BF2S Forums Iran: Revolution in the works?

Reciprocity wrote:

i'd be interested to see any intel on the loyalties of the iranian military leadership.  if they're all hardline ayatollah/Ahmadinejad backers, these kids don't stand a chance.

Reciprocity wrote:

i'd be interested to see any intel on the loyalties of the iranian military leadership.  if they're all hardline ayatollah/Ahmadinejad backers, these kids don't stand a chance.

imortal wrote:

Kmarion wrote:

imortal wrote:

Iran reformists arrested after Tehran riots


Are we now seeing a consolodation of power by way of arresting the competition?

Mousavi is under house arrest. I'm sure they don't want him to be in touch with his supporters. They need to give the illusion of it being over and that he has left them.

...but they are rounding up more, taking the ringleaders who would be most successful in consolodating the relatively unorganized mobs in the streets.  Smart (from their point of view), but just puts the current Iranian government in a darker light.

Oh, and trying to show it is over? Not doing so hot on that part, are they?  I wonder if it would be better or worse for them if Mousavi gets 'martyred.'

imortal wrote:

Kmarion wrote:

imortal wrote:

...but they are rounding up more, taking the ringleaders who would be most successful in consolodating the relatively unorganized mobs in the streets.  Smart (from their point of view), but just puts the current Iranian government in a darker light.

Oh, and trying to show it is over? Not doing so hot on that part, are they?  I wonder if it would be better or worse for them if Mousavi gets 'martyred.'

They have a cause they are passionate about as well as a majority and sympathy. Mousavi needs to lead, not die.

...but what would happen with his followers?  If Mousavi died, he would not be able to lead; but would his death spell the end of the current government as a martyr to rally behind?  As a symbol of a new revolution?

imortal wrote:

here is an update: US rejects victory claim by Iran's Ahmadinejad

I guess we know what the official US line is now.

Why did the clergy panic? Because they saw something much larger than just Mousavi being elected. They saw the beginnings of a wave that would sweep them out of power.  This started with Khatami. and it won't stop today just because they declared a fraudulent winner.  Mousavi would have been the crowbar with which to pry open the tangled nest of corruption that came into power soon after the 1979 revolution.  There is enough pent-up anger in Iran's youth to fuel a complete wipeout of the regime.  If the thugs were so utterly ham-fisted in their attempt to usurp power, they surely will commit scores of idiotic errors in the days to come.  I cannot imagine Rafsanjani staying quiet for much longer; the theocracy is about to break wide open.  Resistance will take many forms, and now will not stop until the mullahs are permanently out of power.  Iran is headed for civil war.

imortal wrote:

Am I the only one not convinced by this arguement?:

"The heaviest pressure and psychological warfare was organized against the people of Iran. A large number of foreign media ... organized a full-fledged fight against our people," Ahmadinejad said, according to an English translation of his victory speech carried on state television

source

Kmarion wrote:

Reciprocity wrote:

thrown stones and empassioned chants don't do much against tanks.  there would have to be a schism in their military.

They need someone with a patch over their eye... and better timing.

Reciprocity wrote:

[TUF]Catbox wrote:

I hope this isn't giving Obama any ideas for 2012?

yes, of course you would say that.

Reciprocity wrote:

[TUF]Catbox wrote:

I hope this isn't giving Obama any ideas for 2012?

yes, of course you would say that.