borrowers with blemished credit in ways that were responsible.”

How were such goals to be met? Crucially, subprime loans didn’t only allow banks to meet their CRA lending requirements; sold to Fannie and Freddie, they could also help the two secondary mortgage giants meet their affordable-housing targets. Not all subprime loans, or even a majority of them, were made for CRA-related reasons—the combination of cheap money and imprudent borrowers clearly made for a tremendous bubble. But such loans, bundled into asset-backed securities, were purchased (according to a June 2007 HUD report) especially by Freddie Mac to help fulfill its affordable-housing goals. As recently as April of this year, Fannie actually boasted about “mortgage products and options,” which included “reduced requirements for down payment and closing costs, choices for borrowers with less than perfect credit and flexibility to provide loans to home buyers with no traditional credit history.” In 2005 alone, Fannie Mae purchased some 3.8 million loans that could help them achieve affordable-housing targets. Bruce Marks might as well have been in charge of federal housing policy.

It’s important to note that Fannie and Freddie bought paper from all sorts of mortgage originators, not just from banks bound by the CRA. But the loans still counted toward Fannie’s and Freddie’s affordable-housing goals—and helped lead to their meltdowns. Those meltdowns were anticipated by the National Association of Realtors when in 2004 it wrote to HUD protesting the increases in the GSE affordable-housing goals: “Increases in housing prices have exceeded income growth in the past few years, interest rates are on the rise and rental markets are soft. The credit scores of renters have declined significantly over time, reducing the number of qualified buyers.” By insisting that such underqualified buyers be dealt into homeownership for political reasons, we helped create the financial crisis.
It all ties back to the same rationale behind CRA, and scoring banks based on CRA compliance, rather than sound lending practices.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5615|London, England
The subprime mortgages were only a very small portion of the picture.

The story actually starts in the 80s when loan originators suffered massive upheaval and the industry suffered radical change. It used to be that you would go to your local savings and loan and they would originate your mortgage for you. Because they were keeping the mortgage on the books, they did a rather thorough job vetting potential customers. These S&Ls were chartered by the government during the Great Depression by the FDR administration as a way to get people into their own homes and out of the status of renters. It worked rather well for fifty years (aside from stuff like Redlining).

In the 80s, three things happened: 1) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were created in order to give federal backing to mortgages originated from the S&Ls. 2) The S&Ls were deregulated by the Reagan administration, which allowed them to invest in things other than strictly mortgages (this was done because the S&Ls were failing rapidly) and 3) the stake through the heart of the S&Ls, the invention of the Mortgage Backed Security (MBS), a new type of bond in which mortgages are basketed and sold.

Take all three together, and you end up with a hyperinflated market in which banks run buck wild in order to originate loans to speculators in Florida, Arizona and Nevada. Because instead of holding onto all the loans they originate, they can sell them to Wall Street who packages them up nicely with a bow tie and passes all the risk on to investors. In the end, this all led to the S&L crisis when the government decided to re-regulate during Reagan's second term (Dems were back in control of Congress). Everything came to a halt, and crashed. The S&Ls went belly up and we had the S&L crisis during Bush I's term in office (which ultimately brought down his presidency).

Fast forward twenty years and the exact same thing happened again (with a twist). Instead of S&Ls, it was mortgage clearing houses like Countrywide originating the loans. Since they weren't keeping the loans on their books, they had no real motivation to vet the loans they were originating and then selling off. Ahh, but the twist... everything was exacerbated this time by yet another financial innovation, the derivative, or credit default swap. In order to protect themselves, the big firms like Goldman Sachs bought insurance on the MBS's that they were holding on their ledgers. MBS default? Insurance pays out. Down goes AIG. Down goes Lehman.

Long story short. The Obama administration actually did a good thing when they required loan originators to hold a certain percentage of the loans they originate on their own books. In the long run, this is the only thing that will keep something like the S&L crisis or the 2007 crash from happening again. But, it's also made it a lot more difficult for people to obtain credit too. There's nothing inherently wrong with MBSs or CDLs, in fact, they're a good thing when used properly. The core problem was simply a problem of zero accountability and a game of 'pass the bomb'. With originators being forced to hold, this problem has been largely solved.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6668|'Murka

All of which is fine...if the foundation of the investment (the mortgage) is sound. As they used to be before the subprime mess. That's what I'm arguing. Had the MBSs been created with "typical" mortgages, NOT subprimes, then CDLs wouldn't have even come into the picture. AIG doesn't need a bailout, GS is still solvent. Hence, the root cause of the financial meltdown WAS the subprime mortgages, which can be traced back to the CRA. No CRA, no CRA-related bank scoring (covering those that weren't CRA-originated), no push for subprime mortgages, no MBSs based on subprimes, no CDLs to bankrupt those "too big to fail".
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
Jay
Bork! Bork! Bork!
+2,006|5615|London, England
It would've happened with or without the government requiring a percentage of loans to be subprime. It was a boom, a feeding frenzy, the loan originators were giving out loans to anyone with a pulse, and selling them on to investment banks. The investment banks in turn bought the loans as quickly as possible, and in many cases, hounded the originators into providing more stuff for them to sell.

The real issue for us as taxpayers is that Fannie and Freddie backstopped all of these unsecured loans. Because they had the backing of the US government, they could then be sold by the investment bankers as AAA rated bonds. It really was a perfect storm. Blaming subprime mortgages as the main culprit is like blaming the 4th outfielder on a baseball team for a teams terrible season. Sure, he might have dropped a few balls, or struck out a few too many times, but he's just a small cog in the wheel.
"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,815|6363|eXtreme to the maX

FEOS wrote:

Learn how the various parties work (or don't) together, then come back.
If you mean political parties - they were irrelevant to the real problem, which was the financial markets.
See below.

Jay wrote:

It would've happened with or without the government requiring a percentage of loans to be subprime. It was a boom, a feeding frenzy, the loan originators were giving out loans to anyone with a pulse, and selling them on to investment banks. The investment banks in turn bought the loans as quickly as possible, and in many cases, hounded the originators into providing more stuff for them to sell.

The real issue for us as taxpayers is that Fannie and Freddie backstopped all of these unsecured loans. Because they had the backing of the US government, they could then be sold by the investment bankers as AAA rated bonds. It really was a perfect storm. Blaming subprime mortgages as the main culprit is like blaming the 4th outfielder on a baseball team for a teams terrible season. Sure, he might have dropped a few balls, or struck out a few too many times, but he's just a small cog in the wheel.
Fuck Israel

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