uziq wrote:
it's a turning point for europe, too. they are all shitting it. the need to force a no deal brexit is an existential dilemma for europe. the currency is fucked and has been for a while. big members have been bullying small members for a long time fo the continued existence of the union. the german economy could still go into a recession at this point. the eurozone has been in the doldrums for a while and the narrative of national self-sacrifice for international peace and stability clearly isn't going down very well. you have anti-immigrant parties in germany, bordering on the far-right; anti-globalists/anti-capitalists in france; strong men in central europe stressing nationalist mythology, etc. the whole project is faltering.
i voted remain and have always looked outwards to europe. but i realise that my attachment to europe is to its culture and wider history, not to any particular legal-bureaucratic institution such as the EU. the way the EU has bullied members such as greece, italy, and forced negotiations with the UK shows it for what it is, ultimately: a neoliberal order run for the interests of german banks and a certain centrist status quo. there are rational arguments to be made from both the right- and left-wing for national self-determination.
it's a clusterfuck and the drawn out, ugly process has turned me from an idealistic remain voter into someone far more equivocal.
Depending on which way you look at it the project has been 'faltering' since its inception. Yet it hasn't. Important developments in the EU are driven by and through crises. This institution wouldn't move at all if not for looming international disasters. The 'bullying' is part of a process to iron out the creases. Monetary union without oversight or a higher degree of political control was bound to end up in disaster. With that in mind, the first crisis being in Greece was a good thing - Greece's political position & its relatively limited impact on the rest of the EU allowed for a smoother process than if the first crisis were in Italy or anywhere else.
The narrative of national sacrifice is one touted institutionally but not by the members. On their end it's mostly an internal narrative of reluctant necessity. Despite the strongman rhetoric in Eastern Europe, or other nationalist tendencies in Northern Europe, or the beligerence in the South, at the end of the day all parties will pull up a chair at every new European Council because they know they cannot go it alone. Some are very dependent on EU funding for agriculture and other national industries, others need to seek out the institution to deal with the migration crisis, others will focus on economic policies or Russia - all of these subjects impossible to deal with outside of the international framework. Returning to their national capitals, many 'leaders' then (ab)used EU compromise agreements to score cheap political points back home by pointing the finger to Brussels whenever difficult decisions were made. This reluctance to claim ownership while the PM's autograph was on a given agreement was most of all the case in the UK, where noone in establishment camps seriously attempted to reign in nationalist anti-EU sentiments (instead riding with them for political expediency).
One of the few countries actually intent on proactively using the EU as a vehicle to advance its national interest is France - if only other member states were as driven or involved as they were, institutional development would move much faster. But as we know many governments are not. Instead, they continually ask themselves 'how can I ensure the EU impacts my autonomous decision making as little as possible?'. And don't confuse that drive for self-determination with national interest. It's about the preservation of the power national governments have internationally, over their people and over their territories. Regardless of that power actually serving the interest of the people. Something I'm seeing with increasing regularity in a world as globalised & interconnected as ours, but I digress.
uziq wrote:
what worries me is that areas of the UK that were most virulently anti-EU, e.g. the post-industrial, working-class north, were actually the recipient of a lot of EU funding. people are voting exclusively based on emotions and against their self-interest. it has unlocked a purely irrational force in politics again that appeals more to popular mythology and nostalgic fantasies than any real notion of politics. these people are going to be pissed when the self-imposed fiscal pain kicks in, and they are going to get even further entrenched in their far-right fantasies of victimhood.
you are right that using a plebiscite for a huge political choice was a massive fuck-up. now you have two schools: the 'one referendum establishes the inviolable will of The People for eternity' and the 'let's have a new referendum every 6 months' camp. the entire process has been badly delegitimized.
Well, I agree. Wish the UK luck in solving that shitshow - should've listened to lord buckethead from the outset.
Dilbert_X wrote:
I wonder if Merkel wasn't a long term Russian sleeper and throwing open Europe's doors to millions of middle-eastern migrants wasn't part of a great plan to destroy Europe.
I cannot facepalm harder
Last edited by Larssen (2019-02-26 02:38:31)